Drudge: Trump leading in 8 states yet to vote

[KingNothing]

I said there was a strong likelihood Trump wins the nomination in 2015. I have learned not to underestimate the stupidity of humans in large groups.

I thought he would have quit by now. I thought he wanted to make a big show of this, and then bow out graciously or ingloriously, whichever pushed his brand better.
I thought there was no way he'd actually want to be president.

I think I might have been wrong about what I thought.

I also thought that Bush had no chance to stick with voters because of his last name, Carson, Christie, and Fiorina were clowns with no shot at winning, Cruz had a low ceiling because he's ugly and punchable, and that Rubio was an unserious joke who would implode when in the spotlight. I've been right about all of that. I just wish I had been right about Trump, and Rand's ability to stick around. That could have been really huge for our movement -- Rand was consistently the only adult on a stage. Shame we couldn't get him more money. Shame his team couldn't find a way to resonate with more of the base.

 

[Jan2017]

For this to play out, the other candidates need to be able to win some states outright. Until after March 15, taking 20% or more is good enough to stay in the race, but it is mainly winner take all after that.

Our coffee shop has USA Today and Wall Street Journal in a newstand rack, so I usually can see the front page - I can't find this online yet though :
WSJ today lists the 67-11-10 top three candidates delegate allotments so far . . . and has a great graphic for delegates - next five weeks there are three states that are winner take all - Florida, Ohio, and Arizona.

Many are 20%, some 15% and Kentucky is a 5% threshold state

 

[CPUd]

See sig for detailed primary schedule.

 

[Jan2017]

See sig for detailed primary schedule.

Thanks . . .

It feels like navigating a minefield.

WSJ today has a simple color-coded box in proportion to delegates for March (not including territories)
the dark red color "winner-take-all" states are Florida, Ohio, and Arizona . . . until April.

2016 Colorado caucus is on March 1 - now with no Presidential Preference Poll, to avoid the vote and split problem Iowa always seems to have.
It would have been on February if Iowa had been in January - it is a state law the caucus is either February 1 or March 1.

MARCH 1
Alabama Primary (50 total delegates/47 bound) — Proportional with 20% threshold
Alaska Caucuses (28/25) — Proportional with 13% threshold
Arkansas Primary (40/37) *— Proportional with 15% threshold
Georgia Primary (76) — Proportional with 20% threshold
Massachusetts Primary (42/39) — Proportional with 5% threshold
Minnesota Caucuses (38/35) — Proportional with 10% threshold
North Dakota Caucuses (28/0) — all delegates are officially unbound
Oklahoma Primary (43/40) — Proportional with 15% threshold
Tennessee Primary (58/55) — Proportional with 20% threshold
Texas Primary (155/152) — Proportional with 20% threshold
Vermont Primary (16/13) — Proportional with 20% threshold
Virginia Primary (49/46) — Proportional - (no threshold)
Wyoming Caucuses (29/0) — The state does not have a presidential preference poll and all delegates are officially unbound

MARCH 5
Kansas Caucuses (40) — Proportional with 10% threshold
Kentucky Caucuses (45/42) — Proportional with 5% threshold
Louisiana Primary (46/43) — Proportional with 20% threshold statewide, no threshold for congressional district delegates
Maine Caucuses (23/20) — Proportional with 10% threshold

MARCH 6
Puerto Rico Primary (23) — Proportional with 20% threshold

MARCH 8
Hawaii Caucuses (19/16) — Proportional (no threshold)
Idaho Primary (32) — Proportional with 20% threshold
Michigan Primary (59/56) — Proportional with 15% threshold
Mississippi Primary (39/36) — Proportional with 15% threshold

MARCH 12
District of Columbia Convention (19) — Proportional with 15% threshold
Guam Convention (9/0) — Delegates are unbound

MARCH 15
FLORIDA Primary (99) — Winner TAKE ALL
Illinois Primary (69) — Hybrid - Statewide delegates are winner take all, congressional district delegates elected directly on ballot and bound as they declare
Missouri Primary (52/49) – Winner take all above 50% statewide
North Carolina Primary (72/69) – Proportional
Northern Mariana Islands Caucuses (9) – Winner take all
OHIO Primary (66) – Winner TAKE ALL

MARCH 19
U.S. Virgin Islands (9) — Winner take all

MARCH 22
American Samoa Convention (9) — Delegates elected and bound at convention
ARIZONA Primary (58) — Winner TAKE ALL
Utah Caucuses (40) — Proportional with 15% threshold

SPRING BREAK

 

[RandPaul4Prez]

I like how Trump is the official "FVCK YOU" to the GOP.

I think he will win Florida and Texas. It's Trump folks and I do agree with his immigration plans.

 

[Miss Annie]

I like how Trump is the official "FVCK YOU" to the GOP.

I think he will win Florida and Texas. It's Trump folks and I do agree with his immigration plans.

Yep.

 

[eleganz]

Old white Republican voters and establishment will go extinct eventually and its whatever infrastructure is properly positioned to take it's place that will run the GOP for the next few decades.

I know what we've been doing has been hard (as F) but our time will come, if we aren't already tired and defeated already...