Drudge: Trump leading in 8 states yet to vote
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Libertas Aut Mortis
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Completely true. Unless the Party has a trick up their sleeves....Donald has it in the bag.
J
Jan2017
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Which 8 states, (39 others still to go besides them) or does he mean the next 8 states or something ?
It is still delegates . . . just looked up Alabama on March 1 . . . (unofficial site)
Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%.
It is still delegates . . . just looked up Alabama on March 1 . . . (unofficial site)
| Threshold: | 20% (minimum vote to receive any delegates) |
Winner Take All where a candidate exceeds 50%.
enhanced_deficit
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True that. Trump has no competition, he is the only guy in US politics today who calls Obama incompetent/stupid and blames Bush for Iraq war blunder/lying about WMDs.
Neocons have one more salvo left to stop Trumpster advance but that salvo seems like a dud.
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J
Jan2017
Guest
Alabama will be a split decision probably (if no one over the 50% threshold for winner-take-all)
Ohio . . . could Kasich win there ?
I honestly didn't think of Kasich. I'd be surprised if he doesn't drop out before Ohio votes March 15. Why should he keep running if he can only win 1 state, and its still a longshot??? The most recent Ohio poll, granted is old since October, had Trump leading at 23% and Kasich at 13%
J
Jan2017
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that's exactly what I've been saying about Cruz
randomname
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Drudge link:
CHARLESTON, S.C.
Things sure look good for Donald Trump.
The Republican presidential race expanded across the country Sunday, and polls show the real estate mogul ahead in eight of the dozen states voting in the next nine days.
Trump has now won primaries in two very different states, center-right New Hampshire and evangelical-dominated South Carolina. And the Republican Party system of choosing a presidential nominee favors candidates who continue to win early primaries and caucuses.
“He seems to have about a third of the Republican electorate under his spell, and it’s a durable, non-ideological coalition,” said Kyle Kondik, managing editor at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball Sunday.
The biggest hope for stopping Trump is for a single strong challenger to emerge, and so far that hasn’t happened.
Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., finished second Saturday in South Carolina, but he was 10 percentage points behind Trump and barely edged Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, even though Rubio barnstormed the state with popular Gov. Nikki Haley and Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C.
Rubio also lacks an obvious state where he can win in the next few weeks. He should be a favorite in Tuesday’s Nevada caucus. Rubio lived in Las Vegas as a child, was a church member, and Sunday picked up the endorsement of Sen. Dean Heller, R-Nevada. But a CNN/ORC poll last week showed Trump with a huge lead, with more support than Rubio and Cruz combined.
Trump had 45%, Rubio 19% and Cruz 17% in the Feb. 10-15 CNN/ORC Nevada GOP caucus poll
A week later, Rubio faces primaries and caucuses in 11 states where voters will award delegates, including seven Southern or border states where Cruz is making a strong push. Polls show Rubio ahead in only one Super Tuesday state, Minnesota, though he could contend in Virginia and Tennessee, which have big moderate GOP constituencies.
Rubio’s best hope is that once the campaign moves into larger, more diverse states on March 8 that he can emerge as the mainstream hope. He previewed his pitch Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union,” saying, “I give us the best chance to unify.”
But in Michigan, which votes that day, and Florida, Illinois, Missouri and Ohio, which vote a week later, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is making a strong effort for the same constituency.
Cruz has a more daunting test.
South Carolina should have ignited his crusade for a more God-fearing America. Everything was in place, including a big momentum-filled downtown Charleston rally Friday with Duck’s Dynasty’s Phil Robertson, conservative talk show host Sean Hannity and a surprise endorsement from Rep. Mark Sanford, R-S.C.
Instead, Cruz not only finished third, but exit polls showed he trailed Trump among evangelicals. In the upcoming contests, he also has to contend with retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who’s far behind but appeals to the same voters.
Imagine for a second Phil Robertson as ambassador to the United Nations Ted Cruz in a speech to South Carolina voters
The challenge for Trump’s rivals is that his appeal transcends traditional political boundaries. The future of Trump’s candidacy was apparent last week when he stopped in wealthy Kiawah Island, a southeastern South Carolina residential and resort community. The audience was a well-educated, politically sophisticated group full of teachers, lawyers, nurses, doctors and retired government workers.
They tended to be over 55 and had worked in bureaucracies all their lives. They appreciated Trump’s ability to cut through the rhetoric.
“I’m tired of all the political correctness,” said Isabel Romero, a former Army finance official. “He appeals to your heart and he appeals to the middle class.”
