Rand Paul in 5th place: GOP Money Race

[movingstone]

The campaign says they have 2 million on hand plus 2.5 million raised this quarter

hmm, these articles are so damn confusing.

The campaign has $2 million cash on hand, having already spent $250,000 to help the Republican Party of Kentucky pay for a presidential caucus. That will let Paul seek a Senate re-election as he tries to forge ahead in the White House race -- something the campaign says it has more than enough money and momentum to do.

Paul spent an estimated $4.66 million in the last three months, nearly the double the amount of money he raised -- a burn rate that will require a substantially faster fundraising pace.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...nd-paul-raises-2-5-million-in-second-quarter/

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/election-2016-campaign-money-race.html?_r=0

Using this chart, Rand raised 6.9, spent 2.2, and have 4.2 millions going into July. In the WashingPost article, Rand spent 4.66 millions since July.

So 4.2 million (cash on hand left over from 2nd quarter) + 2.5 millions (raise from July - September) - 4.66 million (spent since July) = 2.04 million

That is where your 2 million dollars on hand came from. So the campaign has only 2 millions coming into October. If they kept spending 4 millions + for 3 months going forward, it isn't good. Said if they raised another 2.5 millions by December. 2 millions + 2.5 millions = 4.5 millions. And they spent 4 millions, that would meant they only have half a million going into 2016. I estimate at 4 millions and not 4.66 million spent in the next 3 months because there were spending that was once time only like 40k for South Carolina ballot, and 250k for the Kentucky primary.

Though in November, Rand will have to spent to file for the following states too.

Nov. 9: Arkansas
Nov. 10: Texas
Nov. 20: Louisiana
Nov. 27: New Hampshire
Nov. 30: Illinois

 

[ross11988]

hmm, these articles are so damn confusing.



http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/...nd-paul-raises-2-5-million-in-second-quarter/

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/election-2016-campaign-money-race.html?_r=0

Using this chart, Rand raised 6.9, spent 2.2, and have 4.2 millions going into July. In the WashingPost article, Rand spent 4.66 millions since July.

So 4.2 million (cash on hand left over from 2nd quarter) + 2.5 millions (raise from July - September) - 4.66 million (spent since July) = 2.04 million

That is where your 2 million dollars on hand came from. So the campaign has only 2 millions coming into October. If they kept spending 4 millions + for 3 months going forward, it isn't good. Said if they raised another 2.5 millions by December. 2 millions + 2.5 millions = 4.5 millions. And they spent 4 millions, that would meant they only have half a million going into 2016. I estimate at 4 millions and not 4.66 million spent in the next 3 months because there were spending that was once time only like 40k for South Carolina ballot, and 250k for the Kentucky primary.

Though in November, Rand will have to spent to file for the following states too.

Nov. 9: Arkansas
Nov. 10: Texas
Nov. 20: Louisiana
Nov. 27: New Hampshire
Nov. 30: Illinois

Don't forget that the campaign had to spend 250,000 on the KY Caucus alone

 

[Jan2017]

On the Dim side, Hillary raised $28 million and Bernie $24 million in the quarter.

Rand wants to run a frugal government, and $2.5 million for the quarter helps pay for the Kentucky caucus - so it is a frugal campaign before delegate selection starts early next year.

Huckabee should drop out now - he adds nothing but taking up a podium spot from those with actual ideas for the country's course.

 

[65fastback2+2]

On the Dim side, Hillary raised $28 million and Bernie $24 million in the quarter.

Rand wants to run a frugal government, and $2.5 million for the quarter helps pay for the Kentucky caucus - so it is a frugal campaign before delegate selection starts early next year.

this right here is great.

"we operate a small and frugal campaign just like we'd operate a small and frugal government"

 

[brandon]

This isn't good news. Donations to Rand Paul plummeted in the 3rd quarter compared to the 2nd quarter as his poll numbers dropped. And I'm sure Fiorina is raking in the cash now. Notice that only Carson and Paul have announce Q3 numbers in the graph.

Careful, you'll get banned for a post like this.

 

[RonPaulMall]

The Ben Carson numbers are insane. I think he is sucking up a lot of Rand's potential support

Carson has positioned himself as the "less mean and egotistical" anti-establishment alternative to Trump. So everybody that likes what Trump is saying, but don't like the way he says it or can't stomach him personally are flocking to Carson. I would say Carson "wisely" positioned himself in that slot, but that really isn't the truth because Carson found himself in that position less through any particular skill of his own than the sheer incompetence of the other campaigns. You'd have thought every candidate in the race would have realized that the "nice" version of Trump would be killer strategy not just because of the huge amount of support you'd get initially but also for the fact you'd be the logical beneficiary if Trump ever screws up and implodes.