Of all the memes that you could've possibly used. You chose a use the leading character of a show that was instrumental in starting the liberal attack on the working white males culture and work ethic.
Incumbent party has a disadvantage for sure. IT so happens though that demographics are changing where every election becomes a little bit more favorable towards democrats. Demographics are already bad enough. So the question is whether incumbent hate is still strong enough.
But I went off topic. You are saying he will lose. So that is your reputation on the line here. Just as mine is.