GOP preparing for contested convention

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GOP preparing for contested convention

https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...2574bc-9f73-11e5-8728-1af6af208198_story.html

By Robert Costa and Tom Hamburger December 10 at 4:13 PM

Republican officials and leading figures in the party’s establishment are now preparing for the possibility of a brokered convention as Donald Trump continues sit atop the polls and the presidential race.

More than 20 of them convened Monday for a dinner held by Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus, where the prospect of Trump nearing next year’s nominating convention in Cleveland with a significant number of delegates dominated the discussion, according to five people familiar with the meeting.

Considering that scenario as Priebus and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) listened, several longtime power brokers argued that if the controversial billionaire storms through the primaries, the party’s establishment must lay the groundwork for a floor fight, in which the GOP’s mainstream wing could coalesce around an alternative, the people said.

Because of the sensitivity of the topic — and wary of saying something that, if leaked, would provoke Trump to bolt the party and mount an independent bid — Priebus and McConnell were mostly quiet during the back and forth. They did not signal support for an overt anti-Trump effort.

But near the end, McConnell and Priebus did acknowledge to the group that a deadlocked convention is indeed something the party should prepare for, both institutionally at the RNC and politically at all levels in the coming months.

Upon leaving, several attendees said they would soon share with one another memos about delegate allocation in each state as well as research about the 1976 convention, the last time the GOP gathered without a clear nominee.

When asked Thursday about the dinner and convention planning, Sean Spicer, the RNC’s chief strategist and spokesman, said: “The RNC is neutral in this process and the rules are set until the convention begins next July. Our goal is to ensure a successful nomination and that requires us thinking through every scenario, including a contested convention.”

This emerging consensus at the highest levels of the Republican Party about how the 2016 race could unfold comes after a fresh wave of polls showing Trump leading in early voting states and nationally, even as he continues to unleash incendiary comments such as his proposal to block Muslims from entering the United States. It also marks the close of a months-long chapter in the campaign when a brokered convention was considered a fanciful concept rather than a possibility that merited serious review by the party’s top leaders.

The prix-fixe three-course meal at the Source, an upscale Asian fusion restaurant near the Capitol, was part of a regular invitation-only dinner series hosted by Priebus in which he solicits candid input from party leaders. Those familiar with Monday’s deliberations spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe a private matter.

Attendees included Ward Baker, executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee; Rob Simms, his counterpart at the National Republican Congressional Committee; Ron Kaufman, an RNC committeeman and Mitt Romney confidant; and pollster Linda DiVall. Whit Ayres, an adviser to Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.), and Vin Weber, an ally of former Florida governor Jeb Bush, also were there, among others.

It wasn’t supposed to be this way for leading Republicans. After Romney’s 2012 defeat, the RNC moved to speed up the process with limited debates and an earlier convention date. But 2016 is looking like another protracted battle for GOP candidates, in part because of changed rules regarding delegate selection.

The problem facing the party — a crowded field led by a billionaire firebrand — was evident on Thursday, a deadline to qualify for the Virginia presidential primary. According Republicans in the state, 11 candidates qualified. Given the acrimony and uncertainty — and the relative ease of fundraising — there is little incentive for any of them to drop out.

RNC members will huddle in January in South Carolina to discuss the convention. Although no rule changes can be implemented until the convention, the people familiar with the meeting said top Republicans would like to begin that winter meeting with more clarity about how the RNC would handle a contested convention.

When asked by The Washington Post last week what he thought about a contested convention, Trump said he, too, is preparing for one.

“I don’t think it’s going to be a brokered convention. But if it is, I’d certainly go all the way — and I think I’d have a certain disadvantage,” he said.

“I’ll be disadvantaged,” he continued. “The deal-making, that’s my advantage. My disadvantage is that I’d be going up against guys who grew up with each other, who know each other intimately and I don’t know who they are, okay? That’s a big disadvantage. . . . These kind of guys stay close. They all know each other. They want each other to win.”
 
So is this what Donald Trump was referring to about the GOP not treating him fairly and going third party?
 
uh huh...more lies...just like 2012.

THE NOMINEE IS APPOINTED BY RNC/ GOP

if you aint them
u no count!!!!

REMEMBER IT
YELL IT FROM THE ROOF TOPS

ITS A SHAM!
 
Attendees included Ward Baker, executive director of the National Republican Senatorial Committee; Rob Simms, his counterpart at the National Republican Congressional Committee; Ron Kaufman, an RNC committeeman and Mitt Romney confidant; and pollster Linda DiVall. Whit Ayres, an adviser to Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.), and Vin Weber, an ally of former Florida governor Jeb Bush, also were there, among others.

Romney, Rubio and Jeb all get a (rep) seat at the table. How predictable.
 
Right now the "not Trump" vote is divided among a big list of candidates. If several drop out after New Hampshire/ Iowa, then somebody will gain on him. Most of the "Super Tuesday" primaries are "winner take all".
 
At least we know Rand will be in until the end, thanks to this scenario! What are the odds Rand is offered a seat at the table? Who knows. I don't expect the field to narrow down and the beltway boys might just have a talk with all the parties and fund them in each state but reach some sort of "Non-Aggression Pact" so that way many candidates can win these states. But this will give Rand a second wind and we must take advantage of it! An interesting scenario!! :D
 
Right now the "not Trump" vote is divided among a big list of candidates. If several drop out after New Hampshire/ Iowa, then somebody will gain on him. Most of the "Super Tuesday" primaries are "winner take all".

The only problems is that you can't easily put Cruz and Carson in the anti trump group. In the latest NYT poll, Trump and Cruze alonr make up 51%.
 
LOL at least this cycle they are willing to talk about it.

Exactly. In 2008 and 2012, they kept saying how these sort of backroom discussions about how to rig the convention just don't happen.
 
Not sure who could contest trump at this point. He's a mile above everyone and holding strong.
 
Right now the "not Trump" vote is divided among a big list of candidates. If several drop out after New Hampshire/ Iowa, then somebody will gain on him. Most of the "Super Tuesday" primaries are "winner take all".

In terms of lasting through Super Tuesday:

Trump has hundreds of millions in cash and the national lead, he's not dropping.

Cruz and Carson have tens of millions, they're not dropping out.

Bush and Rubio are completely protected by establishment money, they're not dropping.

Rand is staying into the spring at least, due to spending hundreds of thousands for the KY caucus.

Christie and Kasich stand to place high in NH, so they'll probably hang through Super Tuesday.

The rest of the field totals only 5%, so if they dropped out their voters are not enough to impact the primaries.

This means Trump will have no one gaining on him before Super Tuesday, unless somebody else wins IA or SC big and maximizes the momentum from it in the February contests.

The choice of the non-establishment population is thus still the odds on favorite to win the nomination.
 
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It will be the most exciting National Convention in U.S. history everyone will be in the edge of their seats watching this as will it go down to the wire. It will be the highest TV ratings of any TV program of all time.
 
If the close primaries continue, the RNC will need to implement the emergency contingencies...
 
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