Democrats urge GOP leaders to work against 11th District Republican Bentivolio

DeMintConservative said:
FYI, here's where the Santa Claus thing comes from:

Fairly or unfairly, a well-funded democratic candidate could turn this, his record as a school teacher, the truther film, the bankruptcy, etc, into a very powerful attack ad.
Click to expand...

Nah. All of that shit is total nonsense. It'll be about as powerful as Conway's 'Aqua Buddha' ad was in Kentucky against Rand.
 
DeMintConservative said:
The old MI-11 went 54-45 Obama. This district, with the new lines, went 50-48 Obama.

I've always said Bentivolio was a shoe-in in this general election. I wasn't talking about this year if you read my post carefully.

This district is fairly republican at a congressional level, but republicans there are fairly moderate and more focused on competence than ideology. Bloomfields, Novi, Birmingham.. that's where the republican and swing votes are and they're mostly Romney republicans. Too many affluent suburbanites. Then you have some social conservative pockets in the more rural parts of Oakland and around Canton and Catholics in Livonia. But Oakland suburbs will decide how this district goes. A competent Conservadem from that part of the district can be very competitive if those voters aren't happy with the Republican candidate, as those democratic pockets in Southfield and Redford will always give the Dem a decent enough floor. And attack ads, even in stuff like this Santa Claus and the film stuff, which are very easy to take out of context, work. That's why Bentivolio needs to work hard to be very well-known and liked by those voters in the next 2 years.
Click to expand...

Where did you get those numbers? The wonk I follow says:
This district changed a bit. McCotter was likely on borrowed time with the old district. That is no longer the case. McCotter drops most of his blue sinks. Redford, Wayne, Westland, Garden City, and his portion of Dearborn Heights goes to Hansen Clarke. Van Buren Township and Belleville go to John Dingell. McCotter keeps the rest of his territory and picks up part of the old 9th district, including the rest of Waterford, Farmington, the NW part of West Bloomfield, Lake Angeles, Auburn Hills, Southwestern part of Rochester Hills, Most of Clawson, Birmingham, and Bloomfield Hills. This district is somewhat similar to the old 11th district during the 1990's.

By dropping Redford and Westland, McCotter wins not just by red/blue numbers, but Glenn Anderson and Andy Dillon are in different districts. That was likely his strongest potential opposition. Dian Slavens, Tim Melton, and maybe Lisa Brown (depending on where in West Bloomfield she lives) could provide a challenge. If McCotter makes a serious run for president and does not run for re-election, Marty Knollenberg will likely run.

The old district had an approximate 18000 vote spread for Bush and a 33000 vote spread for Obama. The new district gives Bush a 45000 vote spread and Obama an approximate 8000 vote spread. Dropping the blue sinks (and 30000+ dem vote spreads) do wonders for a district. McCotter in 08 won with about 52% counting 3rd party votes. He won by about 20000 votes overall. In the portion he still represents, there is about a 42000 vote spread.




