Lucille
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- Joined
- Oct 30, 2007
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Genetically Modified Organisms Risk Global Ruin, Says Black Swan Author Nassim Taleb
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...obal-Ruin-Says-Black-Swan-Author-Nassim-Taleb
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...obal-Ruin-Says-Black-Swan-Author-Nassim-Taleb
Finance people were risk-blind, but were a 1000 times more sophisticated than GMO-biologists (at least finance people can understand an insult). I noticed that the GMO promoters make elementary risk mistakes of showing the "benefits" of GMO (which I don't contest) as if it meant anything about the "risk" of GMOs. This is the standard Russian Roulette fallacy by which someone tells you the probability of getting the bullet is lower *because* the money you win is now larger.
So far all arguments are fraught with these fallacies: 1) The "evidentiary fallacy" (or Turkey problem, mistaking evidence of absence for absence of evidence), 2) The potato fallacy, 3) The technological salvation fallacy (risk-blind), aside from other similar elementary mistakes.