Hurricane Dorian upgraded to Category 1 storm; could become Category 3 hurricane, hit FLt

[Zippyjuan]

Looks like Mar A Largo will be spared.

 

[pcosmar]

$20 bucks says the eyewall will never make landfall.

I think you called it..

for all the hype driven panic,,over several days .

anybody take your bet?

 

[Swordsmyth]

I think you called it..

for all the hype driven panic,,over several days .

anybody take your bet?

Anyone would be a fool to bet against AF.

 

[Danke]

Anyone would be a fool to bet against AF.

It will make landfall.

 

[Danke]

 

[Danke]

dannno spotted:

[video=youtube;Hkpd0wZhMlk]https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=Hkpd0wZhMlk[/video]

 

[Zippyjuan]

Trump warns several states about Hurricane Dorian including Alabama. Weather Service disagrees with him. (while a big storm, it is also not the biggest one ever- he does like to exaggerate).

https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/...bama-as-forecasters-insist-there-is-no-threat

Trump again mentioned Alabama during a hurricane briefing by the Federal Emergency Management Agency as he was advising American citizens in Dorian's path to heed the warnings and evacuation orders from local authorities.

"It may get a little piece of a great place — it's called Alabama, and Alabama could even be in for at least some very strong winds," Trump said. "This just came up, unfortunately. It's the size of the storm that we're talking about. So for Alabama, please be careful also."

Despite Trump's insistence, forecasters stressed that Dorian currently is not expected to pose a threat to Alabama.

"Alabama will NOT see any impacts from #Dorian. We repeat, no impacts from Hurricane #Dorian will be felt across Alabama. The system will remain too far east," the National Weather Service station in Birmingham tweeted.

 

[Danke]

Hurricane Dorian makes landfall


Hurricane Dorian strengthened to a "catastrophic" Category 5 storm early Sunday just before making landfall in the Bahamas, the National Hurricane Center said.
As of 11 a.m. ET, Hurricane Dorian had been deemed the "strongest hurricane in modern record for the northwest Bahamas," according to the NHC.

The storm made landfall on Sunday afternoon with estimated sustained surface winds of 185 mph, and gusts reaching up to 220 mph, at Elbow Cay, Abacos, in the northern Bahamas, the NHC said in a statement.
"This is a life-threatening situation," the NHC warned. "Residents there should take immediate shelter. Do not venture into the eye if it passes over your location."
It is forecast to hit Grand Bahama Island later on Sunday.

​

Hurricane Dorian upgraded to a Category 5 storm

SEPT. 1, 201903:09



The hurricane shifted Saturday as forecasters said it was on course to get close to Florida, but make landfall in Georgia and the Carolinas.
On its current track, the core of Dorian should move closer to the Florida east coast late Monday through Tuesday night, the hurricane center said.
Download the NBC News app for updates on Hurricane Dorian
As of 11 a.m. ET, the hurricane was 205 miles east of West Palm Beach, Florida.
There is now a hurricane watch in effect for portions of the state's east coast — from north of Deerfield Beach to the Volusia/Brevard County Line. The same stretch of the coast was also under a storm surge watch. A tropical storm watch was issued for Lake Okeechobee.
Parts of Palm Beach County and Martin County began ordering mandatory evacuations as of Sunday. Those evacuating in Florida included 400 animals such as hawks, burrowing owls, Eastern screech owls, a black vulture, a red-bellied woodpecker, a gopher tortoise, a flock of black-bellied whistling ducklings, from the South Florida Wildlife Center.
Since Dorian is forecast to slow down and turn northward as it approaches the coast, the center says life-threatening storm surge and dangerous hurricane-force winds are still possible for portions of the Florida east coast by the middle of this week. Several counties on Sunday, including Flagler County, Orange County and Osceola County, held press conferences to encourage residents to either evacuate or prepare for hurricane conditions.
“Residents should have their hurricane plan in place, know if they are in a hurricane evacuation zone and listen to advice given by local emergency officials,” the center said Sunday.










