Dangerous Statistic: RP Polls 6% Nationally When Only 10% Knows Who He Is...

[phixion]

So let's see.

From grass-roots reports it sounds like almost 90% of the general population simply don't know who Ron Paul is.

However, he is polling 6% nationally.

Let's see how dangerous this statistic is...

Out of 100 people, 10 people may know of Ron Paul and his views, since 90% don't know who he is, right?

Now, if Ron Paul is polling 6% nationally, this would mean 6 of those 10 are going to vote for him / will vote for him.

In other words, upon hearing Ron Paul and his message 60% are sold and will VOTE for him, even though they know he has very little chance of winning.

Imagine if only half of America knew about Ron Paul: He would be polling @ 30%+ and HIGHER due to being perceived as more viable than he seems now.

Imagine if 100% of people heard of Ron Paul... you're talking a whopping 60% of the vote or more.

They will never lift this black-out and will do all they can to stop the other 90% of America discovering Ron Paul on their TV sets - 'cos that's when Ron would sweep it all and humiliate the establishment and all of their candidates.

If Ron can breakthrough and grace the other 90% of the population who don't even know who he is, he wins.

3 things spring to mind:

- 3rd Party
- Millions upon millions of dollars
- National prime-time spots

Look what Ross Perot accomplished and he was no Ron Paul.

Don't be suprised to see Ron announce 3rd party and then people with money fall over themselves to support his 3rd party bid financially. You won't find many millionaires or billionaires throwing their money away trying to get Ron the GOP nomination with all the dirty tricks and outright opposition to Ron Paul from the GOP.

With the funds behind him to expose himself to every American with the message, he WILL win.

It's all in the statistics.

Regards,

Pete

 

[dvictr]

mccain vs hillary and RON PAUL wins


i like the sound of an idependent run. this summer the grassroot seeds will have been planted and the revolution will begin. Idependence Day money bomb +20m
-

 

[BULBASAUR!]

You say it's, "all about statistics", but it appears as though you have pulled those statistics completely out of your ass.

I'm willing to bet AT LEAST 30% knows who he is. Most of them probably haven't heard the message though.

So, we must keep spreading the message.

 

[RonPaulMania]

I disagree. 50% know who he is, and out of that % most don't like him because the only thing they know about him is that he's wrong from the media.

 

[HappyJack]

6%=Bollocks 80%=

 

[slacker921]

Far more than 10% know who he is, and more than 10% of "likely voters" know where he stands on at least some of the issues.
Most of the states that have already voted were absolutely plastered with Ron Paul signs. Name recognition is a good thing, but the key is hearing the talking heads saying good things about him.

What I would like to see is a few polls from states that have already voted. i.e. would they vote for him in November after having NOT voted for him in the primary?

 

[TonySutton]

From grass-roots reports it sounds like almost 90% of the general population simply don't know who Ron Paul is.

However, he is polling 6% nationally.

Let's see how dangerous this statistic is...

Out of 100 people, 10 people may know of Ron Paul and his views, since 90% don't know who he is, right?

Now, if Ron Paul is polling 6% nationally, this would mean 6 of those 10 are going to vote for him / will vote for him.

In other words, upon hearing Ron Paul and his message 60% are sold and will VOTE for him, even though they know he has very little chance of winning.

Imagine if only half of America knew about Ron Paul: He would be polling @ 30%+ and HIGHER due to being perceived as more viable than he seems now.

Imagine if 100% of people heard of Ron Paul... you're talking a whopping 60% of the vote or more.

I am reading this and thinking of Alice's Restaurant

just walk in say "Shrink, You can get
anything you want, at Alice's restaurant.". And walk out. You know, if
one person, just one person does it they may think he's really sick and
they won't take him. And if two people, two people do it, in harmony,
they may think they're both faggots and they won't take either of them.
And three people do it, three, can you imagine, three people walking in
singin a bar of Alice's Restaurant and walking out. They may think it's an
organization. And can you, can you imagine fifty people a day,I said
fifty people a day walking in singin a bar of Alice's Restaurant and
walking out. And friends they may thinks it's a movement.

And that's what it is , the Alice's Restaurant Anti-Massacre Movement, and
all you got to do to join is sing it the next time it come's around on the
guitar.

 

[PatriotG]

From A CNN News Headline


"To become the Republican nominee, a candidate must win 1,191 delegates. See why the delegates matter

So far, McCain leads in delegates with 97. He's followed by Romney with 92, Huckabee with 29 and Texas Rep. Ron Paul with six."

 

[Soccrmastr]

mccain vs hillary and RON PAUL wins


i like the sound of an idependent run. this summer the grassroot seeds will have been planted and the revolution will begin. Idependence Day money bomb +20m
-

I hate to say but this is starting to sound a bit appealing... but we have to hold off longer before we decide this!

