PPP: Iowa still looks very close between Paul and Romney but...

[braane]

What exactly is striking distance?

Probably 6 or 7%...

I am guessing, though, that a lot of his support will shift hands. He is going to both lose some supporters and gain some on caucus night. His organization is really bad, so I just don't see him winning. Iowa requires organization.

 

[goldpants]

Like sheep being herd to slaughter...I mean can anyone who cares enough to caucus truly support this big spending, lobbyist loving, govt regulationist clown. Really, I mean really?

 

[lucent]

he's getting more popular, or atleast fox is pushing him more. he has advertisements on local talk radio all the time now. just heard one a few minutes ago on RUSH radio in port st. lucie.

There's some Super PAC backing him up.

 

[PhineasFinn]

Santorum will not win Iowa. You can quote me on this after Jan 3rd!

 

[Sublyminal]

Frothy, seriously? How can anyone say he has a chance in hell?

 

[hueylong]

1. Paul
2. Santorum
3. Romney

The best of all possible worlds.

 

[RDM]

PPP tweet: Iowa still looks very close between Paul and Romney but Santorum's within striking distance and has all the momentum

Next tweet: Given the current trajectory I think there's some chance Santorum could win Iowa without ever leading in a poll

Now that I reflect back on all this. I remember the one Iowa debate ( I believe it was the Christian one) that was televised on c-span. At the end of debate the cameras were all focused on only two candidates. Gingrich and Santorum. Anyways, while at one point during the back and forth between the two with sound still on, a guy came up to Santorum and said clear as day, "You did great. Don't you worry, we got you covered." Santorum said thanks and the guy repeated again "No, you're going to win this, I can assure you that, we got you covered."

It was the debate where Santorum gave his long teary eyed speech about his child.

 

[muh_roads]

If Iowa actually picks Santorum, I think I will enjoy seeing people lose their jobs and homes as they cling to their bibles. They will deserve everything that comes their way for being stupid.

 

[braane]

1. Paul
2. Santorum
3. Romney

The best of all possible worlds.

It would be funny if the surge backfired on the media. If Santorum came in second, and Ron wins, then Ron will have a real shot at winning New Hampshire.

 

[teacherone]

Now that I reflect back on all this. I remember the one Iowa debate ( I believe it was the Christian one) that was televised on c-span. At the end of debate the cameras were all focused on only two candidates. Gingrich and Santorum. Anyways, while at one point during the back and forth between the two with sound still on, a guy came up to Santorum and said clear as day, "You did great. Don't you worry, we got you covered." Santorum said thanks and the guy repeated again "No, you're going to win this, I can assure you that, we got you covered."

It was the debate where Santorum gave his long teary eyed speech about his child.

uuhhh....toobz??

 

[South Park Fan]

This is a double-edged sword. Yes, it would be a setback for us to lose the caucuses, but since Romney is our primary foe for the nomination, a Santorum win would not be the worst outcome as long as Paul gets a close second. Third place would leave Romney vulnerable in New Hampshire, where Santorum is in low single digits. Santorum also provides a vent for people who hate Romney but loathe Paul to vote for, and thus damages Romney in South Carolina. He has no resources to compete after that, so temporarily throwing a monkey wrench into Romney's quick path to the nomination only helps us.

On the other hand, Santorum followed by Romney with Paul in third would be a much worse situation to cope with.

IMHO, the outcomes in order of likelihood of leading to a Paul nomination are as follows:
1. Paul/Santorum/Romney
2. Paul/Romney/Santorum
3. Santorum/Paul/Romney
4. Romney/Paul/Santorum
5. Santorum/Romney/Paul
6. Romney/Santorum/Paul

 

[Rincewind]

While I very much dislike Santorum's stance on the majority of his issues, to his credit, he has worked really hard in Iowa for a very long time, and I would have felt a bit bad for him if he'd ended up in dead last like it looked like he would a couple weeks ago.

 

[hueylong]

That wasn't Santorum. That was a healthcare lobbyist talking to Perry after a speech.

 

[opinionatedfool]

Probably 6 or 7%...

I am guessing, though, that a lot of his support will shift hands. He is going to both lose some supporters and gain some on caucus night. His organization is really bad, so I just don't see him winning. Iowa requires organization.

He is getting Bachmann's supporters. Maybe it would be good if she would surge a little. Dang it.

 

[lucent]

If Iowa actually picks Santorum, I think I will enjoy seeing people lose their jobs and homes as they cling to their bibles. They will deserve everything that comes their way for being stupid.

One thing I've learned from my study of Scripture is that God is very vengeful. When you disobey Him and anger Him, He doesn't care how pious you pretend to be.

 

[Canderson]

Santorum's town hall on CNN just now looked pretty sparse.

 

[PastaRocket848]

oh if he wins or at least beats romney in IA, the resources and organization will come. believe that. he could be the media/establishment's last hope (as sad as that is). we cannot allow him any positive press after the 3rd, or the media will run with it and make it a two man race between frothy and mitt (i never imagined i'd ever say that), which mean we get mittens for a nominee.

 

[bluesc]

I'd love for Santorum to come 2nd in Iowa with Romney 3rd. I think that would give us a win in NH.

 

[Cap]

I'm not going to get to excited yet. I think the internal polls are telling a different story. Ron would not have taken the weekend off otherwise.

 

[sailingaway]

Santorum's town hall on CNN just now looked pretty sparse.

That's what I don't get. I keep reading articles saying media are outnumbering those coming to see him, and in one place he was told by the people there to get out of the way of the screen because they were trying to watch a football game... yet we get this.