PPP: More Texans Think Perry Has Hurt The State's Image Than Ron Paul

[69360]

In National Polls, Ron Paul does best in the "South". What is the "South"? Overall, Ron Paul was at 15%, with 19% in the "South".

Is Ron Paul getting 19% in VA, NC, SC (ok, maybe now), GA, FL, MS, AL ? Florida is a pretty big state, and I haven't seen him any where near 19% there. All of those states are dragging down a number.

Might that be Texas?

You have to remember that FL is basically southern NY/NJ. Lots o transplants and retirees.

 

[bluesc]

Texas hasn't been polled in a while, but the last poll that was done in August, I believe, had it Cain-Paul-Perry.

The last PPP poll looked like this (from September):

It probably comes as no surprise that Texas’ Republican presidential primary is uncompetitive. Rick Perry has almost half (49%) of his home-state partymates’ support, followed way behind by Mitt Romney’s 10%, Newt Gingrich’s 8%, Ron Paul’s, Michele Bachmann’s, and Herman Cain’s 7%, Rick Santorum’s 3%, Jon Huntsman’s 2%, and Gary Johnson’s less than 1%. That is an improvement from June, when Perry was only a theoretical candidate who had previously turned down a run. Then, he had 31% to Romney’s 15%, Bachmann’s 11%, and the others in single digits. If the contest were already down to Perry and Romney by the time Texas’ voting were held, Perry would annihilate his opponent, 72-18.

The great info is that the anti-Romney sentiment is HUGE. If it's Romney vs Paul in Texas come Super Tuesday, I believe Ron could run away with it. That's why I'm looking forward to the Romney vs Paul poll in the cross tabs.

 

[braane]

Anyone hear that Texas may be moving the primary back to June?

 

[bluesc]

Anyone hear that Texas may be moving the primary back to June?

That would only be to stop Paul. No other reason.

 

[braane]

That would only be to stop Paul. No other reason.

http://www.star-telegram.com/2012/01/11/3653676/republicans-say-texas-may-need.html

 

[european]

BREAKING: SC Sen. Larry Grooms is pulling his support of Rick Perry. He's urging Perry to get out of the race

source: hxxps://twitter.com/#!/GinaNSmith

 

[kylejack]

That would only be to stop Paul. No other reason.

Not exactly. There are some internal election issues with regard to two things, redistricting that is on the ropes as well as the new Voter ID law.

 

[parocks]

You have to remember that FL is basically southern NY/NJ. Lots o transplants and retirees.

South Florida is. Retired folks from NY/NJ. I'm just wondering what state in the South is giving Ron Paul 19%.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/01/13/rel1a.pdf - this is a recent CNN poll where Paul is at 15% nationally, and 19% in the South.

The only way I see Ron Paul at 19% in the south is if he's crushing in it Texas with a 30% or more. The typical southern state does not have Ron Paul at 19%.

 

[matt0611]

Maybe Ron is 1st?

I wish Perry would endorse Ron when he drops out. Who else would Perry endorse, he's got bad blood with Romney.

I doubt he'll endorse Paul, but out of anyone he'd probably be the most likely to do that.

I say he'd probably endorse the Grinch. Or no one.

 

[bluesc]

Not exactly. There are some internal election issues with regard to two things, redistricting that is on the ropes as well as the new Voter ID law.

Does Perry, as Governor, have any say in this? It's almost guaranteed that he will be backing Romney, and Romney wants Texas as late as possible.

 

[Havax]

PPP replied to me saying the Texas poll will be out tomorrow morning.

 

[bluesc]

PPP replied to me saying the Texas poll will be out tomorrow morning.

Awesome.

 

[69360]

fingers crossed. Ron 1st or 2nd is big, big news and along with the recent polls showing Ron tied with Obama really kills the unelectable nonsense

 

[RPit]

fingers crossed. Ron 1st or 2nd is big, big news and along with the recent polls showing Ron tied with Obama really kills the unelectable nonsense

Not if people don't know about it. He needs to make it a talking point that he is doing great against Obama and that everyone else except Romney don't even come close. Tell the people 40% electorate is independent and he beats Obama 47-40!!!!!!

 

[Canderson]

Ignorant California Prediction:

Gingrich
Paul
Perry

 

[Gravik]

I don't see how people in Texas will vote for Romney after they find out about his assault weapon ban support.

 

[chri5opher]

//

 

[eleganz]

Its probably Romney because of the dumb vote but Ron should win Texas and CA.

 

[bigronaldo]

I hate to say it (and I hope I'm dead wrong), but I don't see him in the top 3 here in Texas. Outside of Austin and his home district, he doesn't poll very well. You have to remember, Texas is HUGE. I live in Lubbock, which is about a 9 or 10 hour drive to Ron Paul's district. And I believe he only got about 2% of the primary votes here (in Lubbock) in 2008.

Like I said, I hope I'm dead wrong. People have definitely warmed up to him more than last time. My Prediction:

Romney (25%)
Gingrich (21%)
Perry (16%)
Paul (14%)
Santorum (12%)
Huntsman (2%)
Other/Undecided (10%)

Almost all the establishment GOP here locally wanted Newt to give it a go in 2008, so I'm assuming most of them are unchanged. But then again, I'm out in the middle of nowhere, so who knows.

 

[jersdream]

No way Ron could be 4th in his homestate. That would be borderline pathetic. No chance he could be behind Perry. I would be absolutely shocked.

They said they reallocated Huntsman support by using their 2nd choice.