It's Romney's to Lose: Here's How He Does It

[ATXRevolutionary]

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robin...s_b_1519827.html?ref=fb&src=sp&comm_ref=false

What could the GOP do about it?

If it were to disqualify all those self-unbinding delegates, the fracture -- and more importantly, the story that it told -- would huge. The Democrats would eat it up and the GOP would have just told 20% of its own base that they are not wanted. Even if Romney could still win the nomination, the GOP would have just lost the election.

So the better course would be for the GOP to count Paul's delegates' votes, and Romney would be unlikely to win on the first round. His mantle as the one who could obviously beat Obama would be tarnished if he couldn't clearly beat his one Republican rival. Not only the liberty Republicans, but also the social Conservatives who never really trusted Romney anyway, would be in a position to choose a candidate they really cared for in the subsequent rounds.

And that's when the narrative would really change.

Everyone knows that in a second ballot, Romney's vote would fall, making him less credible, and (here's the safest bet in American politics) Paul's rises, making him the most exciting ticket in town.

Once the inevitability of Romney's nomination disappears, everyone will be free to admit that it was only the illusion of inevitability that made him look like, well, the inevitable nominee in the first place.

If the Mormon halo flickers, that very human capacity that has so far served Romney so well -- the post hoc justification of something believed to be in one's self-interest -- would swing, in short order, in Paul's favor. People get very excited about an underdog who can win -- especially if he is an underdog that was kept down by nefarious means.

Is this possibility or fantasy? At the time of writing, the official bound state delegate counts out of the few states that have already held their state conventions are 33 for Paul and 73 for Romney, but the number of delegates from these states that are known to favor Paul and Romney are 65 and 59, respectively. All other delegate numbers are at this point projections or speculation.

Those who look at the mountain that Ron Paul has to climb and wonder, "How?" might find their answer by looking at the mountain that Romney has to tumble down, and asking the very same question.

 

[sailingaway]

Gee, I like this author...

 

[opinionatedfool]

Gee, I like this author...

How did that happen? A good article by a MSM person?

 

[VBRonPaulFan]

hey author, i got this for you...

 

[Lucille]

robink has had several great pieces:

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...hy-the-rEVOLution-Has-Not-Been-Televised-quot

http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...-Paul-Can-Win-by-Robin-Koerner-(Sequel-added)

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robin-koerner

His blog: http://www.watchingamerica.com/News/

 

[phill4paul]

The campaign better get with the program. When Ron Paul said he was "In it to win it" the grassroots took him seriously.

 

[The Northbreather]

Have you desk cleaned out by the end of the day! I wonder how long ago this was written? They just need to wait for the right time?

 

[matt_]

Awesome. I think all delegates should vote who they believe is the best choice for the future of our country.

 

[Tim724]

wow, that is encouraging after the recent negativity.

I would LOVE to see RP-supporters who are techincally bound to Romney defy the rules and vote RP on the first round. That would be pure awesome-ness...I could definately see our people doing that too.

I would hope the campaign has the cojones to get behind this strategy, though they wouldn't necessarily have to for it to happen. They would, however, have to stay strong with delegate accumulation which I hope they are sincere about continuing to do.

 

[V3n]

This author is the one who coined the term "Blue Republican". We owe him a lot.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/robin-koerner/blue-republican_b_886650.html

 

[georgiaboy]

article with win within

 

[Paul Or Nothing II]

///

Even if Ron Paul were to get the nomination somehow, he'll have to put up a VP that will attract the MAINSTREAM REPUBLICANS because as has been seen in the Primaries, they don't like Paul much & that's why even though Paul does so well amongst Indies & Dems he isn't able to beat Obama in the polls consistently because some of that Republican base is holding out on him & to beat Obama, Paul will have to draw every Republican vote he can & he'll someone who can get them for him, be it DeMint, Daniels or whoever

DeMint mayn't be a "pure" libertarian but he's very friendly to Ron Paul & liberty & he understands where Paul is coming from & I think a Paul/DeMint ticket would be great to get the MAINSTREAM delegates at RNC as well as MAINSTREAM Republican votes in the General Election

 

[MoneyWhereMyMouthIs2]

wow, that is encouraging after the recent negativity.

I would LOVE to see RP-supporters who are techincally bound to Romney defy the rules and vote RP on the first round. That would be pure awesome-ness...I could definately see our people doing that too.

I would hope the campaign has the cojones to get behind this strategy, though they wouldn't necessarily have to for it to happen. They would, however, have to stay strong with delegate accumulation which I hope they are sincere about continuing to do.

This is the kind of thing the campaign was trying to distance itself from with the emails. You can't have Ron Paul advocating that strategy. But we know here that Ron Paul doesn't tell us what to do. We just do what we do.

 

[shane77m]

wow, that is encouraging after the recent negativity.

I would LOVE to see RP-supporters who are techincally bound to Romney defy the rules and vote RP on the first round. That would be pure awesome-ness...I could definately see our people doing that too.

I would hope the campaign has the cojones to get behind this strategy, though they wouldn't necessarily have to for it to happen. They would, however, have to stay strong with delegate accumulation which I hope they are sincere about continuing to do.

That would be sweet to see RP supporters defy the RNC. All hell would break out on the convention floor. Then again, it might not be that pretty peacefull though if the majority people on the floor are RP supporters.

 

[speciallyblend]

The campaign better get with the program. When Ron Paul said he was "In it to win it" the grassroots took him seriously.

sounds like she should speak instead of you know who.

 

[DEGuy]

What could really make the difference is if Romney really screws up sometime between now and the national convention. Especially if he really pisses off social conservatives with some off-hand comment or something. Then not only the RP delegates will want to vote for RP in the first round, but the Santorum and Gingrich delegates might be easily convinced to do the same. And if Romney become unpalatable to the mainstream Republicans, the RP folks have top cover for deviating from the primary votes. We would have the excuse that Romney revealed his "true colors" after the primaries were over, and it was best for the party not to honor the primary votes.

 

[alucard13mmfmj]

so its demint or napolitano huh? hope they dont have skeletons in their closets

 

[soulcyon]

respect VBRonPaulFan

 

[ATXRevolutionary]

If anyone wants to follow the author, Robin Koerner, this is the link to his Twitter feed: https://twitter.com/#!/rkoerner