There are lots of unknowns here. Will Bright and Mace split the Graham vote, or will they split each other? Do either have enough independent Tea Party support to do well? Who might the Pauls endorse? And is the effort worth it, for a seat with an entenched incumbent like Graham? Are we letting our intense dislike of the incumbent warhawk get in the way of a sober assessment that taking his seat may be very unlikely?
1. They will split the anti-establishment vote
2. Both do.
Lee Bright is a state senator with the strongest voting record I have ever seen in state government.
Nancy Mace is the first female graduate of the army citadel, runs an influential conservative political firm in SC,
and is closely associated with Tom Davis.
3. Ron has stated he will endorse anyone who makes it into a runoff against Grahm.
Don't count on Rand endorsing any candidate in a primary against incumbents.
He has said that he won't and he is playing Mr. 'GOP-Unity' right now.
4. Kicking Grahm out would scare the shit out of most 'moderate' / establishment republicans.
Something like this would elevate the Paul-Cruz-Lee brand and other senators would be forced to fall in line and follow their leadership.
Club for Growth, Senate Conservatives Fund, Heritage have hinted at this strategy, rather than dispersing funds into many races.
