Punxsutawney Phil Scoffs At The Idea Of An Early Spring

William Tell

Member
Joined
Jan 3, 2014
Messages
12,146
[h=1]Punxsutawney Phil Scoffs At The Idea Of An Early Spring[/h]
ap415547716226_slide-8402305c50e25123b66635104ac6ffa3a406e6b2-s500-c85.jpg

Groundhog Club handler Ron Ploucha holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather prognosticating groundhog, during the 129th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., on Monday. Phil saw his shadow, predicting six more weeks of winter weather.

Gene J. Puskar/AP

Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow this morning, which, according to tradition, portends another six weeks of winter.
On an overcast morning, Phil the groundhog gazed at the sky, looked for his shadow and at about 7:25 a.m. ET told his handler Bill Deeley his prediction: "Forecasts abound on the Internet, but, I, Punxsutawney Phil am still your best bet. Yes, a shadow I see, you can head to Twitter, hashtag: Six more weeks of winter!"
Phil's prediction on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pa., came as a winter storm moved from the Midwest to the Northeast.
According to lore, if Phil sees his shadow on Feb. 2, winter will last another six weeks. If not, spring will come early.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetwo-way...er?utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=storiesfromnpr
 
Can't fool me, that's the critter that's been chucking my firewood.
 
But Chuck says early spring and Phil has been wrong 55% of the time over the last 27 years.
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/punxsutawney-phils-forecast-disputed-staten-island-groundhog

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/...unxsutawney-pennsylvania-phil-holiday-winter/

It’s déjà vu all over again. On February 2, a groundhog (Marmota monax, if you please) named Phil will poke his head out of his burrow in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, and look around, as he has for the past 128 years.

February 2 is Groundhog Day. If Phil sees his shadow—so they say—brace yourself for six more weeks of winter.

Is Phil—or any groundhog, for that matter—really acting as the Oracle of Spring when he pops out of his hole? Not quite, it turns out.

Many male groundhogs do come out of their burrow on Groundhog Day, but not to see their shadow, said Stam Zervanos, emeritus professor of biology at Penn State Berks, in Reading.

“At this time of year, males emerge from their burrows to start searching for the females,” he explained. “The females come out probably seven days later and stay just outside of their burrow or maybe just inside their burrow.” After the males determine where the females are, both sexes “go back to their winter burrows and spend a little more time in hibernation.

“In March, they all emerge together, and that’s when mating occurs,” he said. “The males know exactly where the females are, [so] mating can occur very rapidly.”

Where did the idea of the groundhog as winter weatherman originate?

It’s European in origin, says Zervanos. Groundhog Day is related to Candlemas, a mid-winter Germanic holiday that had a hedgehog as its weather forecaster. When German-speaking immigrants came to Pennsylvania, the tradition came with them.

These immigrants, the Pennsylvania Dutch, may have picked groundhogs as their new holiday mascot because they saw them emerge around Candlemas. But there was also a more practical reason to find a new representative from the animal kingdom.

“We don’t have hedgehogs in Punxsutawney,” said Katie Donald, executive director of the Groundhog Club, which celebrates its 129th Groundhog Day this year.

The mission of the club, which holds a Groundhog Ball and sells memorabilia like towels emblazoned with the words “6 more weeks of winter,” is to protect and perpetuate the legend of Punxsutawney Phil. “The only true weather forecasting groundhog,” the club’s website says of its favorite native son. “The others are imposters.”

Meet Phil

Phil isn’t just unusual because he made a cameo appearance in a Bill Murray movie; he lives a life a wild groundhog can only dream of.

For one thing, Phil doesn’t really come out of hibernation on Groundhog Day to look for a mate, because he doesn’t hibernate at all. According to Donald, Phil doesn’t need to hibernate because he lives in a man-made, temperature-controlled burrow at Barclay Square in downtown Punxsutawney.

His burrow (should you care to send him a note, the address is 301 East Mahoning Street, Punxsutawney, PA 15767) is connected to the Punxsutawney Memorial Library by a glass window so that visitors can see Phil and his “wife” Phillis.


Although the pair make a cute tourist attraction, adult groundhogs don’t normally live together. “They can get a little aggressive [with] each other if one comes too close to their burrow,” said Zervanos.

Most groundhogs leave their mother when they are a few weeks to a few months old. That’s when they dig their own burrows, where they live alone for the rest of their lives, except when they mate and rear their young.

So how many groundhogs have played the role of “Phil” since Punxsutawney’s first Groundhog Day in 1887? The Groundhog Club isn’t telling.

“There’s only been one Phil,” Donald maintains. “Every year [the club] has the groundhog picnic in the late summer or early fall, and at this picnic he drinks ‘the elixir of life.’” The elixir, which grants Phil seven additional years of life with each sip, is made with fruit, vegetables, and strawberry Kool-Aid.

Who knew the Fountain of Youth was strawberry flavored?

(one other thing - they used to eat the groundhog :eek: )

-t
 
The Original Groundhog Day Involved Eating the Groundhog
http://time.com/3685895/groundhog-day-history/

Feb. 2, 1887: Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, holds its first Groundhog Day celebration


MORE
Did New York City’s Mayor Accidentally Kill a Groundhog?
Forget About the Groundhog, Sept. 5 Is ‘Bill Murray Day’
The first Groundhog Day celebration wasn’t such a picnic for Punxsutawney Phil’s progenitors. When Punxsutawneyans gathered on a hilltop known as Gobbler’s Knob on this day, Feb. 2, in 1887, they did so not just to celebrate the weather-forecasting wizardry of the groundhog — the rodent was also on the menu.

