News from Iowa

Ron is going to speak at Iowa State!


From the meetup group:
When:
Friday, October 26, 2007, 6:00 PM 20071026T230000Z
Where:
Iowa State Memorial Union
2229 Lincoln Way North Side, by the fountain
Ames , IA 50011
Description:

Dr. Paul is coming to speak at the Campanile Room on Friday evening, Oct. 26 and we are having a rally beforehand to welcome Dr. Paul. Bring signs and flags, wear Ron Paul t-shirts if you have one and bring anything else you have that we can use to help promote Dr. Paul. We will be meeting at 6pm on the north side of the Memorial Union at ISU (i.e., by the fountain and just south of the Campanile) prior to Dr. Paul's talk.

This event has NOT been confirmed by the campaign. Please sit tight on your plans until you hear confirmation from the campaign regarding events while Ron Paul is in Iowa.

Ron Paul WILL be in Iowa on Saturday the 27th and plans for events are underway.
 
Anybody who is in the IC/CR area:

I was driving back down to Iowa City this morning after spending the weekend at home and realized that a perfect spot for a Ron Paul sign would be near that sign that says "God is Pro-Life. Are you?" (Its just as you are leaving Cedar Rapids on I-380). The owner of that property would probably have some interest in Ron Paul. I don't know the person or how to get a hold of them, but if somebody has time I think that spot should definitely be looked into.
 
Ron Paul WILL be in Iowa on Saturday the 27th and plans for events are underway.

Just ONE day? Maybe I'm wrong, but it seems to me that he's got to start spending some real time in these early primary states.
 
Just ONE day? Maybe I'm wrong, but it seems to me that he's got to start spending some real time in these early primary states.

I think you're right. His website says he'll be in Wyoming on the 28th so I guess he's only going for a day. It's good that he makes a visit out to Wyoming since that'll be one of the first primaries, but Iowa is very important. There's a debate in Iowa on November 6th, so hopefully he makes his way back and campaigns in Iowa for a little while before or after the debate.
 
The Ron Paul event in Ames on Friday, October 26th has been confirmed. Ron Paul will appear at 6:00 PM in the Campanile Room of the Memorial Union at Iowa State University.
 
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As discussed elsewhere, the Iowa Caucuses are moving to January 3rd.

Here's an interesting story about the typical caucus participant:

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20071015/NEWS09/710150323/1001/NEWS

In the table showing characteristics of the typical participant, it's interesting to note that 75% of participants are 45 or older. They are 95% white and at least 92% Christian.
 
Democrat Chris Dodd has announced that he and has family have rented a house in Des Moines and will be LIVING in Iowa from now until the caucuses on January 3rd. I also read that his campaign has 72 paid staffers in Iowa. Holy cow!

In the 1988 race Dick Gephardt moved to Iowa, too - and he actually won the caucuses.
 
When I went to caucus training in Cedar Rapids, the guy told us that the democrats had 30 paid staff in Iowa for every one republican. :eek::(:confused:
 
Anybody who is in the IC/CR area:

I was driving back down to Iowa City this morning after spending the weekend at home and realized that a perfect spot for a Ron Paul sign would be near that sign that says "God is Pro-Life. Are you?" (Its just as you are leaving Cedar Rapids on I-380). The owner of that property would probably have some interest in Ron Paul. I don't know the person or how to get a hold of them, but if somebody has time I think that spot should definitely be looked into.

It looks like the sign is a project of the St. Ludmila Church of Cedar Rapids.

http://www.stludmila.org/prolife/
 
It looks like the sign is a project of the St. Ludmila Church of Cedar Rapids.

http://www.stludmila.org/prolife/

Nice find. Your in Portland and you found that? Well, I was going to drive up to Cedar Rapids sometime this week and try to talk to the owners of the land. But, should I talk to this group? I don't think they own the land or anything. And I wonder why they had to hold bake sales to pay for this sign, why would something like that have any cost other than materials. You think the owners of the land would charge?
 
