GMO labeling on the Ballot in Oregon

[Natural Citizen]

5100 and some change in the vote total difference. Closing in as ballots are counted.

[TD="class: candname"]Yes
[/TD]
[TD="class: candbar"][/TD]
[TD="class: candvote"]738,323
[/TD]
[TD="class: candpct"]49.83%
[/TD]

[TD="class: candname win"]No
[/TD]
[TD="class: candbar"][/TD]
[TD="class: candvote"]743,505
[/TD]
[TD="class: candpct"]50.17%
[/TD]

Gonna get jiggy now...

Contested votes (only) by county minus those which have been remedied thus far...

Multnomah 2956
Lane 1573
Washington 1570
Clackamas 1129
Jackson 838
Marion 810
des Chutes 586
Josephine 404
Linn 322
Yamhill 316
Douglas 243
Benton 187
Coos 167
Polk 152
Klamath 143
Lincoln 118
Umatilla 109
Tillamook 96
Columbia 81
Hood River 64
Union 59
Curry 44
Wasco 42
Clatsop 33
Jefferson 30
Crook 26
Baker 16
Grant 11
Lake 5
Harney 4
Morrow 3
Wallowa 3
Wheeler 1


[TABLE="class: vote, align: center"]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TH="colspan: 2, align: center"]Yes
[/TH]
[TH="colspan: 2, align: center"]No
[/TH]
[TH="align: center"]Total
[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Baker
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,313
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 32.16%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 4,879
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 67.84%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7,192
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Benton
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 19,431
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 52.10%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 17,862
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 47.90%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]37,293
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Clackamas
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 73,943
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 46.97%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 83,491
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 53.03%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]157,434
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Clatsop
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 7,174
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 50.45%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 7,046
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 49.55%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14,220
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Columbia
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 9,097
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 45.18%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 11,040
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 54.82%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20,137
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Coos
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 10,977
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 45.93%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 12,924
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 54.07%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]23,901
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Crook
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,819
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 31.13%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 6,237
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 68.87%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9,056
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Curry
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 5,132
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 52.44%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 4,655
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 47.56%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9,787
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Deschutes
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 31,583
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 46.40%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 36,490
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 53.60%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]68,073
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Douglas
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 16,778
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 40.65%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 24,494
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 59.35%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41,272
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Gilliam
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 211
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 23.37%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 692
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 76.63%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]903
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Grant
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 1,040
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 31.52%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,260
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 68.48%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,300
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Harney
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 791
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 26.35%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,211
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 73.65%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,002
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Hood River
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 4,487
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 53.59%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 3,886
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 46.41%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8,373
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Jackson
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 44,418
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 54.99%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 36,354
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 45.01%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]80,772
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Jefferson
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,234
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 32.31%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 4,680
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 67.69%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6,914
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Josephine
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 16,503
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 48.85%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 17,277
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 51.15%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]33,780
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Klamath
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 8,278
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 36.13%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 14,632
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 63.87%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22,910
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Lake
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 938
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 29.12%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,283
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 70.88%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,221
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Lane
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 84,728
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 57.60%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 62,378
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 42.40%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]147,106
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Lincoln
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 10,387
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 52.70%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 9,321
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 47.30%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19,708
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Linn
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 16,362
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 37.60%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 27,159
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 62.40%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43,521
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Malheur
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,395
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 31.60%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 5,183
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 68.40%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7,578
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Marion
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 42,712
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 41.66%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 59,811
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 58.34%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]102,523
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Morrow
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 853
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 26.87%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,322
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 73.13%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,175
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Multnomah
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 181,207
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 62.41%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 109,122
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 37.59%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]290,329
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Polk
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 12,803
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 41.82%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 17,815
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 58.18%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]30,618
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Sherman
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 205
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 22.70%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 698
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 77.30%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]903
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Tillamook
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 4,806
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 44.77%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 5,930
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 55.23%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,736
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Umatilla
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 6,029
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 31.70%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 12,987
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 68.30%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19,016
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Union
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 3,382
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 32.70%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 6,961
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 67.30%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10,343
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Wallowa
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 1,294
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 35.58%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 2,343
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 64.42%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3,637
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Wasco
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 3,645
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 39.62%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 5,556
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 60.38%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9,201
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Washington
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 93,698
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 48.31%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 100,267
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 51.69%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]193,965
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Wheeler
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 229
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 32.21%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 482
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 67.79%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]711
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: rowLabel"]Yamhill
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 15,441
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 41.49%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 21,777
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"] 58.51%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]37,218
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]Totals:
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]738,323
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]49.83%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]743,505
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.17%
[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1,481,828
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

 

[invisible]

Wow! That's amazingly close to my projection! (post #128) Looks like I'm going to be even more accurate than I thought.

