How possible is a Idaho, Alaska, North Dakota win if we win Washington???

[lordindra3]

On CNN they were talking about how big of a deal a 3 state win for ANY candidate would be on Super Tuesday would be. I was wondering how possible (realistically) would it be if we pull of a win in WA (my home state and where I live. I have already received pledges from about 17 people who I am bringing to caucus), that it could turn momentum to Idaho, Alaska and North Dakota (remember, before IA, we were leading all polling in ND) beauty contest wins??? I think that may be our only chance of a REAL momentum shift that we lost with IA, NV and SC (2 of which, I believe were stolen from us)... Obviously the delegate strategy would be our only other chance, which could only work if we got into a contested ballot.

Please tell me if this is feasible? Man, I pray so... An extra gift would by Wyoming, but its not looking too great right now... Thanks!

Respectfully,

Indra

 

[eleganz]

very possible!

you need to call www.phone.ronpaul2012.com all this weekend to win Washington and calling Super Tuesday.

Don't second guess yourself or speculate...just CALL.

 

[RPit]

What's the point to speculate. Work your ass off because only that justifies that we win. Anything less means we don't want to win but want to watch tubes.

 

[joshnorris14]

On CNN they were talking about how big of a deal a 3 state win for ANY candidate would be on Super Tuesday would be. I was wondering how possible (realistically) would it be if we pull of a win in WA (my home state and where I live. I have already received pledges from about 17 people who I am bringing to caucus), that it could turn momentum to Idaho, Alaska and North Dakota (remember, before IA, we were leading all polling in ND) beauty contest wins??? I think that may be our only chance of a REAL momentum shift that we lost with IA, NV and SC (2 of which, I believe were stolen from us)... Obviously the delegate strategy would be our only other chance, which could only work if we got into a contested ballot.

Please tell me if this is feasible? Man, I pray so... An extra gift would by Wyoming, but its not looking too great right now... Thanks!

Respectfully,

Indra

Alaska is very possible. North Dakota and Idaho are harder.

 

[RPit]

Alaska is very possible. North Dakota and Idaho are harder.

I would say the reverse. lol.

 

[roversaurus]

Very possible. IFF we win Washington.
Thank you so much for those 14 friends. Drive them all there. Do you need help? Bring more too.
Can you take them out to brunch afterward? I bet we could get a chip in.

 

[RPit]

On CNN they were talking about how big of a deal a 3 state win for ANY candidate would be on Super Tuesday would be. I was wondering how possible (realistically) would it be if we pull of a win in WA (my home state and where I live. I have already received pledges from about 17 people who I am bringing to caucus), that it could turn momentum to Idaho, Alaska and North Dakota (remember, before IA, we were leading all polling in ND) beauty contest wins??? I think that may be our only chance of a REAL momentum shift that we lost with IA, NV and SC (2 of which, I believe were stolen from us)... Obviously the delegate strategy would be our only other chance, which could only work if we got into a contested ballot.

Please tell me if this is feasible? Man, I pray so... An extra gift would by Wyoming, but its not looking too great right now... Thanks!

Respectfully,

Indra

Make sure all of them are attending their caucus,you can't just go to any place. Must be where their precinct is or are all 17 in your caucus?

 

[Andrew Ryan]

How many people are expected to vote in Washington?

 

[digitaldean]

We need to win Washington first to get some momentum. And I think he has a good chance in:

Alaska, Idaho, North Dakota, Vermont, or Virginia.

If he just visits Vermont once that might give him a push since the other 3 are not going. And in Virginia he doesn't need to go to again since he came tonight. The people of Virginia are not on his side to win but they will vote for him to give their guys Newt/Santorum help.

 

[digitaldean]

How many people are expected to vote in Washington?

Look at 2008 numbers:

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/primaries/results/state/#val=WA

And this time it is only a caucus.

 

[Gravik]

Paul has a lot of support here in Idaho...but sadly so does Romney and Frothy (though I've NEVER talked with ANYONE who supported Romtard or Froth)

Also Idaho is a caucus this year as well.

 

[J. W. Evans]

States where there were two types of elections then and only one now are going to be hard to judge.
In Washington, the absence of a primary would lead to an increase in caucus turn-out in my opinion.

