Rand Paul: 51%; Jack Conway: 45%

[RonPaulFanInGA]

Rand Paul above 50% in what basically seems to amount to a push-poll, what with the "issues of the day" being the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990.

 

[theboone1980]

Rand Paul above 50% in what basically seems to amount to a push-poll, what with the "issues of the day" being the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990.

I agree. The issues polled should have been Cap & Trade and Obamacare, not the CRA & ADA.. The leftist Courier-Journal is really working hard to marginalize Rand.

 

[obijuan]

I agree. The issues polled should have been Cap & Trade and Obamacare, not the CRA & ADA.. The leftist Courier-Journal is really working hard to marginalize Rand.

And it's not working with Rand being over 50%. This is actually very good news IMO.

 

[sailingaway]

I agree about the 'push poll' bit. When I first heard what questions were being asked, I figured it was a 'Dem poll' of some sort. And note they put Conway first in the pictures even though he's losing....and such a LOVELY picture they choose of Rand, as well.

Over 50%. Something would have to CHANGE their minds.

4% undecided, and I bet Rand gets a bunch of those once we turn to the ISSUES.

AND IF YOU CLICK ON THE CROSS TABS THEY ARE PRIVATE

but if you go to the 'issues poll' what they share is that African Americans were 'overrepresented by 375% in the poll to make their voice statistically extrapolatable'.

Well, it is only them, not us, who think all people of one color vote the same.

 

[rprprs]

The comments on the article at http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20105300332 are turning sour. I took the time to register and add my thoughts and got attacked for doing so. Email addresses are a dime a dozen. Just sayin.

 

[sailingaway]

The comments on the article at http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20105300332 are turning sour. I took the time to register and add my thoughts and got attacked for doing so. Email addresses are a dime a dozen. Just sayin.

I gave them my real email address. I'll go back in. They were sour last night and we took care of those (they were saying all sorts of things about BP, and we pointed out just WHO got BP donations and who (Rand) got individual donations totaling more than 99% of his contributions....

--
ok, I 'contributed to the discussion' again....

 

[JohnEngland]

This is good news - Rand has weathered the worst of all attacks. Afterall, how could the smears get any worse than being called a racist that hates disabled people? What else can they throw at him?

At the end of the day, the issues will be healthcare, the economy etc. and Rand will increase his lead with these topics.

 

[sailingaway]

This is good news - Rand has weathered the worst of all attacks. Afterall, how could the smears get any worse than being called a racist that hates disabled people? What else can they throw at him?

At the end of the day, the issues will be healthcare, the economy etc. and Rand will increase his lead with these topics.

They are circulating 'conspiracy theory' stuff now, trying to link him with Alex Jones (about as fair as linking him with Rachael Maddow's beliefs, he was on her show, too....) and there is apparently a video of him during the presidential campaign answering questions on the NAFTA superhighway and Amero. Well, someone asked, and he answers questions. Also, there was a think tank paper at one point calling for an Amero, by guys heavily involved in SPP. They don't seem to be going for it now, deciding it was 'too emotional', but it was a topic of debate at one point. And the Texas Toll road was in HIS DAD'S DISTRICT and Ron was very instrumental in killing it, at least for now. I think that last one could really backfire on them. It is demonstrably true, only the name is different, and what are they going to say, he should have corrected the name, rather than answer the question? BAD Rand!!

(In fact, I HOPE they go for the Toll Road... It would increase Rand's donations from Texas by about 5000 per cent....)

Remember Matthews is doing a hit piece on the Tea Parties soon, including overlays of Rand, and saying what a disaster it would be if the tea parties gained power. The media isn't going to let up. They don't WANT things going more conservative.

 

[itshappening]

this is very good news for Rand and also shows you why Democrats do well in Kentucky because they have the CJ and Herald leader batting for them

Rand needs to bypass the biased media in KY and try and fnow ocus the issues on cap and trade, obamacare and immigration. once he does that (i.e spends money) his lead will only grow

 

[itshappening]

also it says that Conway and Paul are close in the ville, which is a disaster for Conway. The only reason he was able to beat Mongiardo was because he crushed him there.

He isn't going to win rural counties in the General election so would have to win Louisville by a huge amount to stand a chance and it isnt going to happen so I can't see a way he can win this seat as long as Rand has the money to compete

 

[BamaFanNKy]

Courier comment section is a 'who's who' of out of the mainstream liberals.

 

[Aratus]

scott brown 52% and martha coakley 46% springs to mind. along with blumenthal, is
this year to be known as the "curse of the A.G" year if jack conway fails to close a gap?

 

[specsaregood]

Hrmmm..
"Paul holds 6-point lead"

"Paul's lead however falls within the poll's margin of error which is +- 4.2%."

Yes, because 6 points is smaller than 4.2%.

 

[Flash]

Hrmmm..
"Paul holds 6-point lead"

"Paul's lead however falls within the poll's margin of error which is +- 4.2%."

Yes, because 6 points is smaller than 4.2%.

I was wondering the exact same thing.

 

[Epic]

Yeah I just commented about the margin of error thing in a different thread.

I don't get it.

How could a major newspaper say 6 < 4.2 on the front page?

 

[low preference guy]

Rand could be 4.2 lower than he is in the poll, and Conway 4.2 higher than he is in the poll, so the real preference could be 8.4 points off.

Still, this was a push-poll and Rand has at least 47%. It's a really good result for Rand.

 

[specsaregood]

I was wondering the exact same thing.

I get it, they are saying in super theoretical world the 4% of "undecided" voters could all go to conway and thus in their fantasy world Rand could lose. It's a stretch but I guess this is where "new math" comes in handy.

 

[specsaregood]

Rand could be 4.2 lower than he is in the poll, and Conway 4.2 higher than he is in the poll, so the real preference could be 8.4 points off.

I'm pretty sure that isn't how it works.

 

[Aratus]

or if jack conway's numbers are inflated, rand has a 10 point lead...

the size of the sample to the group of voters is the range and level of accuracy?
if its a small semi-random sample, the accuracy can varry. microcosm to macrocosm.

 

[low preference guy]

In fact, unless the gap is twice as large as the margin of error, there is at least a small chance that the race is too close to call. (That's because each side's estimate has a margin of error around it.)

How to Read Political Polls Like a Pro