LibertyEagle
Paleoconservative
- Joined
- May 28, 2007
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The Dark Side Of Illegal Immigration
Facts, Figures And Statistics On Illegal Immigration
http://www.usillegalaliens.com/
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Yet another reader sent me a great bad math link. (Keep 'em coming guys!) This one is an astonishingly nasty slight of hand, and a great example of how people misuse statistics to support a political agenda. It's by someone named "Dr. Deborah Schurman-Kauflin", and it's an attempt to paint illegal immigrants as a bunch of filthy criminal lowlifes. It's titled "The Dark Side of Illegal Immigration: Nearly One Million Sex Crimes Committed by Illegal Immigrants in the United States."
With a title like that, you'd think that she has actual data showing that nearly one million sex crimes were committed by illegal immigrants, wouldn't you? Well, you'd be wrong.
After conducting a 12 month in-depth study of illegal immigrants who committed sex crimes and murders for the time period of January 1999 through April 2006 , it is clear that the U.S. public faces a dangerous threat from sex predators who cross the U.S. borders illegally.
There were 1500 cases analyzed in depth. They included: serial rapes, serial murders, sexual homicides, and child molestation committed by illegal immigrants. Police reports, public records, interviews with police, and media accounts were all included. Offenders were located in 36 states, but it is clear, that the most of the offenders were located in states with the highest numbers of illegal immigrants. California was number one, followed by Texas, Arizona, New Jersey, New York, and Florida.
Based on population numbers of 12,000,000 illegal immigrants and the fact that young males make up more of this population than the general U.S. population, sex offenders in the illegal immigrant group make up a higher percentage. When examining ICE reports and public records, it is consistent to find sex offenders comprising 2% of illegals apprehended. Based on this 2% figure, which is conservative, there are approximately 240,000 illegal immigrant sex offenders in the United States.
This translates to 93 sex offenders and 12 serial sexual offenders coming across U.S. borders illegally per day. The 1500 offenders in this study had a total of 5,999 victims. Each sex offender averaged 4 victims. This places the estimate for victimization numbers around 960,000 for the 88 months examined in this study.
That's the meat of the paper - the rest is essentially a list of statistics about the 1500 crimes she actually studied.
So her argument is:
1.Of the illegal immigrants arrested for a crime, 2% were sex offenders.
2.The total numbers of illegal immigrants is approximately 12 million.
3.Therefore, you can determine the number of sex offenders in the entire population of illegal immigrants by multiplying the size of the population (12 million) by 2%, giving you 960,000.
If you actually pay attention to the numbers and how she's trying to slip them past you, it's pretty obvious what kind of scam she's pulling, but she tries to mask it behind a lot of talk about kinds of sex crimes, and why we should expect the number to be high among illegal immigrants.
Here's the trick. 2% of the convicted criminals who happen to be illegal immigrants are guilty of some kind of sex crime. Not 2% of the population of illegal immigrants. The population of convicted criminals is quite different from the population of people as a whole.
To give you an idea: according to this article by the Minnesota Department of Public Safety, in 2001, approximately 5% of the population of people in state prisons were guilty of sex offenses. The estimate of the number of people in the general population guilty of sex crimes varies - but it's generally cited as somewhere between 1/3 of 1%, and 1%.
Now - the number of people in prison is different from the number of people arrested - so those two numbers are not directly comparable. But it should give you an idea of how different statistics about people convicted of crimes can be different from the statistics about the public in general.
So, looking at real statistics, the percentage of illegals guilty of sexual crimes is probably not particularly different from the percentage of non-illegals guilty of sexual crimes. And neither percentage says much of anything about the number of guilty individuals in the population as a whole.
In summary, Dr. Schurman-Kauflin is nothing but another two-bit racist who's trying to trick people using bad math.
Immigrants, Including “Illegal Aliens” in California, Have Much Lower Crime Rate than the Rest of Us
Major study debunks fear of crime wave from those who cross border from Mexico
By Frank D. Russo
A study released today by the Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) should lay to rest the myth that immigrants, including those who are here in California illegally, are responsible for crime waves. In fact, it is just the opposite of what some xenophobes would have you believe when they try to whip up fears about crime from those who cross over from Mexico to California. Even amongst this group, the rate of criminal activities is substantially lower than those who are native born Americans.
“Crime, Corrections, and California: What Does Immigration Have to Do with it?”, based on U.S. Census data, looks at the data from multiple points of view and probes for a different outcome. But in 26 pages of rigorous analysis, this is what the authors conclude:
• People born outside the United States make up about 35 percent of California’s adult population but represent only about 17 percent of the state prison population.
• U.S.-born adult men are incarcerated in state prisons at rates up to 3.3 times higher than foreign-born men.
• Among men ages 18-40 – the age group most likely to commit crime – those born in the United States are 10 times more likely than immigrants to be in county jail or state prison.
• Noncitizen men from Mexico ages 18-40 – a group disproportionately likely to have entered the United States illegally – are more than 8 times less likely than U.S.-born men in the same age group to be in a correctional setting (0.48% vs. 4.2%).
• California cities with a higher share of recent immigrants have lower property and violent crime rates than in those with fewer immigrants.
http://scienceblogs.com/goodmath/2007/01/sex_crimes_and_illegal_immigra_1.php
It is a good thing that US citizens don't commit crimes. This would be a true Eden if we could just get rid of all those pesky aliens. I say send 'em back to Mars!
http://www.californiaprogressreport.com/2008/02/immigrants_incl.html
Did you miss the part about Immigration being called?I didn't hear anything in that video about the suspects being illegal aliens.
Speaking of sleight of hand, Mr. Chu-Carroll ignores the uniform, 100% criminal status of every illegal alien. Every single illegal alien in the country has broken state and federal law to reside here - by any legal definition they are engaging in criminal behavior.
So??? I smoke herb every day, that is a crime by Federal Statute, but I hardly consider myself a criminal!!
When the illegal aliens STEAL something from someone or hurt someone, then I will consider them criminal. Until then, that's your own definition of criminal so don't push it on me.
Well, the guys in the video HAVE hurt someone. So, do you consider THEM criminal?
dannno said:When the illegal aliens STEAL something from someone or hurt someone, then I will consider them criminal.
Yes. In their own country.Not newsworthy imo.
Americans murdered Americans today too. No reason to shine a light on them and not others is my point.
They are people who deserve the same freedoms as everyone,
it's not like they are a lesser species because they happened to be born in a different country.
No he didn't. He said "when". Thus, the question.He said it in the text you are quoting.![]()
That's part of the problem. Not all of it. Once upon a time, we allowed people to immigrate here who wanted to become Americans, they learned our foundational principles, they proved they would not be a financial burden and were cleared from having any infectious diseases. We also didn't allow flooding to occur; especially not from any one country.I didn't mention support of the welfare, healthcare, and education that illegal immigrants get here.
Your OP has nothing to do with those things which are the source of the problem. Our government handouts.
Well, hell Josh, why not just let all the murderers out of prison and let them walk the streets. I mean, people are murdered every day.People are murdered every day.
I didn't paint all illegal aliens as bad. The title of the thread was "Illegal aliens murder some more Americans" and that is a factual statement.Why paint a group of people for being "bad" when they are not really known for being "bad" for those reasons?
So??? I smoke herb every day, that is a crime by Federal Statute, but I hardly consider myself a criminal!!
When the illegal aliens STEAL something from someone or hurt someone, then I will consider them criminal. Until then, that's your own definition of criminal so don't push it on me.