 

[lordindra3]

Thanks for all your answers and help! I REALLY love the family atmosphere... Most of them are in different precincts, but I am keeping daily tabs and reminding them where their caucuses are. The reason i feel so proud is that many of these friends and family are not very political, they dont simply care or are liberals (of course a good 7 or 8 of them are hard core Paul supporters due to 4 years of bombarding them with info and daily emails), but I said I would take them to dinner among other things.. Basically the most effective thing was (paraphrasing) "hey, I need a big favor, bigger than Ive ever asked before. If there is one thing Im asking you for, its this. As you know Ive never been more passionate about something as I am Ron Paul's candidacy and this is our BIG shot, since IA was stolen from us. This is our country's future and if you dont see it that way, please see this as being there for me.... Having said that, can I PLEASE ask you to go caucus for Ron Paul this saturday?.." "yeah, sure, I guess so.." "THANK YOU!!! I am counting on you though! I will be reminding you daily, Ill find out where your location is, etc. PLEASE dont let me down, ok?! THANKS!!!"

 

[Vanilluxe]

Also its best to try to catch vote tinkering early and not let the crooks get away with it.

 

[Freeberty]

Washington will come down to turnout. It is hard to predict because they are only having a caucus this year; last election they had both a primary and a caucus. If turnout is low(anywhere close to the 08 caucus turnout) we have a very good chance. However if turnout is more similar to the 08 primary turnout it becomes more unlikely that RP wins.

 

[Paul4Prez]

We need to win at least five states. Idaho, Alaska, North Dakota and Washington are among our best remaining chances. Hopefully Virginia will be a Ron Paul surprise as well.

 

[PolicyReader]

Every state becomes more likely when we [url="http://phone.ronpaul2012.com/v/faq.php]Phone From Home[/url]

On a more direct note I have people on the ground in ID and they're feeling positive about things. Biggest worry there so far is that there are a lot of new voters who need to be educated about the Caucus system prior to voting. I feel that a win in Idaho is very possible even without WA. But let's make my theory unprovable by GOTV with [url="http://phone.ronpaul2012.com/v/faq.php]Phone From Home[/url] and winning Washington

 

[RonPaul101.com]

We need to win Washington first to get some momentum. And I think he has a good chance in:

Alaska, Idaho, North Dakota, Vermont, or Virginia.

If he just visits Vermont once that might give him a push since the other 3 are not going. And in Virginia he doesn't need to go to again since he came tonight. The people of Virginia are not on his side to win but they will vote for him to give their guys Newt/Santorum help.

Ron should have openly ask/said Santorum and Gingrich voters "should want to stop Romney in Virginia to help their own candidate."

 

[Feelgood]

At this point, it is highly unlikely we will win Washington, or any other state for that matter. Up to this point, despite large turns outs at in-state rallies, we have had a complete shut out. With completely rigged elections, and blatant voter fraud, there is no reason to suspect anything will change in the coming weeks. Hell we couldnt win caucus states that were supposed to be all but in the bag for Ron. You think we are going to win primary states?

I would love to be able to see things through the rosey colored glasses, that so many in these forums seem to wear. However I am forced to look at things through the prism of reality, and swallow that bitter pill. The reality is there is no real way to win this. Even the delegates that are for Ron Paul are being targeted for challenges and will probably be eliminated by convention time, via manipulation, rule changes, lies and fraud. EVEN IF Ron had the necessary delegates to get the nomination, the GOP STILL would not give it to him.

I am fully NOBP, and will stay home on election day if Ron is not the nominee, just as I did in 2008. There are no write ins in Florida.

 

[IDefendThePlatform]

At this point, it is highly unlikely we will win Washington, or any other state for that matter. Up to this point, despite large turns outs at in-state rallies, we have had a complete shut out. With completely rigged elections, and blatant voter fraud, there is no reason to suspect anything will change in the coming weeks. Hell we couldnt win caucus states that were supposed to be all but in the bag for Ron. You think we are going to win primary states?

I would love to be able to see things through the rosey colored glasses, that so many in these forums seem to wear. However I am forced to look at things through the prism of reality, and swallow that bitter pill. The reality is there is no real way to win this. Even the delegates that are for Ron Paul are being targeted for challenges and will probably be eliminated by convention time, via manipulation, rule changes, lies and fraud. EVEN IF Ron had the necessary delegates to get the nomination, the GOP STILL would not give it to him.

I am fully NOBP, and will stay home on election day if Ron is not the nominee, just as I did in 2008. There are no write ins in Florida.

This is a great example of why we need to win Washington. How many other hardcore, 2007 supporters are discouraged right now? Probably a lot. 1 win gets everybody back in the game. Then a win or 2 on super Tuesday and there'll be no doubt we're taking this thing to the convention.