Official Mid Term Election Thread

[TheTexan]

First House seat flips. Dem. Jennifer Wexton beats Rep. Barbara Comstock in Virginia.

 

[eleganz]

She was favorite to win but sometimes favorites lose too, so it is sort of news still.
And it is definitely "bad news" for GOP-Jarvanka Democrats. Ask Steve Bannon, he'd say the same.

Turning nothing into something.

A blue district staying blue doesn't mean anything. Are you trolling or do you really just not know this stuff?

 

[eleganz]

First House seat flips. Dem. Jennifer Wexton beats Rep. Barbara Comstock in Virginia.

VA-7 Starring Dave Brat is looking like a photo finish. He is leading by a few thousand but the LP is siphoning a few thousand votes on top of it all.

 

[Swordsmyth]

Meanwhile, another flip has taken place for Democrats, with NBC News reporting that Donna Shalala has won the race to replace retiring GOP Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen in Florida.

And yet, as Bloomberg notes, in somewhat encouraging news for Republicans, "in the latest forecast Democratic chances of controlling the House have slipped to 4 in 5, according to FiveThirtyEight, while Republican odds of holding the Senate are now 14 in 15. Still, that suggests the GOP needs a remarkable run of good luck to hold onto the Speaker's gavel."

More at: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-06/first-exit-polls-arrive-all-eyes-are-indiana-and-kentucky

 

[Swordsmyth]

VIRGINIA: GOP Holds on to House Seat; Olivia Wilde’s Dem. Mom Loses:

#VA05: Denver Riggleman (R) defeats Leslie Cockburn (D). GOP hold. This district voted 53%-42% for Trump in 2016.
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 7, 2018
​

Now: @oliviawilde talking to supporters. @NBC29 https://t.co/tj8QfQGl2r
— Lowell Rose NBC29 (@LowellRoseNews) November 5, 2018
​

8:13 PM: FLORIDA: GOP holds on to House seat:​

NEW: Republican Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart is projected to win re-election in Florida's 25th Congressional District. https://t.co/aEbQQMVVRY pic.twitter.com/FPgqnwWOqH
— NPR Politics (@nprpolitics) November 7, 2018
​

8:10 PM: FLORIDA: Scott, DeSantis take leads as votes from the Florida panhandle come in…

More at: https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2018/11/06/live-updates-2018-midterm-election-results/
​

 

[AuH20]

They are going to burn stuff if the republicans hold the house. The media has them frothing at the mouth for weeks.

 

[Xenliad]

Andrew Napolitano is livestreaming: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xqGWIbuXYQs

 

[enhanced_deficit]

Some good news building for GOP perhaps:

Dow futures jump 100 points as midterm election results begin to roll in

Yeah, the Republican with no name recognition, no debates, and literally zero social media activity could have upset the most famous junior Congresswoman in the country

Ocasio-Cortez is going to be a major boon to the right. The Dems are going to elect a progressive, latina version of Sarah Palin who won't have a fraction of Joe Crowley's fundraising power.

You may have a point on fund raising, by the same token Trump's largest funder being a left-wing democrat neocon would be a boon for Dems in the long run as his secret dealings with his funders become more public. Clash of such emerging narratives as "progressive socialist" vs "fraud" is bound to be interesting for sure. But Dems overall have been spineless, timid and Trump has been bold; so GOP has some advantage still.

Cortez win was quite significant because she was able to win after taking such poblic "anti-Israel" stance in that deep blue district. GOP-Javanks Democrats aka Netnyahu-Conservatives would have been very happy with Crowley's win.

 

[specsaregood]

Going to vote in a few hours. I can’t decide if I’m going to swallow my pride and vote republican or stick with my principles and vote for the libertarian.

The republican has a decent chance of taking down Robert Menendez who has been in office for 25 years. . Best shot in years since his indictment (just-us took care of him)

Hugin is a shitty republican. Weak at best on guns, pro spending.

The Sabrin is more libertarian than Hugin is conservative.

First chance in forever that the GOP might beat the Democrat senate candidate... and the first time in forever that I've seen Libertarian candidate signs around town.

 

[AuH20]

I voted Larry Sharpe for Governor and then Republicans down ticket. NY sucks though.

 

[AuH20]

It's starting to sink in. No blue wave.

https://www.democraticunderground.com/100211376416

 

[eleganz]

They are going to burn stuff if the republicans hold the house. The media has them frothing at the mouth for weeks.

More mob footage for 2020

In other news, looks like Dave Brat is increasing his lead on VA-7, this was a toss up district (not Alexandra Cortez like some RPF members think is actually a toss up race, LOL!)

Definitely not a blue wave.

538's odds for Dems to take house went from 88% down to now 57%....lol

 

[enhanced_deficit]

Early sign of potential setback for GOP-Netanyahu Conservatives and neocons poodle 'lyin Ted' could really lose?


[SIZE=+7]TEX SEN
BETO 50.52% CRUZ 48.88%
[/SIZE]

 

[AuH20]

Bratt is losing by a small margin. Very late.

 

[AuH20]

Barr holds Kentucky 6.

 

[Origanalist]

LIVE AGENDA-FREE ELECTION RESULTS COVERAGE

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kQ12HGmcK2E

 

[Swordsmyth]

Democratic incumbent Joe Donnelly has lost to Republican challenger Mike Braun in Indiana, a major blow to Dems that means Republicans will likely expand their majority in the Senate. Pollsters have called it: The GOP has won the Senate. And as Lexington Kentucky's Andy Barr has won re-election, dealing a major blow to Democrats' ambitions for winning a solid majority in the House. Because of this, real-time projections that Democrats will retake the House have fallen to 50%. For those keeping score at home, the GOP has retained two competitive seats (VA5 and KY6), while Dems have swung two (VA10, FL27)
Meanwhile, in New Jersey, Democrats have dodged what would have been a major blow to their Congressional ambitions now that New Jersey's Senate Race has been called for Bob Menendez. Menendez has managed to win a third term, averting what would have been the first Republican senatorial victory in New Jersey since 1972, despite being admonished by the Senate in April for accepting unreported gifts and travel from a friendly Florida doctor who is now imprisoned on insurance fraud charges. That admonition came after Menendez survived a trial, and then was acquitted during a retrial, on corruption charges of his own. The Feds dropped their case against Menendez afterwards, but doubts about Menendez's ethical bearings helped make the race somewhat competitive.
Menendez defeated Republican Bob Hugin, a former chairman of Celgene Corp., a millionaire who self-funded his campaign.
Bloomberg is reporting that hopes for a "blue wave" type victory have continued to fizzle, as Republicans are still easily winning seats that would have been competitive if Democrats had a real shot at a sweeping victory. Case in point: CBS News has declared the open seat in Florida's 15th congressional district will likely go to Republican Ross Spano, meaning that Dems have missed another important opportunity to flip a seat.
As the odds that Democrats will win a large majority in the House sink, pollster Nate Silver revealed that he's switching his forecasting models to a more conservative setting.

Well, I'm trying to do 6 things at once -- we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) November 7, 2018​

* * *

More at: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-11-06/first-exit-polls-arrive-all-eyes-are-indiana-and-kentucky

 

[spudea]

538 gave Democrat Joe Donnelly a 7 in 8 chance to win re-election, but the race is being called for Republican Braun. FUCK THE POLLS

 

[AuH20]

 

[Swordsmyth]

And now some good news for Republicans, who managed to hold Florida's 25th district, where Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart is projected to win re-election, according to AP. That was another seat where if we were seeing a "Blue tsunami", the Republican could have been in trouble.

More at: https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-...a-and-kentucky