Encircling Iran: US claims would win in 3 weeks

[idiom]

They haven't figured out how to stop every last shell from hitting Saudi Arabia yet...

If Iran knew anything they wouldn't even begin to fight back until 6 months after the invasion.

 

[RickyJ]

Russia and China will use their nuke option to stop an attack on Iran. They will not let another oil nation fall into the hands of the USA. WW3 is the only outcome of attacking Iran and there will be no winners except the elite who planned the whole thing.

 

[S.Shorland]

China might dump their dollars.

 

[LibertyEagle]

Depends what you define as winning. We defeated their military quickly and with few losses. It's "nation building" that was so messy.

Same would be true here.

Iran is not Iraq. I also seem to recall that China and Russia weren't too happy with us threatening Iran.

 

[Hyperion]

3 weeks to beat their armed forces but 10 years+ to beat the 'insurgency'

This. It would be a disaster and quite possibly ruin the dollar.

 

[DerailingDaTrain]

honestly tho, military i think even less then 3 weeks. 3days - 1 week of bombing bridges, power lines, water lines, roads, tanks, government buildings, command and control.
week 2, military tanks will be rolling in the streets of Tehran.

of course there would have to be months of troops build up in the area and planning and the most painful part of fighting a war, is logistics.

as for the "insurgency" i think that would be a long/nightmare of a problem.

I think you're underestimating the strength of Iran's military forces.

 

[CaptainAmerica]

3 weeks would turn into endless war because we know what happened when Bush said it would be quick in and out of Iraq.

 

[oyarde]

This is one of the most irresponsible an insane things I can imagine ....

 

[lladnar2980]

The thing that gets me most, is the American news media tries to make out that Iran is the aggressor in this situation. And people fall in line like good sheep.

 

[The Goat]

China might dump their dollars.

Might be part of the plan. WWI brought us the FRN.

 

[HOLLYWOOD]

 

[noxnoctum]

It's funny how this has kinda faded into the background lately. I wonder what the reason for that is.

 

[awake]

Where have we heard that before. Fresh batch of stupid coming right up.

 

[Dark_Horse_Rider]

Russia and China will use their nuke option to stop an attack on Iran. They will not let another oil nation fall into the hands of the USA. WW3 is the only outcome of attacking Iran and there will be no winners except the elite who planned the whole thing.

The elite will not fare so well either when the next one breaks out ... whole other ballgame that will make borders and distinctions of any kind meaningless

 

[GuerrillaXXI]

Whether the US would win, and how quickly, would depend on what kind of war was waged.

Hypothetically, the US could simply destroy Iran with nukes. But that's extremely unlikely to happen, since there would be severe environmental consequences to Iran's neighbors, a possible backlash from nations like Russia and China, and possibly the uniting of the world against the US as a rogue state.

In a conventional war with "big" weapons like cruise missiles and jets, the US would still win, but I honestly don't know how long it would take. I'm just not familiar enough with Iran's large-scale military capabilities. Three weeks does sound a little optimistic.

If the US were to attempt to occupy Iran and the Iranians were to resist through guerrilla tactics...well, we've seen how that sort of thing turns out for the US.

 

[seyferjm]

http://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20120514/BILLS-112hres568-SUS.pdf

 

[Liberty74]

That 3 weeks could turn into 3 years or more after China and Russia comes to Iran's defense. Those countries said they would...

 

[nbruno322]

In every official war game that I am aware of, it hasn't ended pretty. One such war game, called Millennium Challenger, was carried out in 2002 by the Pentagon. It had to be canceled before it ended because the Iranian side was in the process of defeating the US Navy using asymmetrical and conventional warfare techniques.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Challenge_2002

Iran is believed to have more than 5,000 mines available, many of modern design and exceedingly difficult to detect, sweep, and disarm. The Iranian Navy has also become adept at small-boat swarming tactics, in which large numbers of light vessels attack larger warships in what have been described as suicide runs.

Advanced weaponry from Russia and China as well as Iran’s asymmetrical warfare capability help maintain some deterrence. Iran has Chinese sea-skimmer models and has also developed its own variants.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-800_Oniks
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SS-N-22

 

[jmdrake]

They haven't figured out how to stop every last shell from hitting Saudi Arabia yet...

If Iran knew anything they wouldn't even begin to fight back until 6 months after the invasion.

Quite the opposite. If Iran simply follows the U.S. military's own OPFOR plan they can sink whatever U.S. ships are hanging around in the Persian Gulf and close down the Straights of Hormuz in a day.

See: http://www.armytimes.com/legacy/new/0-292925-1060102.php

But it won't even come to that. China and Russia will not let the U.S. attack Iran. Remember that Obama takes his orders from the U.N. And they have veto power on the U.N. security council. Iraq had nobody to stand up for it.

 

[Demigod]

In every official war game that I am aware of, it hasn't ended pretty. One such war game, called Millennium Challenger, was carried out in 2002 by the Pentagon. It had to be canceled before it ended because the Iranian side was in the process of defeating the US Navy using asymmetrical and conventional warfare techniques.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Challenge_2002

Iran is believed to have more than 5,000 mines available, many of modern design and exceedingly difficult to detect, sweep, and disarm. The Iranian Navy has also become adept at small-boat swarming tactics, in which large numbers of light vessels attack larger warships in what have been described as suicide runs.

Advanced weaponry from Russia and China as well as Iran’s asymmetrical warfare capability help maintain some deterrence. Iran has Chinese sea-skimmer models and has also developed its own variants.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-800_Oniks
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SS-N-22

To be fair there is no way to determine that Iran has a General which is as capable or more than the American general Van Riper in the Millennium Challenge.

Iranian generals did use mass WW I style attacks against the Iraqis so their strategical capabilities are yet to be seen.