“He’s credible,” said Phil Bernstein, a retired intelligence analyst. Bernstein described how often he’ll holler at the television when he sees reports about government he thinks misses the point. Trump gets to the point, Bernstein said.
Life at work for these people was tough enough, but now they have to deal with the government for their Medicare, Social Security and other benefits. And they’re finding it a nearly indecipherable maze.
You have to give the guy credit for being honest John Nichols, a South Carolina attorney, talking about Donald Trump
Trump is going to find plenty of people such as these as the race goes west and south.
Trump is also going to find a delegate selection process to his liking. The Republican race now is less about who finishes second or third than who can win the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
Republican Party Chairman Reince Priebus deliberately crafted a process designed to produce a nominee quickly. By March 15, about 60 percent of Republican delegates will have been chosen.
Rules favor winners. In some states, candidates must get at least 20 percent of the vote to win delegates. In theory, if someone won 35 percent, and no one else got 20 percent, that candidate would win all the state’s delegates.
On March 15, the system changes again to promote an early nominee. States then can award all their delegates to the winner, period, no matter what the margin. That means someone could squeak through in Florida, which has a March 15 primary, and get all its 99 delegates.
Priebus is eager for a quick result. “I can’t control everyone’s mouth,” he said on the “Politinerds” radio show, “but I can control how long we have to kill each other.”
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article61652557.html
CHARLESTON, S.C.
Things sure look good for Donald Trump.
The Republican presidential race expanded across the country Sunday, and polls show the real estate mogul ahead in eight of the dozen states voting in the next nine days.
Trump has now won primaries in two very different states, center-right New Hampshire and evangelical-dominated South Carolina. And the Republican Party system of choosing a presidential nominee favors candidates who continue to win early primaries and caucuses.
“He seems to have about a third of the Republican electorate under his spell, and it’s a durable, non-ideological coalition,” said Kyle Kondik, managing editor at Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball Sunday.
The biggest hope for stopping Trump is for a single strong challenger to emerge, and so far that hasn’t happened.
Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., finished second Saturday in South Carolina, but he was 10 percentage points behind Trump and barely edged Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, even though Rubio barnstormed the state with popular Gov. Nikki Haley and Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C.
Rubio also lacks an obvious state where he can win in the next few weeks. He should be a favorite in Tuesday’s Nevada caucus. Rubio lived in Las Vegas as a child, was a church member, and Sunday picked up the endorsement of Sen. Dean Heller, R-Nevada. But a CNN/ORC poll last week showed Trump with a huge lead, with more support than Rubio and Cruz combined.
Trump had 45%, Rubio 19% and Cruz 17% in the Feb. 10-15 CNN/ORC Nevada GOP caucus poll
A week later, Rubio faces primaries and caucuses in 11 states where voters will award delegates, including seven Southern or border states where Cruz is making a strong push. Polls show Rubio ahead in only one Super Tuesday state, Minnesota, though he could contend in Virginia and Tennessee, which have big moderate GOP constituencies.
Rubio’s best hope is that once the campaign moves into larger, more diverse states on March 8 that he can emerge as the mainstream hope. He previewed his pitch Sunday on CNN’s “State of the Union,” saying, “I give us the best chance to unify.”
But in Michigan, which votes that day, and Florida, Illinois, Missouri and Ohio, which vote a week later, Gov. John Kasich of Ohio is making a strong effort for the same constituency.
Cruz has a more daunting test.
South Carolina should have ignited his crusade for a more God-fearing America. Everything was in place, including a big momentum-filled downtown Charleston rally Friday with Duck’s Dynasty’s Phil Robertson, conservative talk show host Sean Hannity and a surprise endorsement from Rep. Mark Sanford, R-S.C.
Instead, Cruz not only finished third, but exit polls showed he trailed Trump among evangelicals. In the upcoming contests, he also has to contend with retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who’s far behind but appeals to the same voters.
Imagine for a second Phil Robertson as ambassador to the United Nations Ted Cruz in a speech to South Carolina voters
The challenge for Trump’s rivals is that his appeal transcends traditional political boundaries. The future of Trump’s candidacy was apparent last week when he stopped in wealthy Kiawah Island, a southeastern South Carolina residential and resort community. The audience was a well-educated, politically sophisticated group full of teachers, lawyers, nurses, doctors and retired government workers.
They tended to be over 55 and had worked in bureaucracies all their lives. They appreciated Trump’s ability to cut through the rhetoric.
“I’m tired of all the political correctness,” said Isabel Romero, a former Army finance official. “He appeals to your heart and he appeals to the middle class.”
