Intelligence panel says US may not be a global economic, military power by 2025

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The top U.S. intelligence panel this week is expected to issue a snapshot of the world in 2025, in a report that predicts fading American economic and military dominance and warns of a nuclear arms race in the Middle East.

"The United States will remain the single most powerful country, although less dominant," according to a "working draft" of the document obtained by The Washington Times. "Shrinking economic and military capabilities may force the U.S. into a difficult set of tradeoffs between domestic and foreign-policy priorities.

http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2008/nov/19/panel-foresees-lesser-us-role/
Some of the preliminary assessments from the report are highlighted below:


  • The whole international system—as constructed following WWII—will be revolutionized. Not only will new players—Brazil, Russia, India and China— have a seat at the international high table, they will bring new stakes and rules of the game.
  • The unprecedented transfer of wealth roughly from West to East now under way will continue for the foreseeable future.
  • Unprecedented economic growth, coupled with 1.5 billion more people, will put pressure on resources—particularly energy, food, and water—raising the specter of scarcities emerging as demand outstrips supply.
  • The potential for conflict will increase owing partly to political turbulence in parts of the greater Middle East.

The report can be downloaded at http://www.dni.gov/nic/NIC_2025_project.html
 
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Thanks, great 33M pdf download, glad I got it before it was gone.

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2025? Someone's being VERY optimistic. I'd say 2015, max.
 
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