[TABLE="width: 607"]
[TR]
[TD="width: 144, align: right"]2008[/TD]
[TD="width: 68"][/TD]
[TD="width: 75"][/TD]
[TD="width: 64"][/TD]
[TD="width: 64"][/TD]
[TD="width: 64"][/TD]
[TD="width: 64"][/TD]
[TD="width: 64"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]McCain[/TD]
[TD]Obama[/TD]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[TD]Diff[/TD]
[TD]GOP[/TD]
[TD]DEM[/TD]
[TD]Diff[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Oakland County:[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Auburn Hills[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3577[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5823[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9400[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2246[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]38.05%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]61.95%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-23.89%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Birmingham[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5900[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6492[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12392[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-592[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.61%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.39%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-4.78%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bloomfield Hills[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1580[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1112[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2692[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]468[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]58.69%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]41.31%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]17.38%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Clawson (most)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2998[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3112[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6110[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-114[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]49.07%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]50.93%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-1.87%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Commerce Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11428[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9900[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21328[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1528[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]53.58%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]46.42%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]7.16%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Farmington City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2416[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3183[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5599[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-767[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]43.15%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]56.85%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-13.70%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Highland Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5987[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4533[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10520[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1454[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]56.91%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]43.09%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]13.82%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lake Angeles[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]201[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]59[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]260[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]142[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]77.31%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]22.69%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lyon Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4120[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3009[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7129[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1111[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]57.79%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]42.21%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]15.58%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Milford Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5105[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3851[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8956[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1254[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]57.00%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]43.00%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]14.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1127[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1001[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2128[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]126[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.96%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.04%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]5.92%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Novi City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]13264[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14397[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]27661[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1133[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.95%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.05%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-4.10%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Novi Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]52[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]57[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]109[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-5[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.71%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.29%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-4.59%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Rochester Hills (small)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3983[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3766[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7749[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]217[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]51.40%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]48.60%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]2.80%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]South Lyon[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2983[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2712[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5695[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]271[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.38%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.62%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]4.76%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Troy[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21230[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21517[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]42747[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-287[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]49.66%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]50.34%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-0.67%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Walled Lake[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1517[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1823[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3340[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-306[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.42%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.58%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-9.16%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Waterford Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16968[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19134[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]36102[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2166[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.00%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]53.00%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-6.00%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]West Bloomfield (part)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4609[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7500[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12109[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-2891[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]38.06%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]61.94%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-23.87%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]White Lake Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8563[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7196[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15759[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1367[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.34%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.66%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]8.67%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Wixom[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3077[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3495[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6572[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-418[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]46.82%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]53.18%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-6.36%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Wayne County[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Canton Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19078[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]26092[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]45170[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-7014[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]42.24%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]57.76%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-15.53%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Livonia[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]28190[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]28358[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56548[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-168[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]49.85%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]50.15%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-0.30%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]846[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]895[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1741[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-49[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]48.59%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]51.41%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-2.81%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9025[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7497[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16522[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1528[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.62%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.38%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]9.25%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Plymouth City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2277[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3013[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5290[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-736[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]43.04%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]56.96%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-13.91%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Plymouth Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9003[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8115[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]17118[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]888[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.59%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.41%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]5.19%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]189104[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]197642[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]386746[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-8538[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]48.90%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]51.10%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-2.21%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Bush[/TD]
[TD]Kerry[/TD]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[TD]Diff[/TD]
[TD]GOP[/TD]
[TD]DEM[/TD]
[TD]Diff[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Oakland County:[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Auburn Hills[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4089[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4724[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8813[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-635[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]46.40%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]53.60%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-7.21%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Birmingham[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6772[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5508[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12280[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1264[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]55.15%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]44.85%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]10.29%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bloomfield Hills[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1802[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]951[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2753[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]851[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]65.46%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]34.54%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]30.91%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Clawson (most)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3584[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3471[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7055[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]113[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]50.80%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]49.20%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]1.60%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Commerce Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12019[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7838[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19857[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4181[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]60.53%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]39.47%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]21.06%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Farmington City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2873[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2680[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5553[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]193[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]51.74%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]48.26%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]3.48%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Highland Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6509[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3849[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10358[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2660[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]62.84%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]37.16%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]25.68%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lake Angeles[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]217[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]43[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]260[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]174[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]83.46%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]16.54%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]66.92%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lyon Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4082[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2274[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6356[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1808[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]64.22%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]35.78%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]28.45%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Milford Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5413[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3252[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8665[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2161[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]62.47%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]37.53%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]24.94%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1269[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]866[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2135[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]403[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]59.44%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]40.56%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]18.88%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Novi