Florida on alert as Hurricane Dorian approaches as a Category 5

SEPT. 1, 201901:02



Steven Strouss, an NBC News meteorologist, cautioned that even though landfall may not occur along Florida’s east coast, the hurricane will track very close and impacts may still include torrential and flooding rainfall, tropical-storm force winds, dangerous storm surge and life-threatening rip currents.
“The hurricane will spin close enough to lash the southeast United States Monday through Wednesday as it churns northward up the coast,” Strouss said, adding that the storm could cause major travel disruptions.
Strouss said it’s paramount that residents in areas that could be affected listen to local emergency official and have enough food, water and gas to last for at least a week.
“Be prepared to be without power for several days or possibly longer," he said.
The hurricane center also warned about increasing risk of strong winds and dangerous storm surge along the coasts of Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina later this week.
In Florida, The Florida National Guard has more than 4,400 soldiers and airmen prepared for response efforts, including search and rescue, communications and aviation, according to Maj. Caitlin Brown, public affairs officer for the Florida National Guard.
In Georgia, guardsmen were planning to assemble on Monday. In South Carolina, the National Guard was preparing to mobilize to support full coastal evacuation, and in North Carolina, the National Guard said its response would depend on the storm's track.
President Donald Trump said he would discuss possible evacuations Sunday in a scheduled meeting with Federal Emergency Management Agency officials.
"It seems to be one of the biggest hurricanes we've ever seen. And that's the problem," Trump told reporters on Sunday. "We don't know where it is going to hit, but we have an idea."
Trump added that while it originally looked like Florida would get the worst of the storm, it is now tracking toward Georgia and the Carolinas.
Coast Guard Rear Admiral Peter Brown, who was with the president, said that all four states could expect intense weather conditions over the next few days.
"The time for preparation is now," Brown added.
During a press conference with FEMA officials on Sunday, Trump said he was unsure if he'd ever heard of a category 5 hurricane forming.
“I’m not sure I’ve even heard of a category 5. I knew it existed, and I’ve seen some category 4s. You don’t even see them that much," Trump said. "But a category 5, I don’t even know if I’ve heard the term other than I know it’s there. That’s the ultimate and that’s what we have unfortunately.”
Although officials have not forecast the storm as impacting Alabama, Trump said the storm "may get a little piece" of the state.
"Alabama could even be in for at least some strong winds and something more than that ... So for Alabama just please be careful also,” Trump said.
Trump called off his planned trip to Poland over the weekend to oversee the response to Dorian.
Full coverage: Latest stories and video on Hurricane Dorian
As the storm barreled toward the northern Bahamas, officials were urging residents to evacuate areas most at risk.
“Homes, houses, structures can be replaced," Bahamas Prime Minister Hubert Minnis said Saturday. "Lives cannot be replaced.”
Rainfall estimates have gone up for the Caribbean archipelago and the coastal Carolinas.

A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 15 to 20 feet above normal tide levels in the area, the center said.
Near the coast, the surge will also be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
Between 12 and 24 inches of rain, and up to 30 inches in some areas, are expected in the northwestern Bahamas. That could lead to life-threatening flash floods, the center said.
Residents boarded up homes and officials hired boats to move people from low-lying areas to bigger islands as the powerful hurricane approached.
The Bahamas ministry of tourism told NBC News that only certain parts of the Bahamas in the northwestern part of the islands have conducted evacuation procedures and strongly advised visitors to leave.
“Hurricane conditions are likely to continue through Tuesday morning and possibly longer across the normal Bahamas,” said Strouss, the NBC News meteorologist.
“As a result of this prolonged period, widespread power outages, extreme beach erosion and destructive damage are all likely.”
Strouss said that since records began in the 1850s, the Abaco Islands and Grand Bahama Island have never been directly hit by a Category 5 storm.
Dorian now also represents the first time since satellite technology has been used for weather tracking that there have been four years in a row with Category 5 hurricanes in the Atlantic, Strouss said.
Hurricane Michael hit in 2018, Hurricanes Maria and Irma wreaked havoc in 2017, and Hurricane Matthew in 2016.​

Yuliya Talmazan
Yuliya Talmazan is a London-based journalist.

Kalhan Rosenblatt
Kalhan Rosenblatt is a reporter for NBC News, based in New York.

Doha Madani and Associated Press contributed.

by TaboolaSponsored Stories

 

[Zippyjuan]

Trump said he has never even heard of a Category 5 storm, even though this is the fourth one since he became president.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/do...-send-fema-funds-ice-ahead-hurricane-n1048731

Speaking at the FEMA headquarters later on Sunday, Trump urged "everyone in Hurricane Dorian's path to heed all warnings and evacuation orders from local authorities" as the storm picks up strength.

"We don't even know what's coming at us," he said. "I'm not sure that I've ever even heard of a Category 5, I knew it existed. And I've seen some Category 4s but you don't even see them that much. But a Category 5 is something that I don't even know that I've heard the term other than I know it's there."

Dorian is the fourth Category 5 storm to hit the Atlantic during Trump's presidency, after Hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017 and Michael in 2018.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/do...-send-fema-funds-ice-ahead-hurricane-n1048731

 

[Zippyjuan]

Meanwhile, some FEMA funds have been being shifted to use at the border.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/do...-send-fema-funds-ice-ahead-hurricane-n1048731

Trump officials defend decision to send FEMA funds to ICE ahead of Hurricane Dorian

Trump administration officials said Sunday that transferring $155 million from the Federal Emergency Management Agency's Disaster Relief Fund to Immigration and Customs Enforcement won't affect the federal government's ability to respond to Hurricane Dorian, a massive storm headed for the country's east coast.

