Our momentum is growing massively: Iowa 2.2x, New Hampshire 3.1x, South Carolina 4.7x

[harikaried]

Was hunter still in at that stage?

Duncan Hunter got 1,051 votes in the 1/19/08 primary and pulled out that night then endorsed Huckabee.

 

[harikaried]

I think that it is even more eloquent like this:
Iowa +120%
New Hampshire +210%
South Carolina +370%

Just got off the airplane and looks like the campaign went with the 4x messaging. Although I think it's just how people deal with numbers.

"our campaign quadrupled its amount of support from 2008 in South Carolina!"

 

[harikaried]

I think that it is even more eloquent like this:
Iowa +120%
New Hampshire +210%
South Carolina +370%

Just got off the airplane and looks like the campaign went with the 4x messaging. Although I think it's just how people deal with numbers.

"our campaign quadrupled its amount of support from 2008 in South Carolina!"

 

[millercards]

I was coming up with the same numbers last night and was pleased with the progress.

Thoughts:

We say we don't care about Florida because we're not going to win the winner-take-all state. But... in the overall count, I think we should still support our Grassroots movements there. There was a great post about a sign wave that put a smile on my face. I know it's delegates that count, but for the undecideds watching, we want them to see our overall numbers keep increasing.

Also, stop the South Carolina negative talk. Plain and simple, this is hard work. If you feel negative, then take action and help the cause. We had 3.6% of the vote in SC in 2008. We knew we weren't going to do that well, but we still kicked butt.

After our great improvement (almost quintupling 2008's total) in South Carolina, this is where we stand overall after only 3 states.

2008 - 46304 votes
2012 - 158374 votes

We have more than tripled our voters.

Someone in the thread asks how many candidates, and I say who cares. Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich are BRANDED into people's heads. Santorum is put into the heads of the people that have some interest in politics.

For all these people, Ron Paul is weird and a little unknown to them. The only way to change their mind is if they find Ron Paul on the internet and have their own "Ron Paul Wake Up Moment"... or if one of us convinces them to open their mind to him. Our only real ways of gaining support are: 1. Getting Ron Paul's name out there so people start to wonder 2. Have one on one conversations with people and give them information that interests them.

We have the information in place on the internet, and it continues to pile up. We just need to get his name out everywhere that we can so people start to google Ron Paul. From there, it's up to the one's that found Ron Paul (internet savvys) and tell their family, friends, etc.

I'm rambling... my point is....We don't have fake votes (if we do it's miniscule). Our votes are solidly earned. So for us to triple 2008 and have over 150K people actually make their way to the polls and vote for Ron Paul in only 3 states is AMAZING.

There is also a long way to go.

All that means is step it up.

If you're not helping yet, it's time to start.

If you are helping, it's time to do a little more.

If you're doing a lot, it's time to convince others to do more.

Let's do this. Ron Paul 2012!

 

[floridasun1983]

Lol, who cares about Florida. It's winner take all. The game is NV, CO, MN, and ME.

Everyone better. He's going to need Florida to beat Bam Bam.

 

[mport1]

For the sake of fairness and accuracy, if we are going to quote increases in terms of total votes, I think these results need to be adjusted for the difference in vote totals between 2008 and 2010. For example, South Carolina had about 160,000 more votes cast this time over last. It isn't a fair comparison to say that Ron Paul is 4.8X as popular this time as part of this increase is due to increased voter turnout.

 

[brushfire]

The momentum is gaining. I was watching van jones on cspan, earlier today, and he was definitely focused on attacking Ron's message (and libertarians in general). Not to get off topic, but its amazing to watch a communist talk about how they love liberty... So the point is, that Dr Paul is catching on, and they know it.

 

[NewRightLibertarian]

The momentum is gaining. I was watching van jones on cspan, earlier today, and he was definitely focused on attacking Ron's message (and libertarians in general). Not to get off topic, but its amazing to watch a communist talk about how they love liberty... So the point is, that Dr Paul is catching on, and they know it.

Yeah, he's definitely come a long way. We're making great progress especially with how the mainstream media has blacked him out.

