How Ron Paul Wins the Nomination (full nomination schedule, delegate #'s, and analysis)

[ross11988]

In one sentence: Are we doing better or worse than planed?

P.s.
Gingrich just got another 10 mil from that guy recently.

Momentum wise worse. Would Of been exciting to see what could of emerged if we won Iowa. I am excited to see how well were doing with delegates. Much different ball game then 4 years ago. People know the delegate system now. Too bad we still have people sign waving during delegate elections.

 

[helmuth_hubener]

Things really shaping up, even King said last night that Paul was in 2nd right now.

I don't think King has any idea, he was just going along with what Ron said (earlier in the interview, Ron said that we are second in terms of actual assigned delegates), giving him the benefit of the doubt. That's the nice thing about telling the absolute truth for 78 years -- you get a reputation of not being a liar, and so people will sometimes actually believe what you say.

 

[1836]

...

 

[justatrey]

Looking at the long schedule still remaining just reminds me that we need another moneybomb sometime in early March. Hopefully, right after we win Washington which could make it a big one

Anyway, we need to decide on a theme and a date because as far as I know we don't have either yet. All this organization by the campaign to secure delegates isn't cheap...

 

[PolicyReader]

I don't think King has any idea, he was just going along with what Ron said (earlier in the interview, Ron said that we are second in terms of actual assigned delegates), giving him the benefit of the doubt. That's the nice thing about telling the absolute truth for 78 years -- you get a reputation of not being a liar, and so people will sometimes actually believe what you say.

Oh I'm not crediting King with any special knowledge on the subject just stating that it's kind of telling he'd mention it again/not try to diminish or cast doubt on it (as is standard practice for the Corporate Media in most interviews with Paul. When the MSM has something positive to say about Paul, and it agrees with what Paul himself has said, then you can bank on the idea that there's truth to it. (I know most of the national delegates from that states that have voted are not actually assigned as of yet, but indicators there are more positive than other areas.)

 

[seawolf]

I agree the Campaign needs Money. I noticed they never announced the total TV/Radio Ad Buy for the New "Fake" Commericial.

Ron wanted $5 Million for Super Tuesday and the NOBP Money Bomb raised roughly $2.1 Million over a week.

Actually, quite good considering we have not yet won a State in the Media's eyes.

But, I am sensing the burn rate for the Official Campaign is high and cash-on-hand is not so great.

A Money Bomb from March 1st thru the 5th would be great and help with the Primaries and Caucus's later in March.

 

[justatrey]

I agree the Campaign needs Money. I noticed they never announced the total TV/Radio Ad Buy for the New "Fake" Commericial.

Ron wanted $5 Million for Super Tuesday and the NOBP Money Bomb raised roughly $2.1 Million over a week.

Actually, quite good considering we have not yet won a State in the Media's eyes.

But, I am sensing the burn rate for the Official Campaign is high and cash-on-hand is not so great.

A Money Bomb from March 1st thru the 5th would be great and help with the Primaries and Caucus's later in March.

Agreed. It's not likely to be a big one with such short notice, but there's still that possibility if we can win Washington. There was a lot of arguing over themes, but maybe we just need a "Super Tuesday Push"? March 1 - March 6.

 

[RonPaul101.com]

Looking at the long schedule still remaining just reminds me that we need another moneybomb sometime in early March. Hopefully, right after we win Washington which could make it a big one

Anyway, we need to decide on a theme and a date because as far as I know we don't have either yet. All this organization by the campaign to secure delegates isn't cheap...

If Paul doesn't get at least one win from now through Super Tuesday, the moneybomb planning won't matter - money will dry up and it will be an almost all grassroots effort to get delegates. Good thing is, I believe he can get a win on S.T. (ND probably most likely).

The campaign needs to show some better direction. They are advertising in MI when if anything they should have gone all in with about 90% of their bank for Washington to help set up Super Tuesday. Doing anything else seems oddly disappointing to me.

Why is trhe campaign running ads in MI? If it's to help Romney defeat Santorum it's going to be very difficult to get Paul siupporters to fund that via moneybombs.

 

[justatrey]

If Paul doesn't get at least one win from now through Super Tuesday, the moneybomb planning won't matter - money will dry up and it will be an almost all grassroots effort to get delegates. Good thing is, I believe he can get a win on S.T. (ND probably most likely).

The campaign needs to show some better direction. They are advertising in MI when if anything they should have gone all in with about 90% of their bank for Washington to help set up Super Tuesday. Doing anything else seems oddly disappointing to me.

Why is trhe campaign running ads in MI? If it's to help Romney defeat Santorum it's going to be very difficult to get Paul siupporters to fund that via moneybombs.

Yeah, I know that a lot of supporters question how they spend the money sometimes, and I'm sure they aren't perfect. But I'm also sure that without money there would be NO campaign, so it's our duty to find a way to keep them funded.

I'm really liking a "Super Tuesday Push" from March 1 - March 6 the more I think about it. If he pulls off a win somehow on March 3, it'll explode.

