If The Exit Polls hold true....

[virginiakid]

Then Huckabee wins VA. Paul would be between 8%-12%.

 

[homah]

Then Huckabee wins VA. Paul would be between 8%-12%.

I'm seeing Paul at 8% for males and 2% for females, bringing him to around 5%.

 

[kirkblitz]

so old people and females hate us

 

[bc2208]

""

 

[nate895]

I think he's talking about Fox News, in their poll the Independents were a 1/3 of the vote and had 20% for Paul, and so if 5% of Republicans voted for Paul, 8-12% would be possible.

 

[homah]

I think he's talking about Fox News, in their poll the Independents were a 1/3 of the vote and had 20% for Paul, and so if 5% of Republicans voted for Paul, 8-12% would be possible.

ah okay, big difference between the cnn and faux polls...

 

[jersdream]

No...that is ASSuming the number of independents and republican voters are the same...which is bs..

 

[nate895]

No...that is ASSuming the number of independents and republican voters are the same...which is bs..

No, it's assuming they are what the Exit Polls say they are 2-1 Republican.

 

[MozoVote]

To be honest, I'm expecting Paul to do about the same as SC. (3% or so). Virginia is another old guard aristocratic GOP kinda place. If it's over 5% I'd consider that successful.

 

[tbrambo]

Huckabee...

Huckabee winning VA is a good thing right! Means we are THAT much closer to a brokered convention!

 

[dmspilot00]

Uh, Huckabee isn't winning, and everybody is an independent in Virginia!

 

[MozoVote]

Good grief, Fred Thompson may get 1%. "Thank You" early voting.

 

[Molly1]

We should be winning Virginia, not tax hike Mike.

He's just running a better campaign. Plus he lies.

Very disappointing because he is getting our conservative vote and he is not a conservative any more than Mccain.

This does not help us, it helps Huckabee.

 

[hrdman2luv]

We should be winning Virginia, not tax hike Mike.

He's just running a better campaign. Plus he lies.

Very disappointing because he is getting our conservative vote and he is not a conservative any more than Mccain.

We should be winning in every state.

Looks like Hucks vote are done. The rest will go to McCain. And McCain will win Virginia.

 

[hrdman2luv]

Just a note, as it stands, Obama has more votes than McCain, Huckabee, Ron Paul and Willard put together.

 

[jsgolfman]

Do you realize that by giving importance to exit polls, you legitimize them? The democratic race in DC has already been given to Obama with 0% reporting based on fucking exit polls! Does this not create a sense of outrage? You are feeding the beast you despise. You endorse the outcome and make it true. Doesn't anyone find it interesting that the exit polls have been 100% correct, every time? Elections being called with 0% reporting? Any student of statistics can tell you that the probability of that occurring is astronomical! They would have to get it wrong at least once. Percentages change as results are tabulated. Do you honestly believe that the votes are counted and each candidate receives the exact same percentage for each precinct? The totals go up, but the percentages never change. So, every precinct has the exact same demographic and they all vote the same? Bullshit! If your spidey sense isn't tingling by now, you're dead.

 

[nate895]

We should be winning in every state.

Looks like Hucks vote are done. The rest will go to McCain. And McCain will win Virginia.

Not necessarily, many coastal votes may go to Huckabee, and many of McCain's counties have high amounts reporting as well.

 

[Molly1]

Huckabee and Paul are pulling in the conservative votes.

If Huckabee drops out, we win, because Huck plus Paul beats Mccain.

 

[JordanQ72]

The democratic race in DC has already been given to Obama with 0% reporting based on fucking exit polls!

Take a stats course, and pay attention throughly.

Does this not create a sense of outrage? You are feeding the beast you despise. You endorse the outcome and make it true.

???

Doesn't anyone find it interesting that the exit polls have been 100% correct, every time?

They're not, not even close. THE PROJECTIONS have been, but that's because they're made when the station decision desk believes that their call is right at 99.995% confidence. Take the Virginia exit poll. You're looking at 60+% exit polling against a 30 something Clinton polling. For Clinton to pull out a win, the exit polling would have to be wrong by over 15%. Not going to happen. You can call that quickly. On the other hand, on the Republican side, they were only able to call it with over 50% of the vote count in.

Elections being called with 0% reporting? Any student of statistics can tell you that the probability of that occurring is astronomical! They would have to get it wrong at least once.

99.995+% confidence level before a call is made. You'll be waiting centuries before a call even has even odds of being wrong.

Percentages change as results are tabulated. Do you honestly believe that the votes are counted and each candidate receives the exact same percentage for each precinct? The totals go up, but the percentages never change.

What the hell are you talking about? Pay closer attention instead of spouting off

So, every precinct has the exact same demographic and they all vote the same? Bullshit!

More strawmen. If you're going to argue against claims no one is making, this is pointless.

 

[virginiakid]

So much for the Exit Polls!hehehehe.........