Honestly, What is the most ideal scenario from here on out...

A 2-man race is BETTER than a 3-man race.

1. A 3-man race means a brokered convention WHERE WE LOSE because Romney would make a deal with any 3rd candidate over Paul to become the nominee.

2. A 2-man race forces the media to mention Paul's name 17% more than a 3-man race does.

3. Once the race is a 2-man race, Paul can then trounce Romney and take the majority in the popular vote because Romney is all hot air and easy to deflate since he is a hollow person, unlike Gingrich who seems to have a few principles however thin they may be.

Romney may very well also be the weakest candidate against Obama because he is easy to portray as Gingrich did as the "evil job-destroying capitalist" who has no real values. I'm not really even sure its a portrayal so much as a reality. Yeah Romney will be portrayed as a "bankers best friend" and lose to Obama. Paul will be portrayed as a racist who wants to take away old people's Social Security money and food stamps, which is just laughable on its face. One is an outright lie and the other is not something that is part of his platform but rather something he'd like to eventually do at some point in the future when it is realistic and wouldn't result in all kinds of disasters.

I agree with you IF one critical assumption is true.

Assuming it comes down to just Ron and Mitt, and assuming Mitt wins SC and FL, probably with a larger margin in FL, in this two man race, do you believe the media would even treat this as a race or would they just proclaim victory and go home?

I tend to believe they would go back to ignoring this.
 
No Newt needs to lose big time and get out of the race. He is still a big danger to us. If the media and the TPTB decide that's who they want, they will resurrect him. Look at McCain 4 years ago...he was going nowhere and then the media propped him up and he became the nominee.
 
I think if we win Louisiana, we will get over that "Unelectable" hump.
 
I like having Newt around. He gets donations at $5 mil a pop, from the Las Vegas Sands's Abelson, and that money is used to fight No-Gambling (Mormon) Romney. He pledged up to $20 mil.

As long as these two duke it out, spend money, Ron can take the high road and possibly win SC. It's smooth sailing for us after that.

I just heard on San Diego radio KFMB this morning that Ron is at 20% in SC. That station is total establishment talk too!
 
Assuming it comes down to just Ron and Mitt, and assuming Mitt wins SC and FL, probably with a larger margin in FL, in this two man race, do you believe the media would even treat this as a race or would they just proclaim victory and go home?

This is what I'm talking about, if Romney wins SC, you can forget about any 2 man race stuff. The Media will all come together, stop talking about Ron and Mittens will never mention anyone other than Obama. Newt will never make it to the convention, and he isn't going to acquire enough delegates to make a deal with Romney so he wins easy. Newt is a big enough candidate (no pun intended) that the media will not be able to ignore the 3 man race.
 
The only endorsement from a former candidate that i could possibly see would be from Michele Bachmann. She is a tea party person with some decent fiscal conservatism. Plus, and this is the biggest reason, she is a current member of congress and a relatively young woman, so she does NOT want to upset the Paul Army because we will primary someone against her and run her out of Congress just to prove a point that she must be more establishment than Tea Party.

Bachmann needs to appease us with an endorsement for her own future in politics. Do you think Romney supporters would help her campaign for Congress as we would, or help her competition if she didn't endorse their campaign as we might? We are the supporters with the longest term memories in the business. ;)

Liberty is wonderful, but it can sting like a b!tch if you mess with us. :cool:
 
This is what I'm talking about, if Romney wins SC, you can forget about any 2 man race stuff. The Media will all come together, stop talking about Ron and Mittens will never mention anyone other than Obama. Newt will never make it to the convention, and he isn't going to acquire enough delegates to make a deal with Romney so he wins easy. Newt is a big enough candidate (no pun intended) that the media will not be able to ignore the 3 man race.

Actually the media is already saying it is over, and until Paul wins a state they will never say otherwise.
 
Anecdotal recent poll on Hannity forums: "If only Romney and Paul were left, who would you vote for?"

Romney - 27 - 36.99%
Paul - 38 - 52.05%
Wouldn't vote because I don't like the candidates - 6 - 8.22%
Wouldn't vote because I don't vote in primaries and / or GOP primaries - 2 - 2.74%


Hardly a scientific poll, but this suggests to me that a two man race is the best possible outcome for us. The media wont call the race over if the polls suggest we still have a race, and if Paul has delegates under his belt. I think if we truly had a two man race, we might see a dead heat in the polls, and the media would just eat it up.
 
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Ron Paul winning SC puts him ahead of Mitt Romney. Mitt and Newt can battle it out to see which one will become the anti-Paul. It will be a long drug out Primary season until Pennsylvania delivers victory to Ron Paul in April.
 
Ideal scenario is none of the other candidates catch on, get Romney one on one, destroy him in debates and use the face time to talk directly to the American people. Reagan-style victory - and I'm pretty sure RP won't be the same bait-and-switch that Reagan was.
 
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