Poll showing Romney beating Paul in NH was rigged

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Poll showing Romney beating Paul in NH was rigged

A recent poll in New Hampshire said that if Mitt Romney got into the 2016 presidential race, he would beat Rand Paul by a margin of 39%-7%.

This poll was seized upon by Paul family detractor Dave Weigel of Slate. A link to the poll can be found in the article by Weigel below:

Why Rand Paul Is Not the “2016 GOP Front-Runner,” in One Chart
http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2...ot_the_2016_gop_frontrunner_in_one_chart.html

However, Ben Swann's website reports that the poll question producing this improbable result was biased. See here:

Eric Levenson also pointed out the fact that the University of New Hampshire poll’s question may have caused a bias among participants, “The particular phrasing of the question posed to responders also likely had an impact on Romney’s big advantage. The pollers first asked a bevy of questions and opinions about the expected Republican contestants, including Christie, Ryan, Paul, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and others. The poller then asked a follow-up question: ‘If Mitt Romney were to run for the Republican nomination…’ followed by a list of all those same potential candidates. Specifically calling out Romney before mentioning the other names may have had the effect of highlighting him above others and influencing the response.”

http://benswann.com/mainstream-media-rand-paul-is-the-2016-gop-presidential-frontrunner/

Romney may well be leading Rand right now in NH, but not by such a large margin. To the extent Romney is leading is mostly due to a big advantage in name recognition and that NH is a border state to Romney's hone state of Massachusetts.

In a real election, a race between Rand and Romney in NH would be competitive.

UPDATE:

In the 2012 NH primary, Romney finished with 39%, Ron Paul with 23%.
 
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Poll showing Romney beating Paul in NH was rigged

A recent poll in New Hampshire said that if Mitt Romney got into the 2016 presidential race, he would beat Rand Paul by a margin of 39%-7%.

This poll was seized upon by Paul family detractor Dave Weigel of Slate. A link to the poll can be found in the article by Weigel below:

Why Rand Paul Is Not the “2016 GOP Front-Runner,” in One Chart
http://www.slate.com/blogs/weigel/2...ot_the_2016_gop_frontrunner_in_one_chart.html

However, Ben Swann's website reports that the poll question producing this improbable result was biased. See here:



http://benswann.com/mainstream-media-rand-paul-is-the-2016-gop-presidential-frontrunner/

Romney may well be leading Rand right now in NH, but not by such a large margin. To the extent Romney is leading is mostly due to a big advantage in name recognition and that NH is a border state to Romney's hone state of Massachusetts.

In a real election, a race between Rand and Romney in NH would be competitive.

Is this talk of a Romney run actually possible? It's been coming up a lot in the news, but it's completely unprecedented for a presidential nominee who was trounced to run again for office, especially a 3rd run. Nixon did it as a young promising pol, and others like Reagan were successful, but he didn't win the nomination the first time. Seems way different for a veteran career politician deciding to give it a go again after an outcome like 2012. It would be like Bob Dole running again in 2000, or John Kerry in 2008.

Though I guess Romney is so opportunistic that he would do it if his delusional inner circle made him feel like he had a shot of beating Hilary.
 
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It's absurd that Romney would lead Rand Paul by a wider margin than he beat Ron Paul by in the 2012 primary.
 
It's absurd that Romney would lead Rand Paul by a wider margin than he beat Ron Paul by in the 2012 primary.

Not really that absurd considering there is a larger and different pool of candidates being polled here, but still unlikely that it would be by this much.
 
Is this talk of a Romney run actually possible? It's been coming up a lot in the news, but it's completely unprecedented for a presidential nominee who was trounced to run again for office, especially a 3rd run. Nixon did it as a young promising pol, and others like Reagan were successful, but he didn't win the nomination the first time. Seems way different for a veteran career politician deciding to give it a go again after an outcome like 2012. It would be like Bob Dole running again in 2000, or John Kerry in 2008.

Though I guess Romney is so opportunistic that he would do it if his delusional inner circle made him feel like he had a shot of beating Hilary.

Yes, Romney will be running after Bush and Christie announce they won't run. The GOP nomination will come down to Rand and Rom.
 
The most recent poll in both NH and IA show Rand Paul leading the field. Yes, Rand Paul is leading in NH. Rand Paul is also leading in IA.
 
The most recent poll in both NH and IA show Rand Paul leading the field. Yes, Rand Paul is leading in NH. Rand Paul is also leading in IA.
Him and his wife already said they are not running. He has made no indication that he is running. The establishment is focused on Bush. That's what the GOP has been talking about at least in Texas
 
What those numbers really say is that 61% would not support Romney if he entered the race.
 
Him and his wife already said they are not running. He has made no indication that he is running. The establishment is focused on Bush. That's what the GOP has been talking about at least in Texas

I also think the poll was rigged and that Romney will not enter the race. I'm glad that Rand Paul is doing so well this early out.
 
According to Gordon Duff, Ron Paul won the GOP nomination. Just remember to use paper ballots in the future.
 
Romney made a deal with the Pauls in 2012. Ron played nice and Rand endorsed in exchange for access to his donor base in 2016.
I don't think he will run, but if he does it could make some people angry.
The Koch brothers were all in for Romney. I wonder if they brokered the deal.
 
Romney made a deal with the Pauls in 2012. Ron played nice and Rand endorsed in exchange for access to his donor base in 2016.
I don't think he will run, but if he does it could make some people angry.
The Koch brothers were all in for Romney. I wonder if they brokered the deal.

This would imply Romney knew he was going to lose.
 
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