 

[buffalokid777]

Rand Paul said after New Hampshire, Ron Paul has gone from 0% name recognition at the beginning of the campaign, to 40%. So I figure that's the percentage of name recognition and is fairly correct. We may have added 5-10% more since New Hampshire due to commercials that have been running in upcoming primary states.....so we're making progress on the name recognition thing despite the MSM blockade.

So even if RP doesn't get the GOP nomination.....the groundwork has been laid for a 3rd party/independent run.

$5 million more in fundraising for January despite lackluster primary results. It would be great to get the GOP nod, but even if we don't, we've picked up a good base for an independent run.....Sure it's hard to win that route because of the biased system, but If RP does continue on as an independent if needed...it will be unlike any run an independent has made before.

Ross Perot made the most noise i've seen in my lifetime...

Ross financed himself....RP is financed by the masses of believers.

Hang in there and keep canvassing....even if we don't win the GOP nod.....the work trying to get the GOP nomination will help us make history in the general election!

 

[Joe H in Indiana]

A third party run would be the long term death of this movement. I've worked over 20 years in the LP at the state and national level. If Ron Paul runs he will not win, the yellow dog Republican and Democrat vote is too large. These votes cost the major parties nothing. As an Independent, Dr. Paul would have to spend resources to bring his base up to this level BEFORE he can compete with the other candidates for the independents. This is a long term battle folks. I'm backing this run until Dr. Paul says stop. But even if he does, he has a grass roots movement that can eat away and replace the current leadership of the GOP in the next 4 years if they "Don't see the light".

 

[FreedomLover]

I think your numbers are flawed. That 6% is from a poll of (Im guessing) likely republican primary voters, who probably know the candidates and the issues better than the general public.

 

[UK4Paul]

I rated your post because I think the thrust of it is true, although probably much more than 10% of people have heard of Ron Paul.

But "heard" of Ron Paul to them might be, "oh yeah I heard from some talking head once that he's a racist isolationist kook" - which is completely untrue.

In other words, probably only a small % of people know where he really stands on the issues.

Probably the best thing to absolutely ensure a Ron Paul presidency is to make 100% of the population 100% aware of the issues upon which Ron Paul stands.

And I think that's easily possible, if everyone who supports Ron Paul helps to turn others into Ron Paul supporters.

 

[SunshineSlayer]

You say it's, "all about statistics", but it appears as though you have pulled those statistics completely out of your ass.

I'm willing to bet AT LEAST 30% knows who he is. Most of them probably haven't heard the message though.

So, we must keep spreading the message.

I don't know about that. I think it's actually closer to the 10%. Or maybe 20% at most. I'm in a political science class right now and hardly anyone even there had heard of him! The few that had heard, only knew his name but knew nothing about his policies.

Another discouraging moment was when I was in Office Max a few days ago at the register and the two late teens employees were talking about Barack and I mentioned that I liked Ron Paul. Both of them replied with a "never heard of him." (btw I live in a suburb of Los Angeles)

 

[obstruksion]

mccain vs hillary and RON PAUL wins


i like the sound of an idependent run. this summer the grassroot seeds will have been planted and the revolution will begin. Idependence Day money bomb +20m
-

+1

 

[driller80545]

The first person that I gave a slim jim to Saturday said "Ron Paul, I thought he dropped out". Gotta love that blackout.

 

[Ronin]

If we had had the precinct captain program back in September we'd be in a whole different ball game. Rather than hanging out on the side of the road we could have been talking to people in a coordinated manner.

 

[Nicketas]

....

 

[acstichter]

Ron Paul has a very high disapproval rating. He's got a bad reputation, unfortunately, people aren't willing to understand him. They feel safer just following the flock.

 

[koolgirl]

I don't know about exact numbers but as the TC pointed out, just not enough people know who Ron Paul is. Signs are not enough.

I will give 2 good examples. One is myself!

1. In my local district there are tons of local elections going on for "Super Tuesday", which means TONS of signs EVERYWHERE. The signs just became a kind of background noise, something I don't really pay attention to. I never noticed all the signs for Ron Paul untill AFTER I became a Ron Paul supporter. Before I was a suppoter, it was just another name I didn't pay attention to amongst a sea of signs.

2. Very recently I gave one of my bosses a slim jim and DVD for Ron Paul. I got an interesting reaction. There has been a HUGE sign up for Ron Paul which he sees daily on his way in and out of town. He said to me "It's interesting that you gave me this, I have asked my wife for the last month, Who the hell is Ron Paul?", he has seen the sign for a month but never bothered researching it. Mattter of fact he told me he was starting to think it was a joke, compared it to when Jack in the Box did a "Jack for President" campaign.

Signs are not enough. If you don't already, talk to your neighbors and coworkers.

10% in my area amongst typical people seems right. I have handed out around 20 DVDs, out of the 21 people I asked , only one already knew about Paul and didn't need the DVD.