“No panic. Everyone is just getting on with their work.”
That’s how Adlan Margoev, a Russian foreign policy expert currently in Tehran, describes the mood in the Iranian capital after Israel’s dramatic airstrikes on military and nuclear targets. Speaking to Moscow newspaper Kommersant’s Elena Chernenko from his hotel in northwestern Tehran, where he is attending a BRICS-related conference with other Russian scholars, Margoev offers a calm but clear-eyed account of events on the ground, Iran’s likely response, and the potential collapse of nuclear negotiations with the US.
Elena Chernenko: As I understand it, you are now in Tehran with a group of Russian experts. What are you doing there?
Adlan Margoev: We are attending a joint conference with the Iranian side on BRICS and the Russian–Iranian strategic partnership. Our regular work involves informing the Iranian side about opportunities for bilateral and multilateral cooperation, discussing problematic issues in bilateral and multilateral relations, and focusing on how to strengthen such cooperation through various mechanisms.
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EC: It was known in advance that Israel was preparing to attack Iran. Did you sense any danger? Was anyone warning you about anything?
AM: No, everything went on as normal and continues to do so. Iranians are used to the fact that there is always a risk of attacks and sabotage. One of the ordinary participants of our conference from the Iranian side (who is not in a position of responsibility, it should be emphasized) said, ‘We have been fighting imperialism for so long that we are used to everything.’ In general, Iranians maintain a friendly and calm attitude. We continue to work in the same vein.
EC: Where are you located?
AM: We are staying in a hotel in the north-west of Tehran. The conference is also taking place here and will continue today.
EC: No change?
AM: Except that the cultural event scheduled for tonight in the city has been cancelled.
EC: Tell me what happened last night.
AM: When it all started, we were asleep. One of our delegation’s leaders was the first to wake up. At around three o’clock, she heard explosions from the strikes and the air defense systems that had been activated. A second round of strikes occurred at six o’clock in the morning. Needless to say, we were awake by then. We followed the news reports to find out what was happening. Among other things, we learned that the airspace had been closed. We have a return flight scheduled for Sunday.
EC: Are you thinking of leaving the country urgently by land?
AM: No, that would be an overreaction at this stage.
EC: So there’s no panic on your part or on the part of others on the ground?
AM: There is no panic within the limits of what we can see.
RT
Researcher at the MGIMO Institute of International Studies, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia Adlan Margoev.
EC: Nevertheless, the situation looks much more serious than the shelling that took place between Israel and Iran last year, right?
AM: Much more serious. The escalation comes at an extremely crucial moment because Iranian-American nuclear talks have been ongoing since April and the next round was scheduled for Sunday in Oman. I did not expect Israel to launch an attack while these talks were ongoing. Now, however, I doubt that the talks will continue.