 

[Natural Citizen]

Wow! That's amazingly close to my projection! (post #128) Looks like I'm going to be even more accurate than I thought.

The remaining votes to be tallied may be majority YES. Will be close, for sure. Phone calling is in overdrive with regard to those contested ballots. Transporting people if need be. People are on it. Funds are sufficient so that it may continue. Will see how it pans out.

 

[invisible]

The remaining votes to be tallied may be majority YES. Will be close, for sure. Phone calling is in overdrive with regard to those contested ballots. Transporting people if need be. People are on it. Funds are sufficient so that it may continue. Will see how it pans out.

I don't claim to be an expert on statistical matters, but it seems intuitive to me that the remaining votes will tend to have a yes / no distribution that closely follows the totals for the county they came from, just as my original projection did. I'm not so sure that people voting one particular way would be any more or less inclined to verify their contested ballots. I think which counties have more or less of their ballots completely thrown out will make more difference, again because this will follow the percentage of the vote totals in each county.

 

[donnay]

Whether it's God, or Evolution, that made potatoes the way they are, humans were created, or evolved, to eat potatoes without bacteria genes in them.

Nobody has any idea about any of the weird stuff that happens to humans from eating something that is very similar to actual food, but is different in quite significant ways.

We have no idea what effect this "food" has on us or on other animals or plants. It's hurting us.

GMO's screws with our DNA and genetic expression. The Biotechs are playing God and the people have done just fine without these evil corporations molesting our foods. When I say, "MonSatan" I really mean it.

 

[56ktarget]

Its interesting to see the Paulites struggle with their hatred for government and love for transparency.

 

[Natural Citizen]

I don't claim to be an expert on statistical matters, but it seems intuitive to me that the remaining votes will tend to have a yes / no distribution that closely follows the totals for the county they came from, just as my original projection did. I'm not so sure that people voting one particular way would be any more or less inclined to verify their contested ballots. I think which counties have more or less of their ballots completely thrown out will make more difference, again because this will follow the percentage of the vote totals in each county.

Well. We get to be a bit selective at this point in the game, invisible. Agreed on your points, though.

 

[Natural Citizen]

I don't claim to be an expert on statistical matters, but it seems intuitive to me that the remaining votes will tend to have a yes / no distribution that closely follows the totals for the county they came from, just as my original projection did.

Looks like some of these counties which had previously been majority NO are changing to majority YES. Will update those numbers a little later.

 

[invisible]

Looks like some of these counties which had previously been majority NO are changing to majority YES. Will update those numbers a little later.

Interesting, TY. I look forward to your updates.

 

[Natural Citizen]

Interesting, TY. I look forward to your updates.

Some relevant reading while we wait for some of these...

Among their fellow non-party voters, 1.2 percent either forgot to sign their ballots or had signatures that didn't match their registration card.

In second place, Independents had 1.1 percent, Democrats with .07 percent and Republicans with .06 percent.

A new law allows the problem ballot list to be publicly released before the deadline passes and allows campaign representatives to call you and urge you to fix issues and be counted. Campaign representatives also may offer to drive voters to elections offices, though they're not allowed to pressure them on their votes on the way.

Are you on the list? Elections offices release names of Oregon voters with problem ballots

 

[Natural Citizen]

Plugging these new numbers into my spreadsheet as per post #86, my projection now looks like:
yes - 738277 = 49.85%
no - 742799 = 50.15%

Currently...

[TD="class: candname"]Yes
[/TD]
[TD="class: candbar"][/TD]
[TD="class: candvote"]740,917
[/TD]
[TD="class: candpct"]49.85%
[/TD]

[TD="class: candname win"]No
[/TD]
[TD="class: candbar"][/TD]
[TD="class: candvote"]745,456
[/TD]
[TD="class: candpct"]50.15%
[/TD]

Very good grasshoppa.

More to count as we move toward the 18th deadline...

 

[invisible]

Currently...

