You didn't give me a lot to critique, So I'll respond briefly in hopes that you will expand on how you believe devaluation has lead to the situation as you understand it.
Come now, I was quite clear. You even agreed with the basic premise. The value of the currency changes every day, and it never rises. Do you ask your boss for a raise every day to compensate for the value of your salary declining?
I'd say that debt fears have led to decreases in spending that disproportionately affect the middle and lower classes. Lowering demand relative to potential supply. As we see in this chart below, US capacity utilization has declined steadily:
Throughout most of the 1990's capacity utilization was 10% higher than it is today. Why did it fall and never recover?
Well, let's start with what is sure to be a very controversial claim on my part. During the late 1990's under President Clinton, the nation ran a small surplus. Now, some people will argue it was a "fake" surplus or that it was "only on paper". The reality is the surplus was achieved via a lack of government spending on things that were regularly purchased in the past. Taken out of context, spending alone is meaningless because in the real world all spending is relative to taxes. The government from 1998-2001 collected more in taxes than it spent into the economy.
So what? What does that mean?
Clearly money being used to repay debt is not being spent on other things
by the person or entity which is repaying the loan. Though that money is still being taxed from our pockets and is not being spent on stuff
by the government, it's dishonest to imply that money disappears altogether. Are you saying bondholders only ever use the money from bonds which are cashed in on other forms of savings? Can some of that be capital investment in the private sector? Or are you saying government should never commit money to paying down its debt because some of those bondholders are overseas, so that money goes to benefit some economy other than our own?
Now, I would think, if you are an Austrian, you'd see that as a good thing. The value of the dollars left in the economy should have risen, right? But no, because that's not how the value of the dollar is determined in a fiat economy.
Remember that Government spending=the private sectors surplus
That is, the government's spending=someone's income.
When the government failed to spend $720 billion dollars from 1997-2001 it removed almost $1 trillion dollars in income from the economy.
The reason it didn't collapse at that moment is that economies are highly elastic. When people lost their incomes they looked to other places to supplement the losses.
You mentioned saving losses? Look no farther than the surplus of 1998-2001 as the greatest destructor of savings AND the driver of private sector debt this nation has seen since the depression....
The image above breaks down debt, in this case, private debt, by sector. If we look at 1984-1997 things are fairly consistent. But the government pulls $720 billion out of the economy (from 1998-2001) and the private sector reacts by pulling money back in via private debt.
Well, these are very Keynesian sorts of arguments. The value of a currency of any sort is determined by supply and demand. It really is that simple. You can claim otherwise until you're blue in the face, but all you're doing in this passage is demonstrating that in a complex economy, both supply and demand are complex. Clearly so. There are millions of factors that affect supply, and demand is certainly no less complex.
Specifically, if we look at the 4 years prior to 1997 we see the private sector has borrowed about ~$1.2 trillion over 4 years If we look at the 4 years from 1998-2001 we see private sector borrowing skyrocket to $2.1 trillion or about $860B more than the 4 previous years. Now we'd expect later years to see small increases and I didn't adjust for inflation, but hopefully you can see that the government cutting it's spending simply caused a reaction, by the private sector to start borrowing and depleting savings as a result and ultimately ended in the GFC where all that private debt and losses was simply handed back over the government in the form of MASSIVE deficit spending.
I assert, that if that original $720 billion had never been pulled out of the economy (and certain financial laws weren't ignored or relaxed or removed) that today's debt would probably be between $12-$15 trillion.
Just so you understand, I'm an equal opportunity offender, I think what the Democrats did in 1998-2001 was probably the single most destructive act perpetrated on the American people since the great depression. It was made worse by Greenspan and his "hands-off" policiy believing, as some do here, that the market would regulate itself. They do not. Order does not come from a lack of oversight.
Now in fairness, I've left a lot of very debatable points out. You didn't leave me with much to work with so I took a stab....Please, feel free to debate the points I made, should be interesting!
Well, clearly a period in which debts are repaid has effects. But your assertion that consumers borrowed more because money was being pulled out of the economy is a stretch. The mindset that only government spending counts in an economy has led you to odd attitudes--like the money which pays off a T Bill is lost to the economy, when in fact it is in the hands of the former bondholder, not destroyed. There were many factors influencing consumers during that period, not least of which was a
good economy, and a president perfectly willing to lie to people and say things like, 'The era of Big Government is over!' This is certainly sufficiently confidence-inspiring to convince people that a little more debt is not such a dangerous thing.
Your contention that markets do not regulate themselves smacks of a self-fulfilling prophecy. Of course a fiat currency cannot regulate itself. By its very definition its value, its effectiveness, it's existence is at the mercy of those with the power to print more or print less. It's supply could not possibly be self-regulating. That said, markets for commodities of actual, rather than artificial, value are very self regulating. Is the process sometimes messy? Yes. And this messiness is what con men always use to sell people on regulation. But as has been pointed out here on this forum, our current flavor of fiat money was originally sold to the populace as something that could be regulated and controlled to prevent "panics", or lessen their undesirable effects. But nothing is further from the truth. Depressions still happen. What's worse, the meddling inhibits natural recoveries.
