Predictions for Feb 1st - IA Caucus

What position do you expect Paul to finish in IA?

  • 1st

    Votes: 22 24.7%
  • 2nd

    Votes: 17 19.1%
  • 3rd

    Votes: 29 32.6%
  • 4th

    Votes: 16 18.0%
  • 5th

    Votes: 5 5.6%
  • 6th

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 7th

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    89
I'm saying 2nd or 3rd... I'm doing this because i want us to be pleasantly surprised on monday night! Last time i predicted ron would win in 2012 and he finished in third and was devastated... Hope rand gets the good karma ron didn't in 2012 and shocks us all!! :)
 
Hoping for 2nd but this is a freakin tough crowd with multiple campaigns fully aware of the Santorum 2012 strategy.

Rand's ace in the hole is the untested Students for Rand. Success entirely depends on them.
 
Hoping for 2nd but this is a freakin tough crowd with multiple campaigns fully aware of the Santorum 2012 strategy.

Rand's ace in the hole is the untested Students for Rand. Success entirely depends on them.

Success depends on us too, the power of GOTV can be measured by how many volunteers you have willing to call voters.
 
I will say 4th, because I think Rand can finish ahead of Carson. Finishing ahead of Rubio or Cruz or Trump would be a tall order, but we'll finally get to see some real results come Monday :)

Hoping for some momentum from a strong showing and/or from a collapse of some of the other people.
 
I feel strongly about a top 4 finish. I am not certain of the order yet. Based on the mailed media and radio I would say Bush, Cruz, Rubio are the top three. Ground game indicates Rand, Cruz, Carson, Rubio. It's very hard to tell. Turnout is key. I've been hearing anything from 120k to 160k+. Trump has huge name id and support but there is no money being spent and very little GOTV. I think Bush has a hard time breaking into the top 4 with Kasich, Christie, and Rubio taking some of his support and Carson fighting him for pole position. Speaking of Carson, he could upset and place top 3 or higher. GOTV is the game to be played now...

A friend of mine says it will be Cruz, Trump, Paul in that order.
 
As much as I want him to finish 1st, he will be 3rd and there will be no mention of it in the media.
 
It seems like a few on the board is susceptible to propaganda, herding, logic fallacies, and easily brainwashed by saying he has no chance. Just what the media has gotten many feeble minds to repeat even one's with Rand as their favorite. A book to help them understand, The Crowd: A Study of the Popular Mind.
 
Back
Top