Latest Reuters poll: post-debate bump for Rand to 5.2%

[randomname]

Among republicans:

Businessman Donald Trump 36.0%
Surgeon and author Ben Carson 14.6%
Fla. Sen. Marco Rubio 11.2%
Tex. Sen. Ted Cruz 7.9%
Wouldn’t vote 6.7%
Former Fla. Gov. Jeb Bush 6.3%
Ken. Sen. Rand Paul 5.2%
Ohio Gov. John Kasich 2.7%
Former Ark. Gov. Mike Huckabee 2.5%
Former Sen. candidate and business executive Carly Fiorina 2.5%

http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/TR130/filters/PARTY_ID_:2/dates/20151110-20151117/type/day

Among likely republican primary voters:

Time Frame: Nov 10, 2015 - Nov 17, 2015 (5 Day Rolling)
November 17, 2015
618 Respondents

Businessman Donald Trump 35.6%
Surgeon and author Ben Carson 15.7%
Fla. Sen. Marco Rubio 12.9%
Tex. Sen. Ted Cruz 12.2%
Former Fla. Gov. Jeb Bush 5.4%
Ohio Gov. John Kasich 3.8%
Former Sen. candidate and business executive Carly Fiorina 3.2%
Former Ark. Gov. Mike Huckabee 2.6%
Ken. Sen. Rand Paul 2.4%
NJ Gov. Chris Christie 2.3%

 

[opinionatedfool]

Is this online? Also the other one that had carson leading by alot today... can't remember the name... does anyone know if that was online?

 

[Dr. Dog]

Wtf? The people who support Rand aren't likely to vote?

 

[phill4paul]

Wtf? The people who support Rand aren't likely to vote?

Rueters has been reading RPF's.

 

[Liberty74]

Wtf? The people who support Rand aren't likely to vote?

Yes very odd but what matters the most is what is happening in Iowa and NH and to a lesser extent SC. The movers and the shakers will probably happen sometime in January is my guess before Iowa which isn't this time around until February.

Expect most if not all of the bottom tier candidates to be out before Iowa.

That includes Carly. That warmonger had her 15 minutes...just saying.

 

[wizardwatson]

Wtf? The people who support Rand aren't likely to vote?

Of course not.

I've mentioned this before.

I used to run a call center for state level senators/representatives mostly. You get the most accurate results by constructing your call list from people who have voted in like two of the last 4 major elections. What this ultimately does is push your age demographic higher because while many younger people are registered, they just don't vote in the numbers that older people do.

The client wants to know if "they're winning". So you sample the voters that will most represent the cross section of voters that will actually vote. The only reason you really pay attention to the younger demographic is if you're trying to work on communication and figure out how to prioritize your weaker demographic.

 

[KingNothing]

Hopefully Rand continues to inch upward, while Carly, Huckabee, Christie, Bush and Kasich see their numbers fall below those required to participate in debates.

Trump-Carson-Cruz-Rubio-Rand would make for an amazing debate lineup for Randy. He'd be able to force Trump to provide details he does not have, Carson would be given plenty of time to sound like a crazy person, Rubio would be given plenty of time to sound like a blithering moron, and Cruz would would say enough pompous shit to put a low ceiling on his support level. All the while, Rand would be making fair, sincere, rational points in a non-hateable manner. He'd win by default.

 

[brandon]

Not really a bump... just minor noise. I'm looking forward to the next "real" national poll, but am not expecting much.

 

[jmdrake]

Wtf? The people who support Rand aren't likely to vote?

Likely republican voters is based on people who voted republican in the past two or more election cycles. It won't pick up independents. It's an important number to look at. For instance I have a friend who would like to vote in a GOP primary (and I think she would vote either Carson or Paul), but there are other democratic races that she wants to vote in so she's torn about it.

 

[Crashland]

Interesting --
Rand is at 16.2% among those who describe themselves as Liberal (Lean/Moderate/Very).
Then it's 5.1% among "Lean Conservative", 3.2% among "Moderately Conservative", 1.4% among "Very Conservative"

Also, 2nd place at 6.8% among Independents.

 

[ssunlimited]

This bump is not good enough... I also won't include this on my list as RCP seems to not be including it either...

 

[Steve-in-NY]

Trump-Carson-Cruz-Rubio-Rand would make for an amazing debate lineup for Randy.

Realistically, it would an hour of four people yelling "Isolationist" over and over again at him.

 

[AngryCanadian]

Realistically, it would an hour of four people yelling "Isolationist" over and over again at him.

Yet those same clowns haven't learned that more interventionism causes attacks as such those that happened in France.