“He’s credible,” said Phil Bernstein, a retired intelligence analyst. Bernstein described how often he’ll holler at the television when he sees reports about government he thinks misses the point. Trump gets to the point, Bernstein said.
Life at work for these people was tough enough, but now they have to deal with the government for their Medicare, Social Security and other benefits. And they’re finding it a nearly indecipherable maze.
You have to give the guy credit for being honest John Nichols, a South Carolina attorney, talking about Donald Trump
Trump is going to find plenty of people such as these as the race goes west and south.
Trump is also going to find a delegate selection process to his liking. The Republican race now is less about who finishes second or third than who can win the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland.
Republican Party Chairman Reince Priebus deliberately crafted a process designed to produce a nominee quickly. By March 15, about 60 percent of Republican delegates will have been chosen.
Rules favor winners. In some states, candidates must get at least 20 percent of the vote to win delegates. In theory, if someone won 35 percent, and no one else got 20 percent, that candidate would win all the state’s delegates.
On March 15, the system changes again to promote an early nominee. States then can award all their delegates to the winner, period, no matter what the margin. That means someone could squeak through in Florida, which has a March 15 primary, and get all its 99 delegates.
Priebus is eager for a quick result. “I can’t control everyone’s mouth,” he said on the “Politinerds” radio show, “but I can control how long we have to kill each other.”
http://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article61652557.html
J
Jan2017
Guest
ok, Thanks . . . eight states through Super Tuesday
Interesting point I had not thought of is Rubio connection and endorsement in Nevada . . .
it is said polling there is often terribly inaccurate (polling bilingually is supposedly an issue (?) the Trump lead is in English-speaking polls only ?)
. . . and Reince Priebus, RNC Chairman . . . "can control how long" . . . Hmmm.
RonPaulMall
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You think there are a lot of GOP caucus goers who don't understand English? The country isn't that far gone.
J
Jan2017
Guest
The piece I read somewhere. . . said that turnout is very very low typically and caucus goers are hard to find . . . seems they have other things to do,
there is a significant hispanic population that does not speak English but yet they may try to be swooned to vote for the Cubans.
There is something missed in polling there was suggested - we'll see.
Now with Beck there in Vegas calling for a Monday "fast" for Ted Cruz . . .
realize also for the record, Denver Public Schools is like 68% hispanic
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seapilot
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Thank Ron Paul for this rule change. Boy did the GOP screw the pooch changing that one. All their firewalls are being broken, media, stacking debate, endorsements, etc. Last one they did to themselves all because they feared an underdog sneaking in through the process.
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GunnyFreedom
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I said there was a strong likelihood Trump wins the nomination in 2015. I have learned not to underestimate the stupidity of humans in large groups. 
C
Chester Copperpot
Guest
I said there was a strong likelihood Trump wins the nomination in 2015. I have learned not to underestimate the stupidity of humans in large groups.
I like to think of Trump as our left-handed champion to smash the party elites.
J
Jan2017
Guest
That is the rule for Alabama in the March 1 primary . . . and maybe many others (?)
Kentucky threshold on March 5 is 5% btw
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GunnyFreedom
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Elevating Hitler to power because you are tired of Marx is not very rational. I will admit to a small measure of schadenfreude on account of the GOP establishment getting their comeuppance for disrespecting and freezing out the grassroots of every kind (not JUST the liberty/constitutionalist sort), but I still recognize that the US will be an order of magnitude more hostile towards us liberty/constitutionalist types in every respect under a Trump presidency.
The small helium balloon measure of schadenfreude is not nearly enough for me to embrace the falling anvil of despotic tyranny coming straight for my head under a Trump administration.
Looking at the Reuters numbers on the board this morning, and Trump has a massive lead in Florida right now. Quite shocking actually. And I'm seeing new numbers out of Texas that will give Cruz and his campaign some serious heartburn. Cruz will be fighting for Texas. If these numbers are correct, Trump is actually up a few points in Texas as of this morning.
Emerson College just released MA numbers, Trump is at 50. He's 34 points ahead of Rubio.
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C
Chester Copperpot
Guest
I share your concern about the statism. But since I cant do anything about, I figure I might as well enjoy myself and focus on the good aspects and Ive noticed from friends of mine who were never into Ron Paul but are into Trump that they are much more open about liberty now. Trump has damaged the establishment ideology so much that I really think its a ripe time to educate others.
One of my best friends ALWAYS supported GWB.. ALWAYS.. no matter what.. But when Trump called out GWB for lying and whatnot he loved it. And I can see the wheels turning in his head now... When we discuss things like 9/11 he is open to the possibility that GWB did lie.
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