Nuclear Deterrence Requires Dozens Of Warheads — Not Thousands

PAF

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May 5, 2025


Over the next decade, the US government plans to spend nearly $1 trillion on its nuclear arsenal—with the actual cost certain to run even higher than that. The huge outlay is driven in part by the sheer size of America’s doomsday-weapon collection, which comprises an estimated 3,700 deployed or stockpiled nuclear warheads, not counting another 1,500 that are purportedly “retired” and awaiting dismantlement.

Though Americans have been conditioned to think it’s reasonable to maintain such a large arsenal, the idea that thousands of warheads are required to deter nuclear aggression rests on flawed thinking about the nature of deterrence. While defense contractors and military bureaucracies enriched by the status quo will tell you otherwise, the truth is that an adequate arsenal of nuclear warheads can be measured not in thousands, but mere dozens.


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Dozens of warheads isn't realistic.

In a nuclear war you have 100s if not 1000s of potential targets.

All of our delivery methods need modernized to last 50 years.

If they can nuke us and we can't nuke them back because they can shoot our nukes out of the sky they will.
 
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