As NBC News reported last week, the Department of Homeland Security notified Congress in July that to increase funding for court hearings for asylum seekers, FEMA would transfer $155 million to ICE.

In an interview with ABC's "This Week," acting Homeland Security Secretary Kevin McAleenan said "no money has been moved yet."

"Any potential transfers will not impact our ability to respond to this storm or any other storms in the rest of the hurricane season," he said. "There are two different elements of the disaster recovery fund. The major disaster fund has $25 billion in it. So, a $155 million transfer from the base fund is not going to affect our ability to respond and recover from a major disaster."

McAleenan said his agency "needed that funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement to respond to the ongoing humanitarian and border security crisis at the border."

"Congress didn't see fit to provide that funding," he added. "So we have to look at departmental sources across that have a limited impact, but will support the ongoing management of that crisis as well."

Pete Gaynor, acting FEMA administrator, told "Fox News Sunday" the agency has "plenty of money and resources to deal with the 2017 and 2018 disasters and recoveries and to include response in 2019, this season."

"We live with risk every day," he said, adding, "We assess that $155 million is low risk and is not affecting our preparedness whatsoever for Dorian."

Dorian on Sunday strengthened to a "catastrophic" Category 5 storm as it closed in on the Bahamas, the National Hurricane Center said. Michael Lowry, a strategic planner with FEMA, tweeted the storm was now one of the seven strongest ever recorded, dating back to the 1850s. Forecasters said the storm was expected to get close to Florida, but make landfall in Georgia and the Carolinas.

More at link.

 

[Danke]

The scientists ran hurricane models within six different global climate models, and the results were mind-boggling.


The results showed that three vulnerable areas of the world are at risk for a "high-end" Category 5 tropical cyclone by the end of the 21st century due to the Earth's changing climate: Tampa, Florida; Cairns, Australia; and the Persian Gulf.


These potential Category 6 hurricanes may be up to 14 times more likely by 2100, according to the study.


The worst-case potential future hurricane put out by the climate models for the Tampa Bay area is unlike anything ever seen – maximum sustained winds of 233 mph with a minimum central pressure of 830 millibars, traveling parallel along Florida's Gulf Coast, producing a devastating 36-foot storm surge.


Those wind speeds are comparable to the EF5 tornado that destroyed Joplin, Missouri, in May 2011, except the damage would be along a swath 22 miles wide rather than only a few hundred yards.




While this seems unfathomable now, with continued unchecked planetary warming leading to warmer ocean water, it's not out of the question a hurricane this intense could form later in the century, potentially landfalling in a heavily-populated, storm-surge vulernable city.

 

[Danke]

I predict we will see a Category 10 if a carbon tax isn't implemented within the next 12 years.

 

[Danke]

 

[XNavyNuke]

The science is settled. Given the most recent range covered by the models, everyone will be happy as the blood of the lamb is sacrificed on the altar of model worshiping. To the west you have Alabama and to the east Bermuda. A little something for all the fear mongers.

XNN

 

[Zippyjuan]

The scientists ran hurricane models within six different global climate models, and the results were mind-boggling.


The results showed that three vulnerable areas of the world are at risk for a "high-end" Category 5 tropical cyclone by the end of the 21st century due to the Earth's changing climate: Tampa, Florida; Cairns, Australia; and the Persian Gulf.


These potential Category 6 hurricanes may be up to 14 times more likely by 2100, according to the study.


The worst-case potential future hurricane put out by the climate models for the Tampa Bay area is unlike anything ever seen – maximum sustained winds of 233 mph with a minimum central pressure of 830 millibars, traveling parallel along Florida's Gulf Coast, producing a devastating 36-foot storm surge.


Those wind speeds are comparable to the EF5 tornado that destroyed Joplin, Missouri, in May 2011, except the damage would be along a swath 22 miles wide rather than only a few hundred yards.




While this seems unfathomable now, with continued unchecked planetary warming leading to warmer ocean water, it's not out of the question a hurricane this intense could form later in the century, potentially landfalling in a heavily-populated, storm-surge vulernable city.

There is no such thing as Category 6. Five is as high as the numbers go.

 

[Zippyjuan]

Dorian has slowed to about five miles an hour. The Bahamas are going to get slammed for quite some time.

 

[Anti Federalist]

The new rating: Cat 666 KillStorm

 

[oyarde]

Northwest bahamas 20 foot storm surge . Is this going to cause Dankes boat insurance to increase ?

 

[Zippyjuan]

Storm slowed to moving just one mile per hour. Downgraded to Cat 4 but there is not much difference in the effect of 155 mph winds vs 185 mph winds.

 

[GunnyFreedom]

Storm slowed to moving just one mile per hour. Downgraded to Cat 4 but there is not much difference in the effect of 155 mph winds vs 185 mph winds.

I’m one of those guys who has gone in after hurricanes to help people. I can assure you that there is a significant difference on the ground after a Cat5 passes vs a Cat4.