City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14484[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10612[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25096[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3872[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]57.71%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]42.29%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]15.43%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Novi Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]67[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]40[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]107[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]27[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]62.62%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]37.38%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]25.23%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Rochester Hills (small)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4546[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3114[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7660[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1432[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]59.35%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]40.65%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]18.69%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]South Lyon[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3191[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2236[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5427[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]955[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]58.80%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]41.20%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]17.60%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Troy[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]24171[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]18175[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]42346[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5996[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]57.08%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]42.92%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]14.16%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Walled Lake[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1664[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1580[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3244[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]84[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]51.29%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]48.71%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]2.59%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Waterford Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19965[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16507[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]36472[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3458[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.74%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.26%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]9.48%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]West Bloomfield (part)[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5329[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6704[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12033[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-1375[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]44.29%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]55.71%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]-11.43%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]White Lake Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9439[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5821[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15260[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3618[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]61.85%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]38.15%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]23.71%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Wixom[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3484[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2552[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6036[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]932[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]57.72%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]42.28%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]15.44%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Wayne County[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Canton Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21452[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19743[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41195[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1709[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.07%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.93%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]4.15%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Livonia[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]30626[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25148[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]55774[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5478[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.91%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.09%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]9.82%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]955[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]790[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1745[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]165[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.73%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.27%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]9.46%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9110[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5676[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14786[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3434[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]61.61%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]38.39%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]23.22%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Plymouth City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2557[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2553[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5110[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]50.04%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]49.96%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]0.08%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Plymouth Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9828[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6987[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16815[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2841[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]58.45%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]41.55%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]16.90%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]209497[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]163694[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]373191[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]45803[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]56.14%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]43.86%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]12.27%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]McCotter[/TD]
[TD]Larkin[/TD]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[TD]Diff[/TD]
[TD]GOP[/TD]
[TD]DEM[/TD]
[TD]Diff[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Oakland County:[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Auburn Hills[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Birmingham[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Bloomfield Hills[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Clawson (most)[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Commerce Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12036[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7491[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]19527[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4545[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]61.64%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]38.36%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]23.28%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Farmington City[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Highland Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6217[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3450[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9667[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2767[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]64.31%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]35.69%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]28.62%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lake Angeles[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Lyon Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4369[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2162[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6531[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2207[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]66.90%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]33.10%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]33.79%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Milford Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5468[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2735[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8203[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2733[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]66.66%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]33.34%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]33.32%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1297[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]714[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2011[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]583[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]64.50%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]35.50%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]28.99%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Novi City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14675[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10864[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25539[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3811[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]57.46%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]42.54%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]14.92%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Novi Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]62[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]37[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]99[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]62.63%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]37.37%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]25.25%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Rochester Hills (small)[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]South Lyon[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3222[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1999[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5221[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1223[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]61.71%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]38.29%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]23.42%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Troy[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Walled Lake[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1608[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1451[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3059[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]157[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]52.57%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]47.43%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]5.13%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Waterford Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1736[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1441[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3177[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]295[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.64%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.36%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]9.29%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="colspan: 2"]West Bloomfield (part)[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]White Lake Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8772[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5595[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14367[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3177[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]61.06%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]38.94%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]22.11%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Wixom[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]3331[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2680[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6011[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]651[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]55.42%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]44.58%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]10.83%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Wayne County[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Canton Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21047[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20703[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41750[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]344[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]50.41%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]49.59%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]0.82%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Livonia[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]31114[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]21286[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]52400[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9828[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]59.38%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]40.62%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]18.76%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]967[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]646[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]1613[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]321[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]59.95%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]40.05%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]19.90%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Northville Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9967[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5400[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]15367[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4567[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]64.86%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]35.14%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]29.72%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Plymouth City[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2662[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]2192[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4854[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]470[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]54.84%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]45.16%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]9.68%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Plymouth Twp[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10166[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]5912[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16078[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]4254[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]63.23%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]36.77%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]26.46%[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]0[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: center"]#DIV/0![/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]138716[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]96758[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]235474[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41958[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]58.91%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]41.09%[/TD]
[TD="class: xl65, align: right"]17.82%[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
Click to expand...

But yeah, there are several other politicians who would have run if McCotter had decided to pursue his presidential career, and they're already forming their 2014 campaign committee, I'm sure.
 
Last edited:
sgt150 said:
Nah. All of that shit is total nonsense. It'll be about as powerful as Conway's 'Aqua Buddha' ad was in Kentucky against Rand.
Click to expand...

Don't fool yourself: it's not even remotely the same stuff.

angelatc said:
Where did you get those numbers? The wonk I follow says:

But yeah, there are several other politicians who would have run if McCotter had decided to pursue his presidential career, and they're already forming their 2014 campaign committee, I'm sure.
Click to expand...

I have them in a spreadsheet, but you can check Obama/McCain numbers for every CD here:http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/...ial-results-by-congressional-district-2011-12
Anyway, maybe you haven't realized it, but the wonk you follow has the exact same numbers - the difference is that his percentages are of the 2 party vote. 50-48 Obama is exactly the same of 51-49 Obama if you only factor GOP and Dem votes.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top