 

[harikaried]

For the sake of fairness and accuracy, if we are going to quote increases in terms of total votes, I think these results need to be adjusted for the difference in vote totals between 2008 and 2010. For example, South Carolina had about 160,000 more votes cast this time over last. It isn't a fair comparison to say that Ron Paul is 4.8X as popular this time as part of this increase is due to increased voter turnout.

Curious, what's wrong with reporting the total change in actual votes? What you're suggesting is reporting on the change in % of votes. Just because say Santorum got more people out to vote means Ron Paul's percentage would go down, and you're saying his 4.8x increase should be less even though that many more people did show up to vote for Ron Paul?

 

[JohnM]

For the sake of fairness and accuracy, if we are going to quote increases in terms of total votes, I think these results need to be adjusted for the difference in vote totals between 2008 and 2010. For example, South Carolina had about 160,000 more votes cast this time over last. It isn't a fair comparison to say that Ron Paul is 4.8X as popular this time as part of this increase is due to increased voter turnout.

You mean like this?

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...The-First-Three-States.&p=4082541#post4082541

 

[Keith and stuff]

I don't think that's momentum. I think it's because Paul was fizzling out. 07 was disappointing to many. I remember how the expectations were that the polls were wildly off and then we got tons of threads claiming vote fraud.

It was momentum in South Carolina. Ron Paul got a bump in the polls in South Carolina because of how well he did in the New Hampshire Primary. In fact, Ron Paul was the only candidate to get a bump in SC because of NH.

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/entry.php?530-Paul’s-New-Hampshire-Bump

In polls by three different polling companies, Ron Paul had a significant bump in South Carolina. According to the South Carolina PPP poll before the New Hampshire Primary, Ron Paul polled at 9%. In the PPP poll right after the New Hampshire Primary, Ron Paul polled at 15%. The pre-New Hampshire Primary Rasmussen Reports poll had Ron Paul at 11%. The post-New Hampshire Primary Rasmussen Reports poll had Ron Paul at 16%. The American Research Group polls before and after the New Hampshire Primary showed a jump from 9% to 20% for Ron Paul in South Carolina.

While New Hampshire gave a bump to Ron Paul, no other candidate received a bump from the New Hampshire Primary. Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich did not change more than a point or two in either direction according to South Carolina polls by American Research Group, Rasmussen Reports and PPP.

Rick Santorum received a negative bump from the New Hampshire Primary. Rick Santorum was tied with Gingrich for second in South Carolina before the New Hampshire Primary. After the New Hampshire Primary, Santorum dropped 17 points from 24% to 7% according to American Research Group. According to Rasmussen Reports, Santorum dropped 8 points in South Carolina.

 

[trey4sports]

regardless of the outcome I am incredibly motivated by the sheer NUMBER of people supporting Ron Paul. It is truly incredible! 75,000 South Carolinian's SUPPORT Ron Paul! That is incredible. The message is spreading and they cannot drowned us out anymore.

 

[harikaried]

It was momentum in South Carolina. Ron Paul got a bump in the polls in South Carolina because of how well he did in the New Hampshire Primary. In fact, Ron Paul was the only candidate to get a bump in SC because of NH.

I have a feeling it was from his 2nd-place concession speech in New Hampshire. Nevada can't come soon enough! I suppose at least Romney and Gingrich will be wasting lots of money in Florida and hopefully be weaker going into Nevada.

 

[Pyyro]

Other candidates will have 3 days to campaign in Nevada if you exclude primary/caucus dates. Could prove advantageous for Ron Paul.

 

[moderate libertarian]

Consisteny and steady growth, it's a mark of real change and not some shot lived fad like other candidates zig zag support.

 

[FreeTraveler]

I blogged on this, and the delegate process, extensively yesterday. As a bonus, there's some commentary on the improvement in ads from that "He's catchin' on" ad in 2008 to the good stuff we're seeing this time.

The Republican establishment has a huge "crab grassroots" problem, and no idea how to concoct an appropriate herbicide.

http://tirelessagorist.blogspot.com/2012/01/hes-catchin-on-im-tellin-ya.html