NV CAUCUS-GOERS: Please post your observations / live results in this thread!

[affa]

Gingrich went from 45% to 65% on Intrade in like a minute. Not reading too much into it. Intrade doesn't predict trends, they follow reported trends. Better to follow the actual data.

That just means someone with money bought a lot in a short period, correct? Pretty cheap way to create imagined support, if you ask me.

 

[sirachman]

removed

 

[cstarace]

Final results at Dilworth Middle School: Romney 140; Newt 100; Paul 71; Santorum 39.

 

[bluesc]

Son, when you've done Nevada politics for a third as long as I have, come talk to me.

Until then, you really don't know what you are talking about.

Calling people "son" makes you sound like a complete idiot. If you were some big time insider in Nevada politics, you wouldn't be arguing with people over the internet right now. Create your own thread for your ridiculous argument.

 

[EndTheECB]

Of course, this could be anything from a 2 vote lead in a 20 vote precinct to something like 20-100 votes in the lead in a huge precinct.

Still, I think we'll come second. The areas we did best in (eg. Nye) aren't even in yet.

Too bad then Nye only is like 3% of the total vote. The only counties that really matters is Clark and Washoe (~75% of the votes put together). So Paul better get good numbers in Clark county.

 

[JohnGalt23g]

RalstonFlash Jon Ralston
Latest from field: Romney holding at 60, but likely to go down a bit. Near tie for 2nd. Watch Elko, Nye: Paul will do well there. #nvcaucus

I wish he'd come through with some more Nye County results.

 

[RonPaulGangsta]

I didn't nec mention Nevada, even though this thread is about NV.

Are you telling me that there was no possible fraud in IA?

Let John live in Imaginationland where everyone loves Ron Paul.

 

[ghengis86]

That just means someone with money bought a lot in a short period, correct? Pretty cheap way to create imagined support, if you ask me.

yes. the float isn't great so it doesn't take much cash to swing the percentages.

 

[RonPaulGangsta]

Too bad then Nye only is like 3% of the total vote. The only counties that really matters is Clark and Washoe (~75% of the votes put together). So Paul better get good numbers in Clark county.

Link to live results?

 

[pauliticalfan]

That just means someone with money bought a lot in a short period, correct? Pretty cheap way to create imagined support, if you ask me.

In the end the market catches up to reality. It's like when Herman Cain bought up a whole bunch of his books. Did his book sales improve? Yes, but in the long run he ended up nowhere.

 

[Hook]

Who gives a shit about Intrade.

Because Intrade almost always gets it right. Much better than the polls. For the same reason the free market works. It aggregates information from everyone involved to predict the outcome.

 

[RDM]

Son, when you've done Nevada politics for a third as long as I have, come talk to me.

Until then, you really don't know what you are talking about.

Just curious. Do you know who is "Mr. Cleanface"?

 

[sailingaway]

Because Intrade almost always gets it right. Much better than the polls. For the same reason the free market works. It aggregates information from everyone involved to predict the outcome.

that simply isn't true. It was flipped twenty minutes ago. Why wasn't 'that' getting it right? It changes right up to the last minute

 

[KingNothing]

Because Intrade almost always gets it right. Much better than the polls. For the same reason the free market works. It aggregates information from everyone involved to predict the outcome.

This thread is way, way, WAY better than Intrade, though.

Intrade is just a reflection of the information contained here. Nothing more.

 

[pipewerKz]

Total count for Valley High School -

Gingrich - 50
Paul - 115
Romney - 136
Santorum - 29

I volunteered for the caucus, we were under staffed and things were crazy. I didn't get to vote in my precinct meeting because we were so swamped. Volunteers at the site held a caucus after everyone was gone - Paul 3, Newt 2, Mitt 1. I am a delegate as well

 

[RPit]

I think all this just proves that the meme: "One thing is for sure, Ron Paul Supporters will show up", is completely self-centered BULLSHIT. We have enthusiasm to go and attend rallies and 'party' loud. But when it comes to going to the boring place called caucus, forgettaboutit.

 

[affa]

Seriously, the political world does not exist to shut down Ron Paul. It is the height of either paranoia or self-centeredness to think so.

No, it exists to get their candidate nominated and the establisment choice elected. Silencing Ron Paul is part of that. It is the height of having your head stuck in the sand to deny this.

 

[RonPaulRules]

3rd Place in NV is not bad. It show's Ron is not out of this yet.

 

[Noblegeorge]

So chances are still 50/50 for second?

 

[SCOTUSman]

Intrade at the Ames Iowa straw poll had him absolutely at no chance (single digits) of winning the Ames straw poll, Ron came within a fraction of 1% of winning it.