How Ron Paul Wins the Nomination (full nomination schedule, delegate #'s, and analysis)

[Dorfsmith]

Arizona is NOT an open primary at all when it comes to choosing the president. It's only semi open for congressional races etc. Please fix that in the OP.

 

[Dorfsmith]

http://azsos.wordpress.com/2011/07/...-presidential-preference-election-in-arizona/

"A good thing to remember in Arizona is that our “open primary” provisions do not apply to the presidential preference election. In order to vote the elector must be registered with a participating political party. In other words, only Republicans can participate in the Republican primary, not Independents, or people who haven’t declared a party preference."

 

[Anti Federalist]

FL and SC will murder us without a clear win in Iowa and a strong second in NH, which is the best I can hope for right now, but that could change.

 

[Aratus]

!!!

 

[Matthew Zak]

I don't think we should sticky this. If we do it will just be background noise. We need to just keep bumping this. Subscribe to the thread. Book mark it.

 

[RipperNT]

Just joined my Ron Paul meetup group! Will try my best to help Ohio!

 

[torchbearer]

I just want everyone to know that Ron Paul will win louisiana. mark it down as done. our numbers will be 10 times greater than last time.

 

[turbobrain9]

Even if Ron won all of the caucases, he would only have about 1/3 of the delegates necessary for the nomination. So, from what I understand, he would have to win the remaining 2/3 of the delegates needed for the nomination in the primaries before Apirl 1. After April 1 the primaries are winner take all and I doubt Ron will win any of those.

 

[truthdivides]

Even if Ron won all of the caucases, he would only have about 1/3 of the delegates necessary for the nomination. So, from what I understand, he would have to win the remaining 2/3 of the delegates needed for the nomination in the primaries before Apirl 1. After April 1 the primaries are winner take all and I doubt Ron will win any of those.

If Ron wins all of the caucuses he'll have something big on his side: momentum.

 

[69360]

Even if Ron won all of the caucases, he would only have about 1/3 of the delegates necessary for the nomination. So, from what I understand, he would have to win the remaining 2/3 of the delegates needed for the nomination in the primaries before Apirl 1. After April 1 the primaries are winner take all and I doubt Ron will win any of those.

PA, MT KY and maybe OH. All in April all winnable. Probably more that I don't understand well enough. There are also lots of unbound delegates up for grabs.

Most importantly you aren't taking into account momentum, win big early and unelectable goes away fence sitters get on board and poll numbers go way up.

 

[torchbearer]

i was saying earlier to a friend of mine how the media ignoring paul has actually helped him in way... because as the has-beens drop down- he is the only steady candidate left they haven't considered.
also- the LA GOPs secret caucus process works in our favor as most GOPers in this state know nothing about it. designed to keep average people from having a say in our delegates- the process gives us an advantage.
by the way- i think they are already breaking their own rules by not posting the caucus date by now. the leadership knows they will lose. they may just forego the whole thing.

 

[ninepointfive]

Awesome collection of information. BUMP!

 

[1836]

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[Tod]

Is anyone on the forum an Ohio delegate? I'd like to talk. PM me and I'll reply w/ my cell #.

Thanks!

 

[J_White]

bump for great info !!
need to do a lot of work, it is just getting started.
help out in phone from home, go canvassing !!

 

[Badger Paul]

Make sure in Louisiana they do not allow the cross-slating of delegates, which is how they screwed us out of delegates the last time. "No more Ronald Reagan/Family Values Coaltion" slates of delegates from different campaigns. No, either there are uncommitted slates or they are pledged to a candidate. Period.

 

[1836]

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[Eric21ND]

How do you fight against that?

 

[Aratus]

good Q! i assume
you fight like a dog
for each delegate.

 

[1836]

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