How Trey Grayson might be out of time

[Galileo Galilei]

How Trey Grayson might be out of time

February 8, 2010 · Leave a Comment

Yesterday, like most Americans, I was watching the Super bowl. As me and my friends sat around eating good food and watching good football, one of my friends said “hey, your boy is on the TV.” Sure enough, there was Rand Paul giving his National Security message. If you live in Lexington and watched the Super bowl, you saw the first of the political ads for the Kentucky Senate seat.

After appearing on CNN, MSNBC and Fox News, and getting major endorsements from his more famous father and the King (scratch that, Queen) of the Tea Party Movement, it remains to see just how much more popular Rand Paul can get. Without so much as a yard sign, the establishment pick, Trey Grayson, is running out of time. Rand Paul is winning in the media, in polls, in advertising and most importantly–among the voters.

Trey could be picking up McConnell’s chief of staff as his campaign manager and pull some tricks out of the old McConnell play book, but is it too late? Rand Paul has opened up massive lead and has a grass roots movement that’s out of this world. Right now, Rand Paul sits atop the favorite list and shows no signs of stopping. He’s worked harder and longer than his opponents and that shows no signs of slowing soon.

As Rand stretches his more prominent fund-raising longer, it looks to shake up the polls even more–in Rands favor. Clearly, Dr. Paul’s message is resonating with the people and he may have opened up a lead too far for the establishment to keep up.


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http://kypolitics2010.wordpress.com/2010/02/08/how-trey-grayson-might-be-out-of-time/

 

[Matt Collins]

Either Greason is really dumb or really smart. Let's hope for the former

 

[DeadheadForPaul]

I wrote a thread warning about this type of attitude

Greason, McConnell, and cronies are about to turn up the heat on us

DO NOT GET COMPLACENT OR COCKY

We are holding onto this one for our lives.
Greason is going to get a lot of the voters who do not pay much attention to politics by running ads that say Rand is "k00ky"

Remain Vigilant

 

[RyanRSheets]

They're betting on complacency. They know they can win with attack ads in the final month if we get complacent. Hell, to them it is a good thing when we post 20% margins, because they aren't trying to win by looking like they are winning.

 

[Distinguished Gentleman]

Isn't Treydog a Harvard Grad? I doubt he's dumb in any traditional sense. He's got a strategy. On the other hand, his struggles are real. He isn't hosting large rallies across the state like Rand because he know he doesn't have that appeal.

His strategy, I suspect, is to make people fear Rand and vote against the "pot smoking abortionist who doesn't want to help the poor" image uninformed people have of libertarians.

 

[UK4randpaul]

I wrote a thread warning about this type of attitude

Greason, McConnell, and cronies are about to turn up the heat on us

DO NOT GET COMPLACENT OR COCKY

We are holding onto this one for our lives.
Greason is going to get a lot of the voters who do not pay much attention to politics by running ads that say Rand is "k00ky"

Remain Vigilant

I don't think anyone is getting complacent or cocky. That's what the article is about. While Trey remains idle, Rand keeps pushing by throwing out ad, after major interview, after major endorsement, etc. No doubt--this race IS NOT OVER. But Rand is running out the time on Trey by continually pushing. We need to continue to do the same.

 

[jmdrake]

Isn't Treydog a Harvard Grad? I doubt he's dumb in any traditional sense. He's got a strategy. On the other hand, his struggles are real. He isn't hosting large rallies across the state like Rand because he know he doesn't have that appeal.

His strategy, I suspect, is to make people fear Rand and vote against the "pot smoking abortionist who doesn't want to help the poor" image uninformed people have of libertarians.

Sure Trey can't mount a "ground campaign" and hold rallies across the state, but he could do an "air war" and mount attack ads. I was expecting him to do that right after the superbowl ad. Instead he gave a limp wristed "I'm a fiscal conservative" radio ad. Something's really not adding up.

 

[itshappening]

we still need to get our voters to turnout in a Republican primary, the McConnell machine will no doubt churn out a lot of votes for Trey in a low turnout environment

 

[Aratus]

keep in mind, folks... after Scott Brown waltzed over the only other Republican on the ballot,
and let the four Democrats duke it out on our november into december airwaves over how
more like Teddy Kennedy they were, after the holidays, as the first week of january was on us,
he rolled out his first true media blitz ad, the JFK morph ad, then in about five or seven days,
as the DNC gasped in pure shock, we saw the famous truck ad... this in a few days was followed by
the "walking tour of the neighborhood" ad. between january 7th and 14th he secured his base,
and thusly the election. when all the PACs and 527s leaped in, the public was turned off and as
Ms. Martha Coakley got more desperate, she got more negative. he did have an ad or two quietly when
we had the six candidates in the primaries to choose from, but his three ads after new years were
brilliant. i suspect the g.o.p sent their better, more clever people up here, the slick/folksy pitch worked.
not that our independent voters are stupid, insted the first few official ads set the tone and dominated
the debate. if rand paul does a likewise with SIGNIFICANTLY less money that scott brown had around
him, and i do believe sarah palin has sensed how this is possible, as she sees a paralllelism to what
we went thru in three fast and furious mad weeks, she has her reasons for backing rand paul. had she
equivocated, she'd have backed TWO candidates, and i think she KNEW deep down that trey grayson
is TOO DEMOCRAT and TOO INSIDER to even contenance before our gauntlet run october homestretch!
i feel she had a choise! i feel she made a choise & she knows that the g.o.p is watching the tea parties...

 

[John Taylor]

I don't think anyone is getting complacent or cocky. That's what the article is about. While Trey remains idle, Rand keeps pushing by throwing out ad, after major interview, after major endorsement, etc. No doubt--this race IS NOT OVER. But Rand is running out the time on Trey by continually pushing. We need to continue to do the same.

I agree, we need to keep up the pressure, and get Rand's money advantage up much, much higher. For him to fend off these unscrupulous attacks, he's going to need to be able to put up more adds than his opponents. He needs to define himself as the pro-life, pro-defense, pro-gun, pro-constitution candidate in the public perception, and he needs to press that now. He's doing that, and I think he has a chance, but he is going to need another million dollars and Palin campaigning with him for a couple days to solidify and seal it.

 

[Matt Collins]

His strategy, I suspect, is to make people fear Rand and vote against the "pot smoking abortionist who doesn't want to help the poor" image uninformed people have of libertarians.

It's called a FUD campaign.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fear,_uncertainty_and_doubt


.

 

[UK4randpaul]

we still need to get our voters to turnout in a Republican primary, the McConnell machine will no doubt churn out a lot of votes for Trey in a low turnout environment

Yeah, I think voter turnout will be huge. It will in the general as well. I saw an interesting poll on RasmussenReports.com today. It said that democrats are the most popular party (at around 35%) but Republicans and the "Tea Party" split around 45%. So it's a combining on the two that leads to victory.