First case of China-linked coronavirus reported in US

everyone in masks here. we all wore masks and gloves from airplane to hotel. maybe just room service until I leave, very few places open.
 
ghengis86 said:
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Might be a good place to start.
But again, how do you know the data is accurate based on who is reporting (the commies) ?
Click to expand...
Not enough data. Only goes back a few days. Plots a very scary line for number of infections... Looks quite vertical if you scale to a month. Deaths and recovered however is not saying much. So if you have more data going back further, I'll plot it.
 
Scale on both of these in time is the same. Each number stands for the day after Jan 1st. So the graph starts on the 24th.
Vertical scale is different but listed on the left. Hubei province only. I'll see if I can work on an simple script that compiles the data for me not that difficult but I've already noticed the downloadable data changes format from day to day. I only took the 12pm reports now or close to. Then added a 29.5 point for the 11am report of this morning.

Good thing this started approx the new year... So I started at 0. :redsmiling:

Blue line is number of confirmed cases. (Hubei province)
Graph1.jpg


Green line is deaths. Red line is recovered. (Hubei province)
Graph2.jpg
 
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Danke said:
without my VPN working here anymore, Internet is so sloooow. and many links don't open. Of course no Youtube, etc.
Click to expand...

Sucks bro. Do you get the option not to go to China ? I'd highly advise you to take it if you could. You don't really want to get stuck.
 
luctor-et-emergo said:
Sucks bro. Do you get the option not to go to China ? I'd highly advise you to take it if you could. You don't really want to get stuck.
Click to expand...

Looks like after this trip, my next trips to Beijing in Feb. have been canceled.
 
Danke said:
Looks like after this trip, my next trips to Beijing in Feb. have been canceled.
Click to expand...

If you can get back from China...

Here’s an article:

WHO declares China virus outbreak an international emergency

GENEVA (Reuters) - The World Health Organization declared on Thursday that the coronavirus epidemic in China now constitutes a public health emergency of international concern.

Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO director-general, announced the decision after a meeting of its Emergency Committee, an independent panel of experts, amid mounting evidence of the virus spreading to some 18 countries.

Tedros told a news conference in Geneva that recent weeks have witnessed an unprecedented outbreak which has been met by an unprecedented response.

“Let me be clear, this declaration is not a vote of no confidence in China,” he said.

“Our greatest concern is the potential for the virus to spread to countries with weaker health systems,” he added.
...
Twice last week the experts had decided not to declare an emergency while they sought more information from China and awaited evidence of confirmed person-to-person spread of the virus in other countries.

The declaration of a global emergency triggers recommendations to all countries aimed at preventing or reducing cross-border spread of disease, while avoiding unnecessary interference with trade and travel.

It covers temporary recommendations for national health authorities worldwide, which include stepping up their monitoring, preparedness and containment measures.

Although the WHO has no legal authority to sanction countries, it could ask governments to provide scientific justification for any travel or trade restrictions that they impose in the event of an international emergency.

Tedros praised China’s prompt actions to limit the spread of the outbreak, and reiterated that the WHO is opposed to any trade or travel restrictions.
...
The declaration would “undoubtedly sharpen governments’ focus” he said. “But we must also step-up as an international community to make sure no one is left behind - with all interventions, including public health measures, diagnostics, treatments and vaccines available to everyone,” added.
...
Click to expand...
 
Nearly two weeks since the start of the Coronavirus epidemic, which has now resulted in over 100,000 Chinese being placed under observation, and over 210 people dead, the US finally did the right thing when late on Thursday the U.S. State Department warned Americans not to travel to China because of the spreading coronavirus outbreak.

​
"Do not travel to China due to novel coronavirus first identified in Wuhan, China. On January 30, the World Health Organization has determined the rapidly spreading outbreak constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern. Travelers should be prepared for travel restrictions to be put into effect with little or no advance notice. Commercial carriers have reduced or suspended routes to and from China."
The new travel advisory was issued hours after the World Health Organization declared the outbreak a global health emergency. "Those currently in China should consider departing using commercial means," the department said in the advisory.
china%20travel%20advisory.jpg

* * *

More at: https://www.zerohedge.com/geopoliti...ip-due-virus-scare-russia-closes-border-china
 
Based on latest figures, the death rate is actually lower than the "standard" flu but it seems to be much more contagious.
 
2 cases reported in the UK..


https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-01-31-20-intl-hnk/index.html


U.S. is still at 5 cases that came in from China, and a sixth case that was spread to a spouse of someone who came back from China.


Zippyjuan said:
Based on latest figures, the death rate is actually lower than the "standard" flu but it seems to be much more contagious.
Click to expand...

As was pointed out before, the death toll from the new cases cannot be calculated because they haven't happened yet. If you had accurate info, you could estimate it based on the number of cases from about a week or so ago, and then look at the total deaths and use that to calculate the death rate. But there is a lot of uncertainty about the data available.
 
dannno said:
2 cases reported in the UK..


https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-01-31-20-intl-hnk/index.html


U.S. is still at 5 cases that came in from China, and a sixth case that was spread to a spouse of someone who came back from China.




As was pointed out before, the death toll from the new cases cannot be calculated because they haven't happened yet. If you had accurate info, you could estimate it based on the number of cases from about a week or so ago, and then look at the total deaths and use that to calculate the death rate. But there is a lot of uncertainty about the data available.
Click to expand...
So far there have been more deaths than recoveries.

But that is skewed because it probably takes longer to recover than to die from it.

We won't know the real death rate until the outbreak is over.
And maybe not then because the ChiComs are hiding the truth.
 
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