Las Vegas Review Journal and 8NewsNow Nevada Poll

[JuicyG]

who cares about these polls!

if we are polling high, people will get lazy and do less.
if we are polling low, people get depressed and don't feel like doing anything.

i think the polls is a form of social psychology. it is meant to screw with us.

You`re so right. Polls are often used by political establishment(by direct on indirect ties to pollsters) across the world to manufacture candidates and project image X or Y has better chances to rally support around that candidate.

 

[MrZach]

There is no way this poll accurately reflects what will happen on Saturday. PPP has also noted that Nevada is notoriously hard to poll. For example, in 2008 the latest poll showed Romney vs. McCain as 26% vs. 21%. The results were 51% Romney and only 12% McCain. That's a HUGE margin of error.

Those same polls showed Paul at 7% and he garnered in the end 14%. Now, compare this to the fact that in every state contest so far, Ron Paul has doubled or tripled his vote share over 2008 - and combine this with the fact that the Paul campaign has a much more organized and aggressive ground operation in Nevada than in 2008, it just doesn't make any sense to think he is going to get LESS support in 2012 than he did in 2008 there.

I'm not saying this to defend Ron Paul in particular, but just to point out that this poll is likely as wildly inaccurate as the ones in 2008, and the responsible thing for a journalist to do would be to report their results with that huge disclaimer.

PPP CEO: "Nevada is particularly hard to poll..."
http://blogs.ajc.com/jamie-dupree-washington-insider/2012/02/02/nevada-gop-caucus/

 

[Hook]

And believe me... the Mormons will come out and vote for a Mormon, even if he said we're going to War on inauguration day.

Romney will get 95% of the Mormon vote. He doesn't even have to campaign... Mitt only does for the cameras and the following primary states.

Romney got something like 96% of the vote here in Utah in 2008. Truly pathetic.