Thank you for the info. Your numbers posted match the "wrong" ones I used.
No they don't. You said "For the year 2009, total government revenues were $2.7 trillion
(it was actually $2.1 T) and $1.55 trillion of that came from individual income taxes ($1.2 trillion)
(it was actually $.92 T) and corporate taxes($339 billion)
(it was actually $.14 T).... Everything you used was estimates and projections, not the actual numbers (and from mismatched years, to confuse things even further).
I don't deny that Schiff has called for balancing the budget but don't see the details. He does speak in broad terms of things he thinks should be cut- and he is right on most of them. I also don't disagree that we need to start doing someting right now. The devil is in the details. As I pointed out, even without any changes in taxation, you can immediately reduce Social Security by 50% and cut every department in government by 100% including the Department of Defense- make them ALL zero dollars- and still not balance the budget this year.
In 2010:
Defense: $689 Billion. Cut in half, it's $345 Billion
SS, Medicaid, Medicare, and the rest of that stuff: $1.909 Trillion. Cut in half it's $955 Billion
Interest on debt: $197 Billion
All other departments go to $0
$955 + $345 + $197 = $1.497 Trillion
In 2010:
Individual income tax: $899 Billion
Corporate income tax: $191 Billion
Social insurance tax: $865 Billion
Excise tax: $67 Billion
Estate and Gift tax: $19 Billion
Customs: $25 Billion
Miscellaneous taxes: $96 Billion
Total tax confiscations in 2010: $2,162 Trillion
$2,162 (revenue) - 1,497 (outlays) = $665 Surplus
Not every department would have to go to $0, plus entitlement and defense spending reduced by 50% to balance the budget.
Now if you do institute cuts of $1.7 trillion (the projected shortfall for 2011), the GDP will take a huge hit.
Government projections are notoriously worthless. Use the 2010 numbers. $1.3 T. And no, the GDP will not take a huge hit. The money just stays in the private sector rather than being extracted and redistributed by the government. Unless you're referring just to the Fed's money printing? But the Fed isn't monetizing the entire deficit and that's not real GDP growth anyway, just inflation.
Not only do you lose the government spending portion of GDP, but those people in those jobs now have no job and no income. They are no longer out buying things from other businesses like grocery stores, hardwares stores, Best Buy or Walmart etc. Those businesses then have less money coming in and they need fewer workers so there will be even more layoffs. Tax base goes down even more meaning even less revenue for governments and more cuts. We have seen how this plays out over the past couple of years when even people who did not lose their jobs cut back on spending out of fear for losing theirs. Those cutbacks led to lower sales and businesses laid off even more people. And as we have seen, this trend is hard to reverse. Knocking $1.7 trillion out of the economy would have a similar negative impact on things.
Totally untrue. A lot of government jobs would be private sector jobs if the government wasn't involved. There will always be a need for teachers, firemen, police, etc. They may not have the same income if their jobs were funded by the private sector rather than with stolen tax money, but those jobs will still be there. And the reduced salary for them simply means other people have a higher income, so there is no net income change.
There are some jobs that the private sector would probably never fund: border patrol, tax collector, politician, and the like. Those people will experience a bout of unemployment, but if it forces them to find a productive line of work, then it will be for the better. Finding a more productive line of work ought to be easier in a much less encumbered economy.
Keep in mind that, Fed monetization aside, government debts compete with the private sector for capital. The government may take the money and pay for a bunch of unproductive people to sit on the border all day. This may or may not aid in consumption, but it is unequivocally harmful to a productive economy. It is production that grows an economy, not consumption. Forcing some people to pay for other people to be unproductive does not help an economy, and eliminating such government programs will not damage the economy. If the money was instead used in the private sector, maybe the unstolen tax money would be used to build a factory and the would-be border patrol agents instead could manufacture widgets.