I found it through the magic of Google and your excellent description.

I would guess that the church could tell you who the owner of the property is (and they're probably going to be friendlier toward Ron now that the pro-life Catholic Brownback has dropped out).
 
This story from the Des Moines Register will really tell you what's going on in the Presidential race in Iowa. The numbers of offices and paid staff in Iowa for some of these candidates is amazing. Draw your own conclusions.

Here's the link:
http://www.desmoinesregister.com/ap...D=/20071024/NEWS09/710240377/-1/caucus&lead=1


Democrats outdo Republicans in Iowa caucus push

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Democratic candidates for president have wagered vastly more on Iowa than their Republican counterparts, a sign the state's caucuses are seen as more pivotal to the Democratic nomination.

Consider this: John Edwards and Barack Obama each has more staff in Iowa than all of the Republican caucus campaigns combined, with Hillary Clinton close behind.

Even the Democratic field's lesser-known candidates have built caucus organizations several times the size of some of the best-known Republicans' operations, according to a review of several criteria by The Des Moines Register.

The Republican national front-runner, Rudy Giuliani, spent 62 consecutive days away from Iowa before returning last week.
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One reason for the disparity is that Democrats have raised more money than Republicans and have a lot more to spend with less than 2months until the caucuses.

Another is that the Iowa caucuses traditionally have been less decisive a contest for the GOP nomination.

But the intensity of the Democratic campaign compared with the Republican contest in Iowa also is a sign that the state is the place where Clinton is most vulnerable.

"I think the Democratic challengers to Hillary see Iowa as their best chance to become the anybody-but-Hillary candidate," Georgetown University political science professor Stephen Wayne said.

Stories about each party emerge from the campaign activity reported by the campaigns and found in Federal Election Commission reports.

One factor is staff size, a measure of strength in caucus campaigns, where recruiting and keeping track of supporters is labor-intensive.

Obama, an Illinois senator, had 145 Iowa employees in September, according to third-quarter reports filed last week. Edwards, a former North Carolina senator who ran four years ago, had 130 on the ground.

Clinton had 117 employees in Iowa, where polls have shown the New York senator in a tight race for the caucuses with Edwards and Obama. Iowa is the only early nominating state where Clinton, the party's national front-runner, is not comfortably ahead of her Democratic opponents.


Clinton, Edwards, Obama active in C.R.
The intensity of the three top campaigns in Iowa is noticeable in their Cedar Rapids offices, said Mike Robinson, Democratic chairman for Linn County, Iowa's second most populous county.

"As far as organizations go, I am very impressed by Senator Clinton's and Senator Obama's campaigns," said Robinson, who said he plans to remain neutral for the caucuses.

A regular visitor to the half-dozen Cedar Rapids campaign headquarters, Robinson described Clinton's, Edwards' and Obama's offices as bustling.

"They are always introducing me to some new staffer they've brought in," he said. "The other offices are kind of Spartan."

Even the Democrats competing in Iowa who trail the top three candidates have bigger staffs than almost every Republican.

Both New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson and Connecticut Sen. Chris Dodd have more than 70 staffers in Iowa. Aides said the campaigns had added staffers since Oct. 1. Aides to Delaware Sen. Joe Biden said that he had 30 Iowa staffers.

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has the largest paid Iowa organization among Republicans, with 67 people, according to his report.

The closest any other Republicans come are former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani and former Tennessee Sen. Fred Thompson, each with 12 staff members.

Thompson, however, has put his staff together since entering the race six weeks ago, while Giuliani made his first Iowa hire in February.

John McCain's staff has grown since it was cut sharply in July because of financial problems. Ron Paul's campaign now has five staff members after the Texas congressman raised $5 million last quarter. Meanwhile, there was little growth in other GOP camps.

Staff numbers are only one measure of organization. Another is how those aides spend their time.

Romney is routinely mentioned by GOP activists around Iowa as a candidate whose staff is in regular touch with party leaders.


