[h=1]IPR’s Second 2016 Libertarian Party Presidential Preference Poll Results: Johnson Leads But May Face Convention Fight[/h]
IPR conducted a poll with
SurveyMonkey from May 11–18 asking readers to select their preferences for the Libertarian Party’s 2016 presidential and vice presidential nominations. 173 individuals participated in the poll.
For President, participants were asked to select from the 18 presidential candidates recognized at
LP.org or write-in any name. Overall, nearly a majority 47.98% of the participants preferred former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson. Among party members, he received a plurality 47.12%. However, among party members who will serve as delegates at the National Convention, Johnson’s support falls to 31.91%, just above second place Darryl Perry, publisher of Free Press Publications, at 29.79%. Among those who do not belong to the party but say the party aligns with their views, a majority 55.56% support Johnson.
[TD="width: 125"]
Candidate
[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]
Overall
[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]
Members
[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]
Delegates
[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]
Aligned non-members
[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Gary Johnson[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]
47.98%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]
47.12%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]
31.91%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]
55.56%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Darryl Perry[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]14.45%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]18.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]29.79%[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]6.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]John McAfee[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]12.72%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]13.46%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]19.15%[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]13.33%[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Austin Petersen[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]12.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]8.65%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]8.51%[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]17.78%[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Marc Feldman[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]3.47%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]4.81%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]6.38%[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]2.22%[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Kevin McCormick[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]2.31%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.92%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]4.26%[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]2.22%[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Robert Milnes[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]1.16%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]0.96%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]2.22%[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]NOTA[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]1.16%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Shawna Sterling[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]1.16%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]0.96%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Joey Berry[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]0.58%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]0.96%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Mike Shannon[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]0.58%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]0.96%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Rhett Smith[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]0.58%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Heidi Zeman[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]0.58%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Richard Burke (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]0.58%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]0.96%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 125"]Mitt Romney (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 66"]0.58%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 150"]–[/TD]
Using ranked choice voting with the lowest placed finisher eliminated each round until one candidate receives a majority, among the National Convention delegates, Johnson receives a majority on the fifth ballot, narrowly defeating Perry. This suggests Johnson may face a tough convention battle when the National Convention convenes on May 26.
The map below shows the overall results by state.
For Vice President, voters could write-in a name or choose among those known to have announced their candidacy. Since this was not a required field, only 149 votes were cast. Overall, attorney Alicia Dearn received a plurality 20.81%, edging activist Will Coley (16.11%), with former Congressman Kerry Bentivolio (14.77%), and NOTA (14.09%) close behind. Dearn increases her support among party members with 26.14%, trailed by Coley with 23.86%. Though Dearn expands to 27.27% among party members who will serve as delegates at the National Convention, she loses her lead to Coley who nets 29.55%. Among those who do not belong to the party but say the party aligns with their views, Bentivolio scores a plurality 21.05% with NOTA close behind at 18.42%.
[TD="width: 154"]
Candidate
[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]
Overall
[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]
Members
[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]
Delegates
[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]
Aligned non-members
[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Alicia Dearn[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]
20.81%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]
26.14%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]27.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]13.16%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Will Coley[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]16.11%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]23.86%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]
29.55%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]5.26%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Kerry Bentivolio[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]14.77%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]7.95%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]4.55%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]
21.05%
[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]NOTA[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]14.09%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]9.09%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]6.82%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]18.42%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Judd Weiss[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]8.05%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]6.82%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]11.36%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]10.53%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Austin Petersen (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]4.70%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]5.68%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]5.26%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Jim Gray (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]2.68%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]3.41%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Ron Paul (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]2.68%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]7.89%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Kerry McKennon[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]2.01%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]3.41%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Robert Sarvis (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]1.34%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]5.26%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Larry Sharpe (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]1.34%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]2.63%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Justin Amash (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]2.63%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Richard Burke (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Don’t Know (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Louis Gossett Jr. (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]2.63%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Daniel Hogan (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Susan Hogarth (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Steve Kerbel (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]David Koch (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Ken Krawchuk (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Jason Kuznicki (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Kevin McCormick (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Nominee’s Choice (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Ben Sasse (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Larry Sharpe (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]2.63%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Vermin Supreme (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]1.14%[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]2.27%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Jesse Ventura (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]2.63%[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]Bill Weld (W)[/TD]
[TD="width: 64"]0.67%[/TD]
[TD="width: 79"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 81"]–[/TD]
[TD="width: 154"]2.63%[/TD]
Since ranked choice voting was not available for the vice presidential race, it is not known whether Coley would maintain his lead in a hypothetical National Convention runoff election.
