All dollar related
Look at the commodity market as an airline going broke. They had the sale already a few months ago, now they will realign capacity, the weak go broke and the strong work for a profit, not to pay next months loan. So now, all commodities will be priced profitably. Canada Tar sands oil cannot be sold at 50.00 at a profit, its 75.00 to 80.00. There is ample supply but not to be sold at a discount to cost. Same with all commodities, the last of which to rebound will be lumber. Mills have closed, inventory sold off and layoffs all over. Once the supply and demand picture is even the price will go back up to operate at a profit. As the dollar has nowhere to go but down, commodities will rise and if demand is weak, they will just layoff people rather than sell at a loss. What it means is high prices,sluggish demand and huge unemployment.