Romney's aides attend meetings
Barb Livingston, Marshall County GOP chairwoman, said Romney aides are regulars at her monthly party meetings. Aides for McCain, U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo of Colorado, and little-known Chicago businessman John Cox also are often there, she said.

"I've also been getting a lot of calls from the Thompson field staff in Iowa," said Livingston, who does not plan to endorse a candidate before the caucuses. "We hear from Giuliani the least in Marshall County."

How often and where the candidates visit Iowa is another indicator of organization in Iowa and shows how broadly the campaigns' reach stretches.

Marshall County, about 45 miles northeast of Des Moines, is a common campaign stop for candidates in either party, with roughly 8,000 Republicans and slightly fewer Democrats.

In 12 days of campaigning in Iowa, Giuliani has not been there, but all of his GOP opponents have.

For the Democrats, Edwards has ventured deepest into Iowa this year, having campaigned in 91 counties. He is on pace to repeat his 2004 campaign's visit to all 99 counties, which helped propel him to second place in the caucuses and has raised expectations for him in 2008.

Biden has spent almost 60 days in Iowa, the most of any candidate in either party. Dodd may challenge him for that distinction in light of his planned move to Des Moines this month of his wife, Jackie, with the couple's two young daughters.

Of the six most active Democrats in Iowa, Clinton has visited Iowa least and touched the fewest counties, although she has reached into rural Iowa. Clinton campaigned in Carroll and Sioux counties Saturday, bringing her total to 37.

Although Edwards has been the most aggressive in rural Iowa, Richardson and Obama have gained notice from Democratic activists in less-traveled areas.

Richardson has campaigned in 80 counties, including rural Adair County last week. Obama has been in almost 60, but he also has offices in 31 Iowa cities, the most in either party.

"I would say Obama, Clinton and Edwards are the best organized down here, with Richardson starting to get more organized," said Cheryll Jones, Democratic chairwoman in Davis County in rural southeast Iowa. Jones supports Clinton.

For the Republicans, Cox has been in 60 counties.

Of the better-known candidates, Romney has campaigned in the most Iowa counties, 55, while Tancredo has spent the most days the state, 51.


Traffic drops off after straw poll
Republican campaign traffic has slowed noticeably since the Ames straw poll, an early test of Iowa campaign organization that drew more than 14,000 people to Iowa State University on Aug. 11.

Most noticeably absent has been Giuliani, not just at the straw poll.

In the span between Giuliani's Aug. 15 and Oct. 17 visits, Thompson made his first three trips to Iowa, nearly matching Giuliani's total days in Iowa and counties visited.

The GOP lull and organizational disparity is a sign that more Republicans view contests after the caucuses as more make-or-break, while Democrats see Iowa as ground zero, presidential campaign scholar Larry Sabato said.

"On the Democratic side, it is quite possible that everything will come down to Iowa, and that is bound to drive up expenditures all around," said Sabato, director of University of Virginia's Center for Politics.
 
13 Romney ads and 0 for any other Republican. No wonder Romney is winning here, some people only know him and few, if any, of the other Republican candidates.

We need to do some of those grassroots TV ads here. I started a discussion on my meetup site and only one person has replied. I think I will get the help of these guys http://www.operationnh.com/index.html. And I will start a ChipIn. Anybody know how much it would cost to air ads in Iowa?
 
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I saw a newspaper ad for Paul in the CR Gazette today. Quarter page. It wasn't really my thing personally, heavy on Paul's personal family and religious beliefs, not much policy. I'm assuming the campaign is doing what's best to appeal to people around here though.
 
We don't need to do anything special to be eligible to be a delegate, do we? I thought we could just show up and volunteer, but all the discussion about it is making me uncertain.
 
This could be the longest thread ever!

Anyhow, what sort of straw poll is there to vote in? Is it online?
 
Ron Paul's coming to Ames for a rally on Friday, and rumor has it that MSNBC will be there to cover it.
:)
 
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