DMR Intrade Romney bump

[Agorism]

Iowa caucus
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/contract/?contractId=749792

Mitt Romney to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
38.0%
CHANCE Predict

Newt Gingrich to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
21.9%
CHANCE Predict

Ron Paul to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
29.9%
CHANCE Predict

Rick Perry to win the 2012 Iowa Caucus

Event: Iowa Caucus (Republican)
6.3%

 

[RDM]

Romney getting a bump in Iowa electronic market also. Paul still leading..for now.

 

[Epic]

Newt's been crashing though.

 

[Agorism]

Iowa electronic market is a bet for finishing 1st or 2nd, which alters the odds and predictions.

Intrade makes more sense for predicting first since that's what they are actually betting on.

 

[sailingaway]

snort. They give the paper too much credit. They endorsed McCain last time, right? he was what, fourth?