 

[PolicyReader]

I agree the Campaign needs Money. I noticed they never announced the total TV/Radio Ad Buy for the New "Fake" Commericial.

Ron wanted $5 Million for Super Tuesday and the NOBP Money Bomb raised roughly $2.1 Million over a week.

Actually, quite good considering we have not yet won a State in the Media's eyes.

But, I am sensing the burn rate for the Official Campaign is high and cash-on-hand is not so great.

A Money Bomb from March 1st thru the 5th would be great and help with the Primaries and Caucus's later in March.

Perhaps we could get a thread going for Donation matching?
If some of the grassroots here who have larger sums they could give got together and offered to match smaller donations and really get the ball rolling like in this thread

Back in 2007, I maxed out to Ron Paul's campaign by the end of Q3. But for various reasons, this time I haven't given anything.

It's time to change that. And I thought I'd start it out right, with a matching drive.

So some of you out there have really dug deep to support Ron Paul. Maybe you're thinking you're done for now. But are you really? Can you give...just another $20? $10? $5? (larger amounts are better, if you can do it, because of fees)

If I can get at least ten of you, and at least $200, I'll match it with $200 of my own.

This is a critical moment for the campaign. We need some wins by the time Super Tuesday is over. And I believe they're within reach.

Let's play!

(And if you really can't give any more, can you make some calls through Phone from Home? Your volunteer time is valuable too.)

If we could get several 'match donors' lined up it would work by reaching the goal of the first in the thread, then new donations would contribute to the second, then third and so on.
Best if all of this could go directly to the Official Campaign but if anyone is maxed to the PCC and wants to donate matching funds to a PAC that'd be worth while too.
We could collect matching funds pledges for a little while (the sooner the PCC gets the money the better) and then let people loose on it.
Also with focus this could be a new ongoing thread (maybe a sticky?)
What do people think of the idea, any ways to polish or expand it?

Does anyone have the funds to put up the first matching offer and get the ball rolling with a new thread?

 

[PolicyReader]

How would it effect the race if Mitt Romney had no gas in the tank?

This is why it is critical we make Ron's fundraising shine during the next few weeks.

The former Massachusetts governor announced Monday night that he had raised roughly $6.4 million in January. More significantly, however, he reported having only $7.7 million cash on hand -- which means that over the course of 31 days, his campaign spent approximately $18.7 million.

This is a remarkable burn rate for a campaign that appeared to be a well-oiled machine not too long ago. Each day in January, Romney spent an average of $603,225 and raised just $206,451, meaning he was spending $397,000 more than he was taking in. If the campaign continued to spend at that rate unabated, it would have burned through the remaining $7.7 million on Feb. 19.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/02/21/mitt-romney-fundraising_n_1291095.html

Thoughts?

(also wouldn't it be amazing if we could push Paul over the top so he had the best funded Campaign in the next leg of events? )

 

[1836]

 

[PolicyReader]

Wonder how it would effect things if everyone at that 4000 person rally in MI showed up to vote

 

[helmuth_hubener]

In a caucus state: a lot. In Michigan primary: not a lot. Each Congressional District is half a million people, and will have a lot of people voting -- maybe a hundred thousand? So in that even if that 4,000 all vote, and they're all in the same Congressional District, it will only be a couple of percentage points of difference.

Pray for low turnout!

 

[PolicyReader]

In a caucus state: a lot. In Michigan primary: not a lot. Each Congressional District is half a million people, and will have a lot of people voting -- maybe a hundred thousand? So in that even if that 4,000 all vote, and they're all in the same Congressional District, it will only be a couple of percentage points of difference.

Pray for low turnout!

From my reading The Detroit metro area is the most populace but also the "least" conservative (meaning prior turn out for GOP candidates and races), While the more rural areas are more consistent at turning out GOP voters (but have lower baseline per-capita turnouts).
I'm not holding my breath for a first place finish in MI but I do think that we've got a real chance of carrying some of the districts and if we can net 20-30% of the vote (polling says we're not quite there yet but within striking distance) that's a very solid showing. If Paul were to take MI over Santorum and Romney I'd have to go dance in the streets nonetheless the rally plus the recent endorsements are positive developments

 

[Professor8000]

I was wondering why the date for the Texas Primary hasn't been updated. The Texas Primary will not be held April 3rd, it will be held May 29th. This should be corrected as many people don't yet know of the changes.

 

[Okie RP fan]

Sure hope everyone on this forum is a delegate and has at least one relative, friend, and/or spouse that has decided to become a delegate with them.

 

[PolicyReader]

what do people think of this analysis?

ps ~ Lets all remember to [url="http://phone.ronpaul2012.com/v/faq.php]Phone From Home[/url] for Paul, the PFH program is now delegate hunting

 

[PolicyReader]

What's everyone's take on this article
Mathematical Case for Brokered Convention; How Ron Paul Can Throw a Big Wrench Into Romney's Campaign

 

[RPit]

So the 20 delegates from WY now a dream or can we now rally supporters to attend the remaining caucuses to pull it off?