Gravis Poll: Rand Paul at 15% in NH

Check this out:

Jeb Bush 18%
Scott Walker 16% Rand Paul 15%
Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 15%

Source: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statew...ty_presidential_primaries,_2016#New_Hampshire

That's really a lot of UNDECIDED. They can still make or break this state. We need Paul to win as many of those as he can now don't we?

They can. But, if I'm correct, they intend more to break the state than make it. Unless I'm mistaken on the statistical stuffs ... those 15% are foaming at the mouth hoping Romney will run again.
It's pretty unrealistic to think Rand will win the majority of their votes.

We gotta work hard for NH. I don't think it will be very easy to win.

Keep in mind that this is the state that voted for McCain in 2008 and Romney 2012 (overwhelmingly).
In fact, we might have had some decent presidents come from the republican party if it weren't for this particular state ... who knows ...
 
They can. But, if I'm correct, they intend more to break the state than make it. Unless I'm mistaken on the statistical stuffs ... those 15% are foaming at the mouth hoping Romney will run again.
It's pretty unrealistic to think Rand will win the majority of their votes.

We gotta work hard for NH. I don't think it will be very easy to win.

Keep in mind that this is the state that voted for McCain in 2008 and Romney 2012 (overwhelmingly).
In fact, we might have had some decent presidents come from the republican party if it weren't for this particular state ... who knows ...

But Romney decided not to run.

I know it won't be easy to win NH.

McCain won NH in 2000 and 2008. Romney won that state a lot because his state as governor is close to it and a little because he was winning the national vote.
 
If Rand does better than Cruz in Iowa, then he will gain the majority of his votes in New Hampshire. For Walker and Rubio, I think half of their votes are possible with a outright win in Iowa.

Of course, winning Iowa and NH isn't easy, I think Walker is the favorite to win Iowa at this moment. It will be interesting to see how much cash and ground support Walker can build. He hasn't announced yet, so he'll get another boost from that.
 
Sorry for the late response and being slow on the pick up but JUST NOW I saw the margin of error being +/- 4% and that is very good! Rand Paul CAN win NH. And he NEEDS to if he can't win IA.
 
Walker will be polling around 5% a few weeks after he declares his candidacy and the press starts nailing him down on positions. Those points will get split between JEB and Rubio.
 
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