MORE
6 Things to Know About Groundhog Day
Climate Change Is Making the Land in Iceland Rise
Snow Slams Northeast Again, Flash Freeze to Follow NBC News
Obama to GOP: Don't Risk Security Over Budget Battle NBC News
'Difference Is Clear' Between Saudi, ISIS Beheadings: Official NBC News
Predicting the length of winter based upon whether or not an animal saw its shadow was nothing new to the German immigrants who settled Pennsylvania, although in the old country they relied more often on badgers and bears. Europeans had long marked winter’s midpoint on Feb. 2 by celebrating Candlemas Day, a festival of lights that also included a formula for predicting the arrival of spring. As explained in an English folk song:

If Candlemas be fair and bright,
Come, winter, have another flight;
If Candlemas brings clouds and rain,
Go winter, and come not again.
While the same principle applied to Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney inserted the notoriously grumpy, burrow-dwelling rodent into the formula as a kind of meteorological middleman. It also became a regional delicacy, with a flavor described by locals as “a cross between pork and chicken,” according to Pennsylvania historian Christopher R. Davis.

In the 1880s, per Davis, groundhog was the cuisine of choice at the Punxsutawney Elks Lodge. Devotees later formed the Groundhog Club, which hosted both the annual Groundhog Day ceremony and a summertime groundhog hunt followed by a picnic featuring a variety of groundhog dishes and a “groundhog punch” that sounds equally appetizing — a combination of vodka, milk, eggs, orange juice “and other ingredients,” Davis writes.

As tastes changed and Punxsutawney Phil’s status rose, the Groundhog Club stopped hunting his brethren and began catering to him instead. Groundhog is no longer on the menu at the annual Groundhog Picnic, and “groundhog punch” has morphed into an “elixir of life” that reportedly keeps Phil young and explains why the same groundhog has been predicting spring in Pennsylvania for over a century.

Members of today’s Groundhog Club claim that Phil — whom they call “Seer of Seers” — is an infallible prognosticator, with a 100% accuracy rate.

Mathematically, that’s not exactly true. As of last year, Phil’s accuracy rate was in fact 39% — less than half that of New York City’s go-to groundhog, Staten Island Chuck, whose predictions have been correct 82% of the time. Although not quite the celebrity Phil has become, Chuck is arguably America’s most reliable shadow-seer.

“You can’t argue with a good product,” the Staten Island groundhog’s handler once told TIME. “You want accurate readings, you go to Chuck.”

-t
 
The Original Groundhog Day Involved Eating the Groundhog
http://time.com/3685895/groundhog-day-history/

Feb. 2, 1887: Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, holds its first Groundhog Day celebration


MORE
Did New York City’s Mayor Accidentally Kill a Groundhog?
Forget About the Groundhog, Sept. 5 Is ‘Bill Murray Day’
The first Groundhog Day celebration wasn’t such a picnic for Punxsutawney Phil’s progenitors. When Punxsutawneyans gathered on a hilltop known as Gobbler’s Knob on this day, Feb. 2, in 1887, they did so not just to celebrate the weather-forecasting wizardry of the groundhog — the rodent was also on the menu.

MORE
6 Things to Know About Groundhog Day
Climate Change Is Making the Land in Iceland Rise
Snow Slams Northeast Again, Flash Freeze to Follow NBC News
Obama to GOP: Don't Risk Security Over Budget Battle NBC News
'Difference Is Clear' Between Saudi, ISIS Beheadings: Official NBC News
Predicting the length of winter based upon whether or not an animal saw its shadow was nothing new to the German immigrants who settled Pennsylvania, although in the old country they relied more often on badgers and bears. Europeans had long marked winter’s midpoint on Feb. 2 by celebrating Candlemas Day, a festival of lights that also included a formula for predicting the arrival of spring. As explained in an English folk song:

If Candlemas be fair and bright,
Come, winter, have another flight;
If Candlemas brings clouds and rain,
Go winter, and come not again.
While the same principle applied to Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney inserted the notoriously grumpy, burrow-dwelling rodent into the formula as a kind of meteorological middleman. It also became a regional delicacy, with a flavor described by locals as “a cross between pork and chicken,” according to Pennsylvania historian Christopher R. Davis.

In the 1880s, per Davis, groundhog was the cuisine of choice at the Punxsutawney Elks Lodge. Devotees later formed the Groundhog Club, which hosted both the annual Groundhog Day ceremony and a summertime groundhog hunt followed by a picnic featuring a variety of groundhog dishes and a “groundhog punch” that sounds equally appetizing — a combination of vodka, milk, eggs, orange juice “and other ingredients,” Davis writes.

As tastes changed and Punxsutawney Phil’s status rose, the Groundhog Club stopped hunting his brethren and began catering to him instead. Groundhog is no longer on the menu at the annual Groundhog Picnic, and “groundhog punch” has morphed into an “elixir of life” that reportedly keeps Phil young and explains why the same groundhog has been predicting spring in Pennsylvania for over a century.

Members of today’s Groundhog Club claim that Phil — whom they call “Seer of Seers” — is an infallible prognosticator, with a 100% accuracy rate.

Mathematically, that’s not exactly true. As of last year, Phil’s accuracy rate was in fact 39% — less than half that of New York City’s go-to groundhog, Staten Island Chuck, whose predictions have been correct 82% of the time. Although not quite the celebrity Phil has become, Chuck is arguably America’s most reliable shadow-seer.

“You can’t argue with a good product,” the Staten Island groundhog’s handler once told TIME. “You want accurate readings, you go to Chuck.”

-t
Obligatory picture response here:
BgUAHUfCYAAJJE--300x225.jpg
 
Back
Top