jay_dub
Member
- Joined
- Nov 16, 2011
- Messages
- 1,162
I think the geographical problem for the Republicans in the OP is greatly exaggerated. It'll be a cold day in hell before Obama wins in some of those places being metioned as competitive(TN,KY,SC,GA,AZ,TX,SD. If he couldn't in 2008, he isn't in 2012.)
With that said, Romney-Obama has to be the worst presidential election ever. The American people absolutely deserve such a contest since they've been in a trance for such a long time. An extremely weak challenger and a weak incumbent who has continued the destruction of the country and constitution. Wow. Fleeing the country has never looked better.
It'd be epic if Ron somehow wins at the convention.
from Rove's analysis....
There are six states -- crucial battleground states -- with a combined 82 electoral votes that are “toss-(*)-ups” (IA, FL, MO, NC, SC, VA).
Five more states -- MI, NH, NV, OH, PA -- with a combined 64 EC votes are "leaning" toward Obama.
Six other states -- AZ, GA, KY, SD, TN, TX -- with a combined 79 EC votes “lean” Romney.
I don't see S. Carolina going for Obama, but just take a look at the map from 2008 and the other states. As far as Rove describing states as 'leaning', they may be more solid than 'leaning' for one or the other, but otherwise not a bad analysis IMO.
Here's a link for a 2012 map that shows much the same thing as Rove pointed out. The source seems to be Larry Sabato.
http://www.270towin.com/2012-election-polling-map/obama-romney/
...and here's a link showing the 2008 electoral map.
http://www.npr.org/news/specials/election2008/2008-election-map.html#/president?view=race08