[TD="class: candname"]Yes
[/TD]
[TD="class: candbar"][/TD]
[TD="class: candvote"]740,917
[/TD]
[TD="class: candpct"]49.85%
[/TD]

[TD="class: candname win"]No
[/TD]
[TD="class: candbar"][/TD]
[TD="class: candvote"]745,456
[/TD]
[TD="class: candpct"]50.15%
[/TD]

Very good grasshoppa.

More to count as we move toward the 18th deadline...

But if some of the "no" counties are now swinging towards "yes", and the difference is something like 1% of the county's vote total (at least that's how I read post #190 - and you forgot the link btw, so no idea where that came from), that should be more than enough to throw the final result to more than 50% yes. But of course, the presentation of the numbers is still confusing enough to make any sort of accurate projection impossible at this point. When that first 1000 votes got mysteriously added to the no total, I entered that into my spreadsheet just to see what happened, and it changed the final result by something like .08%, so a couple thousand more yes votes will tip the balance.

 

[Natural Citizen]

When that first 1000 votes got mysteriously added to the no total, I entered that into my spreadsheet just to see what happened, and it changed the final result by something like .08%, so a couple thousand more yes votes will tip the balance.

Yep. That erroneous 1000 vote addition to NO was caught and subsequently removed, thankfully. I'm keeping my battle helmet on just in case.

Sorry for not linking to that snippet in the earlier post. I never forget to source what I share here. Was incompetence on my part. It was from an online newspaper in Oregon. I'll have to try remember which one and go look for it and then I'll add it to post 190.

 

[invisible]

Yep. That erroneous 1000 vote addition to NO was caught and subsequently removed, thankfully. I'm keeping my battle helmet on just in case.

Sorry for not linking to that snippet in the earlier post. I never forget to source what I share here. Was incompetence on my part. It was from an online newspaper in Oregon. I'll have to try remember which one and go look for it and then I'll add it to post 190.

Oh, I didn't think you quoted something inaccurately, or anything like that. I just would find the article interesting to read!

 

[Natural Citizen]

Oh, I didn't think you quoted something inaccurately, or anything like that. I just would find the article interesting to read!

Yes, I know that you didn't. I added a link to the thing in post 190, btw. Speaking off the record, it could be considered reasonable for one to wonder if the No On 92 folks may have had some people working in some of these critical counties and questioning the signatures on the ballots of the YES On 92 Demographic. I only mention this because of the number of contested votes in particular counties. Again, I'm mentioning this off the record but it certainly would be reasonable for one to consider the phenomenon given the percentage of remedied YES votes of contested ballots.

 

[Natural Citizen]

...a couple thousand more yes votes will tip the balance.

Looking better. Nobody is paying attention.

 

[invisible]

Looking better. Nobody is paying attention.

What do you mean? Who is not paying attention, to what?

 

[angelatc]

GMO's screws with our DNA and genetic expression. The Biotechs are playing God and the people have done just fine without these evil corporations molesting our foods. When I say, "MonSatan" I really mean it.

God clearly and plainly gave us dominion over the plants and the animals. You're such a keen researcher - how did you miss that?

The human genome has been mapped, go look for yourself and see what percentage of genes have genetically transferred from plants. Scientists aren't worried about horizontal gene transfer. And it was happening long before GMO foods were introduced to the world.

You're not going to start expressing the genes that were inserted/modified because you eat GMOs. Changes in your nutrient intake may cause changes in expression, some of which may be persistent, but everything you eat “can change your DNA” in that sense. Diet is and always has been one of environmental factors that affect genetic expression. But unless you're ingesting pure plutonium or nitrous acid, it's not altering your genome, but its expression.

Next life, try to make it past 8th grade.

 

[angelatc]

We have no idea what effect this "food" has on us or on other animals or plants. It's hurting us.

No it isn't. In our diets every day for an entire generation now, not one disease or illness linked to it. Although I do believe I could make the case that eating organic makes people into simpletons.

 

[angelatc]

It speaks largely to the ability of the leftists to poll correctly when every single poll shows 85 - 90% of voters support labeling, yet it almost always fails miserably at the ballot box, even in the cherry-picked proving grounds of liberalism. Science is hard.

They can't get this nonsense passed in Washington and California? *snicker*

Now I suppose one of our regulars will come and direly warn us that it doesn't matter anyway - there is some wave of something coming to take over regardless. Because freedom.