Harris erases Trump's RCP lead, Trump behind for the first time since Oct 2023

[Swordsmyth]

 

[Cleaner44]

NEW NUMBERS: Trump is UP in Our Poll, Just Like He Was Against Biden - Don't Believe the Gaslighting

Rasmussen Reports

 

[oyarde]

Dems may end up w/ a little backlas from trying to take kennedy off ballot , in some states kennedy voters are not voting kamala- biden regime

 

[WarriorLiberty]

Dems may end up w/ a little backlas from trying to take kennedy off ballot , in some states kennedy voters are not voting kamala- biden regime

Price control would be a bad policy.. This could end up back firing back at the laughing Harris.

 

[Swordsmyth]

[h=1]New American Daily | Playing Poll Games to Magnify Kamala Harris’ Popularity[/h]
https://rumble.com/v5b2rcp-new-amer...ames-to-magnify-kamala-harris-popularity.html

 

[Swordsmyth]

 

[Swordsmyth]

 

[Cleaner44]

The Polling Industry is Corrupt! The 2024 Race Has Changed VERY LITTLE.

Rasmussen Reports

 

[TheCount]

How'd he do with his analysis of the last three elections? Good?

 

[Swordsmyth]

 

[Anti Federalist]

Three new polls posted this morning, increasing the Harris lead to 1.5 at RCP average.

ABC/WaPo Harris +4 CBS News Harris +3 Rasmussen Trump +4

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

Trump has also lost his RCP average lead in AZ with Harris up 0.2

So Harris leads now in AZ, MI, and WI with a tie in PA.

Based on this polling it will all settle on PA, with a razor thin margin, and history of election hanky panky.

 

[Swordsmyth]

Three new polls posted this morning, increasing the Harris lead to 1.5 at RCP average.

ABC/WaPo Harris +4 CBS News Harris +3 Rasmussen Trump +4

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

Trump has also lost his RCP average lead in AZ with Harris up 0.2

So Harris leads now in AZ, MI, and WI with a tie in PA.

Based on this polling it will all settle on PA, with a razor thin margin, and history of election hanky panky.

Trash polls.

 

[Swordsmyth]

Headlines abound daily with news that Vice President Kamala Harris is on the road to a victory of epic proportions. Indeed, the latest proclamation is that the Democrat hopeful is “within striking distance” of turning Florida blue – a mere five points behind Donald Trump. So revelatory was this latest chunk of polling that it briefly became one of the top stories in the country. But why?


That Harris should be 5% behind Trump in The Sunshine State is one of the least surprising data points of the campaign season. In 2020, Trump took Florida by just 3.3% against Joe Biden, and in 2016, by a mere 1.2% over Clinton. A poll saying Harris is five points behind suggests that it is Trump who is increasing his margin rather than the VP gaining ground. And yet, that is not the faux zeitgeist on offer.
[h=2]Polling Data in Perspective[/h] The Real Clear Politics average of polls currently gives Harris a 0.9% lead nationally – notably, in both 2016 and 2020, Donald Trump never held a national polling lead. However, to adapt a phrase from George Orwell: All polls are equal, but some polls are more equal than others.
Considering only national surveys since President Joe Biden announced that he was no longer seeking office (a total of 25), there are numerous ways the figures can be analyzed. First is a straight tally, which gives Trump a slight 0.16% edge. Another way to consider the data is only to count polls that use Likely Voters (which is determined to be an overall more accurate measurement than Registered Voters). In this model, the GOP contender has an advantage of roughly 2.8%. But Trump supporters shouldn’t get too excited just yet – after all, polls are only indicators, and over or under-sampling can skew the information, and an average of polls confined to just August gives Harris a handy 1.28% advantage.
[h=2]Swing States by the Numbers[/h] Presidential elections are decided by the swing states; in an Electoral College system, it doesn’t matter that one candidate might have even 100% of ballots cast in their favor in a single large state; there is only the EC vote count. Getting to the all-important 270 votes involves making major plays for the handful of states that are neither reliably red nor blue. So, where do they stand?
Of the seven battlegrounds*, the RCP average hands five to Trump (Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania) and two to Harris (Michigan and Wisconsin). What is notable about this division is that just one month ago, Liberty Nation News reported that this was (barring results within the margin of error) exactly the same breakdown between Trump and Biden, suggesting that, while Harris appears more popular than her boss, the overall direction of the election has not changed much.

More at: https://www.libertynation.com/the-polling-propaganda-wars-in-full-swing/

 

[acptulsa]

Trash polls.

Yes, they are. But Red Eagle smells just as tainted.

Two streams of Separate but Equal propaganda mendacity.

 

[Swordsmyth]

Yes, they are. But Red Eagle smells just as tainted.

Two streams of Separate but Equal propaganda mendacity.

LOL

He's overly cautious in his analysis.

But you just keep spouting the MSM/DNC talking points, it makes exposing you easy.

 

[acptulsa]

He's overly cautious in his analysis.

Might mean something if I had ever seen you be sentient in your own.

 

[TheCount]

LOL

He's overly cautious in his analysis.

But you just keep spouting the MSM/DNC talking points, it makes exposing you easy.

How cautious was he in his analysis of the last three elections?

 

[Todd]

And that's false.
Claiming that is taking a side.

Lol. Reporting facts is taking sides.
Yes I'm sorry old boy.....but it appears that Israel has been committing ethnic cleansing for a couple generations and now they are taking it up a notch. Sorry if that hurts your world view.

 

[Swordsmyth]

Lol. Reporting facts is taking sides.
Yes I'm sorry old boy.....but it appears that Israel has been committing ethnic cleansing for a couple generations and now they are taking it up a notch. Sorry if that hurts your world view.

Not just Israel, that's the false part, you are now lying about what was claimed that is a lie.
Both sides have been doing it for generations.

 

[acptulsa]

Lol. Reporting facts is taking sides.

Republicans saw Democrats saying that, and took to it in a big, big way.