Harris now leading Trump in polls

Rasmussen has Trump +7 in both 2 way and 5 way. CNN and yougov both have Trump +3.

If Trump avoids controversy and just lays low he is going to win this.
This is Trump we’re talking about. The man can’t go 5 seconds without doing/saying something controversial and loves being in the spotlight. I think he genuinely believes that the controversy he loves so much can’t possibly bite him in the ass.
 
Rasmussen has Trump +7 in both 2 way and 5 way. CNN and yougov both have Trump +3.

If Trump avoids controversy and just lays low he is going to win this.

At this point, you have to look down-ballot. If the internal polling for congress suggest that the Kamala head fake isn't stopping the bleeding, she'll be yanked. Then, they'll get a new honeymoon period for the next candidate.

And the last thing Trump wants to do is lay low! When the attention is on him, he wins. Haven't you seen those trends since like 2015?!
 
Anyhow, I doubt Kamala will be able to deflect Trump's "border czar" attacks by explaining to voters that she was really the "immigration root causes policy coordinator" or whatever her title was. She'll probably pivot away from that subject whenever it comes up.

I was getting ready to disagree on that, thinking that moderate voters in swing districts wouldn't buy the "Border Czar" argument ... then the following news story popped up within the last couple of hours:
Half-dozen Dems join GOP in condemning Harris’ work on the border

Six Democrats voted for the resolution, which was spearheaded by GOP Conference Chair Elise Stefanik of New York, and no Republicans opposed it. Those Democratic "yea" votes were Reps. Jared Golden (Maine), Yadira Caraveo (Colo.) Don Davis (N.C.), Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (Wash.), Henry Cuellar (Texas) and Mary Peltola (Alaska).

Republicans already viewed border security as a wedge issue they could wield against vulnerable Democrats, pushing votes in the House that put those lawmakers in tough positions. But Republicans believe Harris’ work on the border earlier in President Joe Biden’s term — with the GOP labeling her the “border czar” — lends new credence to that line of attack.

“No matter what congressional district you go to, the number one issue facing Americans is Kamala Harris’ open border crisis,” Stefanik said on the floor. “The American people deserve elected officials who understand the gravity of the crisis at the border.”

It's a non-binding resolution with no teeth in it; but it does kind of indicate that Democrats in some swing districts are afraid their voters are going to buy the argument. Still, they did have to modify the language:
Part of it initially said Harris was tapped “to serve as the administration’s border czar.” Republicans changed it to instead say that Harris “came to be known colloquially as the Biden administration’s ‘border czar.’
 
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At this point, you have to look down-ballot. If the internal polling for congress suggest that the Kamala head fake isn't stopping the bleeding, she'll be yanked. Then, they'll get a new honeymoon period for the next candidate.

And the last thing Trump wants to do is lay low! When the attention is on him, he wins. Haven't you seen those trends since like 2015?!

By lay low I mean lay off the controversial identity politics, social issues and focus on what people really care about. His little maga pep rallies seem to work for him so I doubt he stops them. Harris is attacking Trump about the felony conviction. It's clear that nobody cares about that. I feel like Trump needs to just let all that go and focus on the fact that the economy was good when he was president and he ended wars not started them. People can't afford food and housing. They care more about that than if Trump grabbed an ass 25 years ago or if Trump cheated on a business deal. We all know he did those things. If he can ride the goodwill of not getting killed and show that he is the one who can fix the economy he is going to win in a landslide. If he goes back to fighting over social issues with Harris it might be close. +7 is nothing to laugh at. Very few have done that good and lost.
 
This might be good news and backfired on MSNBC to boot. How to capitalize on it?


 
By lay low I mean lay off the controversial identity politics, social issues and focus on what people really care about. His little maga pep rallies seem to work for him so I doubt he stops them.

Two things:

One, you have been wrong about an awful lot of things here recently, so maybe you should lay low on the prognosticating, and just hang back and see what happens.

Two, little? These are the biggest political rallies I can recall in my lifetime, and he does one nearly every week.

You know, here's a thought: maybe these rallies are not strictly for Trump's benefit. Maybe he holds them not to stroke his own ego and strut around like Il Duce.

Maybe it's for the people's benefit.

Maybe the fact that tens of thousands of people can gather together and realize they are not alone and are not silent.

Maybe they do it, in increasing numbers, because they have had enough, and realize that 50,000 people or more, all assembled to shout a giant Fuck You at the ruling class is a powerful thing and they want to be a part of it.

My son, my dad, my wife and my mother in law have been to a Trump rally.

I have not and was not intending to ever attend one.

But now I'm seriously considering riding over to Butler PA and attending that one, to do just that: shout Fuck You at the oppressors and destroyers of this nation.

ETA-Missed my chance, already over.
 
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Politcal rallies mean NOTHING.

Who counts the vote.

Who gets bigger votes in largest cities

republicans used to be silent majority. Now they are louder & dumber

Sorry that’s just my take
 
& fwiw Anti Fed I hope you go to rally & have a great time w/ lots of other like my good folks

venting & ranting here, just ain’t right for an old salty dog!

Peace & Hairgreae
 
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The best way to attack Harris is through her record as prosecutor. In our world of really talking about criminal justice reform, Harris' 'top cop' persona will work against her. Besides her most heinous acts (blocking evidence that would exonerate an innocent from death row), she locked up parents for truancy, jailed people for marijuana violations in an act of major hypocrisy on her part, and kept people beyond their sentences to basically use as slave labor. All of these things affected poor people and the black community negatively, and she desperately needs the black vote to stay relevant, as race is really the only thing going for her.

[...]
You, of course, are exactly right. And......Trump is unlikely to do that [...]

Looks like someone decided to do it for him.

https://x.com/MAHAalliance/status/1849965434898161672
Dear Kamala Harris,

The vast majority of American men have no issue with electing a female president, our issue lies solely with you. Your reputation precedes you, defined by a relentless pursuit of power, from your tenure as California’s attorney general to the present day. Your track record presents concerns that we cannot overlook. You are simply a risk we are not willing to take.

#MakeAmericaHealthyAgain #MAHA
 
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