Paul Jumps to 5% Nationally in Rasmussen Poll

[xao]

Polling organizations have various ways of determining who is a "likely Republican primary voter". One of the methods used is to ask whether the person voted in Republican primaries in either 2006 or 2004. They will also sometimes ask who the person voted for for President in 2004.
QUOTE]

That's correct. Most true Republicans dropped out of the party in 2000' or 04.
I changed to independent in 04 so there's no way in hell I would have recieved a chance to be in their phone poll survey.

 

[FSP-Rebel]

When I look at the affiliations of the RP supporters around me, I can honestly say that only about 5-10% are recent GOP registered voters. The vast majority are from our 'extras' category: libertarians, constitutionalists, 1st time voters/disaffected voters, anti-war dems, indies and other misc supporters. Our support is more likely already in the twenties+ but can't be captured, conventionally-speaking, til the primaries. And as far as other candidates jumping out at key times to throw their support towards neocon #1, it's fine because their primay turn-out rate will probably be under 20%. Not sayin that more work isn't necessary, but we need to have a little bit more confidence and strut to our walk.

 

[me3]

Winning the nomination is not as simple as having the highest percentage of Republican voters during the primaries or winning the most number of primary delegates. If the end of the primary season is reached without one candidate having a majority of the delegates, then the nominee will be decided during the national convention.

Quoted for Truth.

Stop watching polls, and get out and canvass for ballot petitions, delegates and Precinct Captains.

45% will not be enough if the other candidate's delegates all go to the other side. We have to address the actual voting process, not online or media polls. Not hate articles or hit pieces.

 

[HarryTuttle]

I would like to see the campaign fund their own poll where they can insure that the methods are sound...would be interesting. I can't believe that it is very expensive, you see polls for all kinds of stupid crap every day.

 

[freelance]

It is? Who told you that?

Margomaps, if you look toward the bottom of the article, you'll see:

Daily tracking results are from survey interviews conducted over four days ending last night. Each update includes approximately 750 Likely Democratic Primary Voters and 600 Likely Republican Primary Voters. Margin of sampling error for each is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Likely primary voters are voters who voted in the last presidential primary. Since Bush ran against no one, or no one of any importance, those voters who actually voted in the '04 Republican primary represent voters who gave George Bush a "vote of confidence."

 

[Mrossca]

keep in mind.. this 5% is the old neocon vote, not counting our core and new GOP

Agreed!

 

[Eryxis]

Paul is at 6% in todays poll... Huckabee down to 9