No decade-long train wreck like the Great Depression ever happened to this country under the Gold Standard. It takes intervention to prolong an economic illness to that degree.
And no sound money system has ever made a middle class disappear the way America's has since Bretton Woods in 1971. So where is this alleged advantage?
Indeed, the fact that there are no 'angels in the form of men' to regulate the fiat, and the fact that there are no omniscient men to anticipate every one of the billion or trillion variables that make the market behave as it does, are two of the very reasons that many of us would rather take our chances on a currency which has
intrinsic value, and the tendency of markets to regulate themselves. Yeah, it may be a messy process at times. But it's never a victim if arrogance. And it certainly isn't malevolent.
I didn't duck it, I just know the question is a little more complicated. There is nothing that prevents you from creating your own currency and using it right now (as long as it in no way resembles US legal tender). Bitcoin is an example. You could conduct all your business in gold. What you can't do is pay your taxes in your own currency and if there is a legal dispute, without very specific contracts between buyer and seller agreeing to trade in something other than dollars, courts can and will enforce restitution in US dollars between private parties. The US government, on the other hand, will ALWAYS enforce final restitution in US dollars.
So my answer is two-fold, no I don't think US legal tender laws should be repealed, but I will counter by asking, what is it you want to do that you can't do now with those laws in place?
Oh, sure, I can barter for old silver coins at the flea market and get away with it. But legal tender laws do exist in this country, and anyone who goes farther than a little private bartering feels the heat. Admittedly, some who have felt that heat have been trying to pull shenanigans, like the employer who was paying people in junk silver, and had them paying taxes in FRNs at a rate proportional to the face value of that junk silver. But there are other ways the government enforces its edict. Take, for example, capital gains taxes. You obtain silver, it's value goes up, you trade it for some other good or some service, and you are hit for a percentage of the change in value relative to the FRN. So, you have to pay the government because you obtained a form of exchange, and later spent it, and in between the Fed's Official Currency by Law lost value and your silver didn't. This is money? Do you get to write it off your taxes when the value of your money goes down between payday and when you spend it?
Is it, in fact, a "gain" when we hold onto something which does not change in value long enough for the Federal Reserve Note to lose value? Do we, as citizens of a Republic, have the right to question why we should be taxed for these alleged "capital gains"? Do we have a right, as citizens of a Republic, to say our hard-working fellow citizens who may not be so adept at investing as you are might have a right to save, without their savings shrinking like wool in a hot dryer?
You talk like a person who believes that if government doesn't spend money, no money gets spent. You talk like someone who considers fiat money a foregone conclusion, an inescapable reality, and as though any talk of abandoning it is akin to telling fairy tales. Well, neither of these things is true, and you should know that none of us believe them to be true.
Now, if you want to talk about the shift in wealth and how much of it has moved into fewer hands, that's a political issue, not an economic one.
Just as soon as the politicians appoint the bankers who regulate the currency, just as soon as legal tender laws which favor the fiat get passed, then clearly any discussion of the currency is a political one. And I think, judging from this statement, you agree:
No, absolutely not. However, I think the biggest obstacle to a system of money that can be deployed in a way that balances freedom and liberty against government regulation and oppression is to understand the money system we have and how it works.
The value of the money in our pockets goes down every day. The value of our salaries goes down every day. These things never go up, except when we get raises, and to keep up, we need a lot of them--more than most people actually get. Fiat money is a political imposition on an economic reality, which changes that economic reality. And to measure that political impact on our lives requires more than just comparing averages without bothering to see whether the top income and the bottom income are in the same ballpark, or if the richest are getting more than they can hope to spend while the poorest wage earners are working forty hours to be homeless.
No offense, but entrusting your economy to 'economists'--even in the unlikely event that they aren't in it to enrich themselves--is akin to a skilled driver entrusting his or her life to the IT guy who writes self-driving car programs. The skilled driver knows his car can change lanes many times more quickly than it can stop, and that it's hard to change lanes if the IT guy has programmed the car to slam on the brakes about then. The programmer, like the regulating body, can only apply one size fits all solutions. But a market, like a million individual drivers, can react to more stimuli at once, and come up with more creative solutions. There are so many variables that it's difficult to say which is better until there's a historical record to go by. And the historical record for fiat currency--like the few outings by self-driving cars to date--is abysmal. No, the record of individual drivers, like the record of free markets under currency of intrinsic value, are not perfect. Both records clearly demonstrate a complete lack of perfection. The only things worse are everything else which has ever been tried--including the Federal Reserve.