swissaustrian
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- Joined
- Feb 21, 2011
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Just stumbled upon this:
Sombody leaked all 57 pages of the INTERNAL 2008 stimulus plan for the Obama administration which was authored by uber-Keynesian and Goldman Sachs crony Larry Summers. Date: 12-15-2008. Here you can see what the central planners really thought about the state of the economy right after the collapse of the housing market. They knew how bad things were, they falsely thought they could change this.
Link to the PDF: http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/285065/summers-12-15-08-memo.pdf
In short: They have been W-R-O-N-G. But it's a very interesting read
Sombody leaked all 57 pages of the INTERNAL 2008 stimulus plan for the Obama administration which was authored by uber-Keynesian and Goldman Sachs crony Larry Summers. Date: 12-15-2008. Here you can see what the central planners really thought about the state of the economy right after the collapse of the housing market. They knew how bad things were, they falsely thought they could change this.
Link to the PDF: http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/285065/summers-12-15-08-memo.pdf
In short: They have been W-R-O-N-G. But it's a very interesting read
Sensitive & Confidential
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY OF ECONOMIC POLICY WORK
Economic Recovery Plan
• In the absence of fiscal stimulus the economy is projected to lose 3 to 4 million jobs in
2009. Together with the jobs we have already lost and population growth, we will be 7
million jobs short of full employment. The unemployment rate is projected to rise above
9 percent and not projected to start falling until 2011.
• We believe that $600 billion in stimulus over two years would create 2.5 million jobs
relative to what would happen in the absence of stimulus. However, this falls well short
of filling the job shortfall and would leave the unemployment rate at 8 percent two years
from now. This has convinced the economic team that a considerably larger package is
, justified.
• The core of the package being recommended - investments and targeted tax cuts for
energy, infrastructure, health, education, protecting the most vulnerable, and other
priorities - totals only about $225 billion over two years and nearly $300 billion when it
fully spends out. We do not believe it is feasible to design sensible proposals along these
lines that go much beyond this total size.
• As a result, it may be necessary to consider two other elements for your plan: state fiscal
relief and tax cuts for individuals and businesses. Although these are not as important to
your priorities and are not as effective as stimulus, it is impossible to achieve your
macroeconomic objectives without them.
• The memo outlines four alternative plan ranging from $550 billion to $890 billion with
the difference between them being the state fiscal relief and tax proposals.