How Ron Paul Wins the Nomination (full nomination schedule, delegate #'s, and analysis)

[ross11988]

Let's not mess up PA. 72 unbound delegates is huge. I plan to be one of them. We have to take all the delegate spots.

You and me both, I can't wait until we can start petitioning.

 

[sailingaway]

Don't forget the upcoming deadlines to change registration. They are at the voter information sticky at the top of the page.

Kentucky's deadline is in December, as are a number of them.

 

[whippoorwill]

bump!

 

[1836]

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[1836]

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[jaktober]

Great post, will have to link to this in my article: http://freeindependentsun.com/republic/comprehensive-3-stage-grassroots-strategy-to-nominate-ron-paul-for-president/

 

[Eric21ND]

wonderful post!!

 

[tsai3904]

Thank you Brent for pointing this out. The caucus is January 24th. I will be sure to change this when I get to an actual computer (on a tablet presently).

I emailed the Louisiana GOP last week asking when the caucus will be and they said a date has not yet been set.

Also, Wyoming holds caucuses between February 9-29. The March 6-10 date is their county convention which is the second step in their caucus process.

 

[da32130]

I didn't really see you discuss this:

".... Contests that proportionally allocate delegates
... All other contests including winner-take-all elections"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republ..._2012#Guidelines_for_primary_and_caucus_dates

Based on 2008 and using the revised primary schedule, starting after March 6th most states are winner take all delegates.

We have to be able to come in first at that point (assuming those states are also pledged).

 

[Badger Paul]

Very good analysis. Thanks!

I think we all agree the caucus states are going to be very important.

 

[da32130]

once Ron Paul wins SOMETHING I predict it will snowball into a nomination, and no amount of last nanosecond rule changing can keep it from happening.

I think this is probably right and almost what needs to happen.

Because of the winner take all nature of the last roughly half of the process, a slight edge at that point can snowball into a victory. Coming in second won't mean anything.

We have to keep phoning to win early to get that snowball going.

 

[sailingaway]

bump

 

[Ekrub]

this should be stickied. Great information in this OP. Thank you.

 

[1836]

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[1836]

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[Mahkato]

+rep, 1836

 

[Crotale]

Fantastic work.

 

[Crotale]

Make this a sticky, it's just about to fall off the page.

 

[Crotale]

Sticky it up please....

 

[milo10]

once Ron Paul wins SOMETHING I predict it will snowball into a nomination, and no amount of last nanosecond rule changing can keep it from happening.

I agree. We are playing a strange game compared to the usual run of candidates, as we have virtually no mainstream support, and have to battle a popular impression of Ron as unelectable.

Once that is overcome, though, the momentum should be pretty amazing. Among other things (and this is rarely mentioned), I think we will start to see far more big money donations at some point from the many investors, corporations, and so forth who want lower taxes and a better trade environment.

These next couple of months are just so important to get to that point.