It seems three tiers are emerging in the GOP

Very true. I just don't see them dropping Bush unless he really screws the pooch. He's got the name recondition and the machine, and Florida.

But I suppose I'd keep an eye on Kasich just in case Bush somehow goes down.

I think the (almost weird) low profile of Kasich is so that they don't muck up the test marketing of Bush, Walker, and Rubio right now. If the circumstances dictate, Kasich will be unleashed upon us with great fervor at some point. Kasich's weird low profile thus far makes me nervous as hell, frankly.
 
I think the (almost weird) low profile of Kasich is so that they don't muck up the test marketing of Bush, Walker, and Rubio right now. If the circumstances dictate, Kasich will be unleashed upon us with great fervor at some point. Kasich's weird low profile thus far makes me nervous as hell, frankly.

I think he's supposed to declare on June 5.
 
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