New post-debate poll from Morning Consult

[RonPaulFanInGA]

Trump: 36%
Carson: 12%
Cruz: 11%
Rubio: 9%
Bush: 7%
Paul: 3%
Fiorina: 2%
Christie: 2%

http://morningconsult.com/2015/12/​new-post-debate-poll-trump/

Rand Paul is up a point from their pre-debate poll; Cruz fell after the debate.

 

[CPUd]

The Morning Consult poll surveyed 1340 registered Republican and Republican leaning voters from Dec. 12 to 15 and 861 registered Republican and Republican leaning voters following the GOP debate from Dec. 16 to 17 for a margin of error of +/- three percentage points. One-third of the poll was conducted through live telephone interviews, one-third by interactive voice response (IVR), and one-third online.

____

 

[bronc_fan23]

New New Hampshire poll.

He's still at 3%. Granted it was taken from the 13-17th.

54% could still change their mind.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/263695-rivals-surge-behind-trump-in-nh-poll

 

[limequat]

Hopefully, this is just the beginning of the upward trend.

 

[Dianne]

Trump: 36%
Carson: 12%
Cruz: 11%
Rubio: 9%
Bush: 7%
Paul: 3%
Fiorina: 2%
Christie: 2%

http://morningconsult.com/2015/12/​new-post-debate-poll-trump/

Rand Paul is up a point from their pre-debate poll; Cruz fell after the debate.

I'm happy to see Christie at 2%. I think he scared the hell out of everyone when he said he would declare a no fly zone in Syria and shoot down any Russian aircraft in it. It restores my faith in republicans, for a brief moment, that they are not ready for World War III .

 

[bronc_fan23]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/GOPResults.pdf


Rand's at 2% in this national poll.

Still negative when it comes to favorability. Most interesting stat is second choice candidates. He is highest second choice with Fiorina and Graham voters, believe it or not. So maybe he would benefit from them dropping out, but at this point who knows.

Rand's favorability is higher with those who want a nominee with the most conservative views, compare to those who want one that has the best shot at beating a Democrat.

 

[limequat]

New New Hampshire poll.

He's still at 3%. Granted it was taken from the 13-17th.

54% could still change their mind.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/263695-rivals-surge-behind-trump-in-nh-poll

I don't wan to post the favorability chart, but it shows the more people pay attention, the more they like rand. Going from Follows Primaries Somehwat Closely" to "Very Closely" net favorability goes up about 5%.

 

[luctor-et-emergo]

Still negative when it comes to favorability. Most interesting stat is second choice candidates. He is highest second choice with Fiorina and Graham voters, believe it or not. So maybe he would benefit from them dropping out, but at this point who knows.

That alone tells me it's a crap poll. There may not be a lot of those but really ?!

 

[derek4ever]

Slow and steady is how the turtle won the race! As long as de continue to up, things can still happen!

 

[dude58677]

Donald Trump buying off pollsters. Why else would his numbers not drop no matter what takes place or doesn't take place especially with gaffe after gaffe?

 

[luctor-et-emergo]

Donald Trump buying off pollsters. Why else would his numbers not drop no matter what takes place or doesn't take place especially with gaffe after gaffe?

What does it take to run a poll and is that something we could do ourselves ? I have called 500 phone numbers in 3 days before... That was to check if an address list was still correct but it's not exactly a whole lot of work if done by a couple people.

 

[Crashland]

What does it take to run a poll and is that something we could do ourselves ? I have called 500 phone numbers in 3 days before... That was to check if an address list was still correct but it's not exactly a whole lot of work if done by a couple people.

It takes a lot of work to conduct a scientific poll. You can't just call 500 random people or 500 random republicans

 

[CPUd]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/GOPResults.pdf


Rand's at 2% in this national poll.

Still negative when it comes to favorability. Most interesting stat is second choice candidates. He is highest second choice with Fiorina and Graham voters, believe it or not. So maybe he would benefit from them dropping out, but at this point who knows.

Rand's favorability is higher with those who want a nominee with the most conservative views, compare to those who want one that has the best shot at beating a Democrat.

The way PPP does 2nd choice, you have to pay attention to the "base" 1st choice, because 2nd choice is relative to that. Example, if 2 in their sample have Graham 1st choice and 1 of those have Paul 2nd choice, it would show 50% of Graham voters have Paul for 2nd choice. That sample is way too small to confidently project that over the population.

Overall, this poll looks more like a general electorate than registered GOP. 59% of "very liberal" ideology voted Trump (1% overall); in PPP, Rand usually gets the majority of those. In the favorability breakdowns, the "not sure" is a bit high for December. Rand was usually around 10%, this one it is 23%.

They also ask favorables (in the same order) before preference.

 

[65fastback2+2]

That alone tells me it's a crap poll. There may not be a lot of those but really ?!

truth